Championship · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Charlton- 10'Yellow card: Dan McNamaraFoul
- Yellow card: Myron BoaduFoul17'
- Yellow card: Iker BravoFoul31'
- 32'Yellow card: Oliver SkippFoul
- 44'Yellow card: Tyreece CampbellFoul
- 45'Substitution: Oliver SkippOff: Alan Mwamba
HT 0-0
- 47'Yellow card: Conor CoventryFoul
- Goal: Luca Kjerrumgaard58'
- 62'Substitution: Conor CoventryOff: sonny carey
- 63'Substitution: Karlan GrantOff: Harvey Knibbs
- 63'Substitution: Dan McNamaraOff: Charlie Kelman
- Substitution: Krépin DiattaOff: Jordan Zemura66'
- Substitution: Myron BoaduOff: Martin Payero66'
- Substitution: Marc BolaOff: Branimir Mlacic76'
- Substitution: Luca KjerrumgaardOff: Mamadou Doumbia76'
- 77'Substitution: Tyreece CampbellOff: Millenic Alli
- Yellow card: Jordan ZemuraFoul79'
- Substitution: Rocco VataOff: Iker Bravo86'
- 90+2'Yellow card: Alan MwambaFoul
- Goal: Jordan ZemuraAssist: Rocco Vata90+4'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 51%Possession49%
- 2.40Expected goals (xG)1.36
- 22Total shots14
- 10Shots on target3
- 9Shots off target6
- 3Blocked shots5
- 12Shots inside the box11
- 4Corners3
- 0Offsides1
- 10Fouls21
- 3Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves8
- 358Passes359
- 275Accurate passes259
Line-ups
Watford
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1F. RavagliaG
- 15K. DiattaD
- 4K. KebenD
- 6M. PollockD
- 3S. CoulibalyD
- 16M. BolaD
- 39E. KayembeM
- 5H. KyprianouM
- 17Iker BravoM
- 9L. KjerrumgaardF
- 10M. BoaduF
Substitutes
- 20M. DoumbiaF
- 7O. MaammaF
- 45S. MavididiF
- 29Branimir MlačićD
- 26D. BachmannG
- 21Amin NabizadaF
- 22M. PayeroM
- 11R. VataF
- 33J. ZemuraD
Coach: A. Dionisi
Charlton
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 2K. RamsayD
- 5L. JonesD
- 12Billy Dawson KoumetioD
- 20D. McNamaraM
- 34O. SkippM
- 6C. CoventryM
- 18I. MesíkM
- 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
- 7T. CampbellM
- 11M. LeaburnF
Substitutes
- 19M. AlliF
- 17A. BellD
- 44Tyler BindonD
- 14S. CareyM
- 23C. KelmanF
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 25W. MannionG
- 33Micah MbickF
- 32A. MwambaD
Coach: N. Jones
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.38 – 1.29Half time / full time result. 1 = Watford, X = draw, 2 = Charlton.
Asian handicap applied to Watford.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstWatford0W 0D 1L · last 1Charlton0W 1D 0L · last 1Championship table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  W. LankshearMiddlesbrough | 13 | 13 |
| 2 |  A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. LarinSouthampton | 11 | 7 |
| 4 |  J. BowenWest Ham | 13 | 7 |
| 5 |  Fer LópezWolves | 12 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Watford | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 5 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Watford host Charlton in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) at Vicarage Road, Watford, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Watford narrow favourites, giving Watford a 38% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 34% for Charlton. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Watford have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Charlton have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Championship
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 12:30 WAT
- Venue
- Vicarage Road, Watford
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Watford vs Charlton?
Watford vs Charlton kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Watford vs Charlton in?
The match is in the England Championship.
Where are Watford and Charlton in the table?
Watford are 21st and Charlton are 20th in the Championship.
Who will win Watford vs Charlton?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Watford 38%, draw 28%, Charlton 34%.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Charlton?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Watford vs Charlton?
We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.