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TodaysPrediction

Swansea vs West Ham prediction

Swansea vs West Ham prediction for the Championship on 17 Oct 2026: West Ham or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
SwanseaWest Ham
0 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-1
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea

Match events

SwanseaWest Ham
  1. 34'Goal: Divine MukasaAssist: Mohamadou Kante
  2. 41'Yellow card: Divine MukasaFoul

HT 0-1

  1. Substitution: Jay FultonOff: Stephen Eustáquio56'
  2. Substitution: Joseph Amankwaah OpokuOff: Eom Ji-Sung57'
  3. 61'Substitution: Pablo Felipe Pereira de JesusOff: Taty Castellanos
  4. 69'Substitution: Mohamadou KanteOff: Edvin Austbö
  5. Substitution: Moussa Kounfolo YeoOff: Elijah Just76'
  6. Substitution: Goncalo FrancoOff: melker widell76'
  7. Substitution: Marko StamenićOff: Zan Vipotnik76'
  8. 81'Yellow card: Taty CastellanosDissent
  9. 84'Substitution: Manor SolomonOff: Tomáš Souček
  10. 85'Substitution: Divine MukasaOff: Joel Piroe

Our verdict

X2 ✓

West Ham or draw

Bet365 1.36

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Swansea32%
Fair odds 3.13
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · West Ham42%
Fair odds 2.38

Match statistics

  • 69%Possession31%
  • 1.08Expected goals (xG)1.04
  • 11Total shots9
  • 0Shots on target4
  • 7Shots off target4
  • 4Blocked shots1
  • 5Shots inside the box7
  • 6Corners1
  • 2Offsides4
  • 9Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves0
  • 609Passes277
  • 516Accurate passes186

Line-ups

Swansea

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 22L. VigourouxG
  2. 35RonaldD
  3. 5B. CabangoD
  4. 23S. WelshD
  5. 14J. TymonD
  6. 17Gonçalo FrancoM
  7. 4J. FultonM
  8. 6M. StamenićM
  9. 49M. YeoF
  10. 33A. IdahF
  11. 30Joseph OkopuF

Substitutes

  1. 10Eom Ji-SungF
  2. 46S. EustáquioM
  3. 1A. FisherG
  4. 50C. HeywoodD
  5. 8E. JustF
  6. 3J. SeeltD
  7. 9Z. VipotnikF
  8. 7M. WidellM
  9. 44Thomas WoodwardM

Coach: Vítor Matos

West Ham

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. HermansenG
  2. 34J. VeltmanD
  3. 15K. MavropanosD
  4. 3M. KilmanD
  5. 5MoratoD
  6. 17M. KantéM
  7. 7A. EngelsM
  8. 20J. BowenM
  9. 14D. MukasaM
  10. 10M. SolomonM
  11. 19PabloF

Substitutes

  1. 30O. ScarlesD
  2. 28T. SoučekM
  3. 2K. Walker-PetersD
  4. 9J. PiroeF
  5. 61L. OrfordM
  6. 58A. GolambeckisD
  7. 11V. CastellanosF
  8. 35E. AustböF
  9. 23A. AreolaG

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.55
0.5 goalsOver94.3%Under5.7%
1.5 goalsOver78.1%Under21.9%
2.5 goalsOver54.7%Under45.3%
3.5 goalsOver32.4%Under67.6%
4.5 goalsOver16.3%Under83.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SwanseaWest Ham
50%Form50%
14%Attack86%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
46%Expected goals54%
43%Overall57%

Last matches

Newest first

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSwanseaWest Ham
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)16
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets11
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

Swansea host West Ham in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes West Ham slight favourites, giving Swansea a 32% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 42% for West Ham. Our tip is: West Ham or draw.

Swansea have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). West Ham have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Swansea vs West Ham?

Swansea vs West Ham kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Swansea vs West Ham in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Swansea and West Ham in the table?

Swansea are 2nd and West Ham are 8th in the Championship.

Who will win Swansea vs West Ham?

Our prediction is West Ham or draw. Win probabilities: Swansea 32%, draw 26%, West Ham 42%.

Will both teams score in Swansea vs West Ham?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Swansea vs West Ham?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Sat 17 Oct

FTWatford 2-0 CharltonOver 1.5 ✓FTMillwall 2-2 Lincoln1 ✗FTMiddlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff1 ✗FTSouthampton 0-0 Bolton1 ✗FTWest Brom 3-2 Blackburn1X ✓FTWrexham 4-1 Preston1 ✓FTBirmingham 3-0 QPROver 1.5 ✓FTBristol City 0-1 Sheffield UtdOver 1.5 ✗FTDerby 0-1 Stoke CityX2 ✓FTNorwich 0-1 PortsmouthOver 1.5 ✗

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