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Burnley vs Charlton prediction

Burnley vs Charlton prediction for the Championship on 13 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday13October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Championship · Regular Season - 10
BurnleyNo recent gamesCharltonNo recent games
2 - 2Full time · Tue 13 OctHT 1-0
Turf Moor, Burnley

Match events

BurnleyCharlton
  1. Goal: J. Bruun LarsenAssist: J. Laurent36'

HT 1-0

  1. 50'Goal: K. RamsayAssist: L. Jones
  2. Goal: L. RamazaniAssist: Igor57'
  3. 62'Yellow card: Conor CoventryFoul
  4. Yellow card: Igor JúlioFoul66'
  5. Substitution: A. BrojaOff: J. Vardy71'
  6. Substitution: M. EdwardsOff: J. Bruun Larsen71'
  7. 74'Substitution: H. KnibbsOff: D. McNamara
  8. 74'Substitution: M. MbickOff: M. Leaburn
  9. 75'Substitution: I. MesikOff: A. Bell
  10. 75'Substitution: C. KelmanOff: O. Skipp
  11. Substitution: A. HountondjiOff: L. Ramazani80'
  12. 86'Substitution: M. AlliOff: T. Campbell
  13. 90'Goal: I. MesikAssist: H. Knibbs
  14. Substitution: H. EkdalOff: A. Ahmedhodzic90+1'
  15. Yellow card: Max AlleyneFoul90+4'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Burnley56%
Fair odds 1.79
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Charlton19%
Fair odds 5.26

Match statistics

  • 46%Possession54%
  • 1.08Expected goals (xG)2.13
  • 18Total shots9
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 11Shots off target3
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 8Shots inside the box9
  • 7Corners7
  • 4Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 376Passes432
  • 281Accurate passes348
  • 75%Pass accuracy81%

Line-ups

Burnley

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 37G. CoudertG
  2. 2K. WalkerD
  3. 15A. AhmedhodzicD
  4. 44IgorD
  5. 23Lucas PiresD
  6. 3M. AlleyneM
  7. 5R. HatateM
  8. 19L. RamazaniM
  9. 29J. LaurentM
  10. 7J. Bruun LarsenM
  11. 9J. VardyF

Substitutes

  1. 1M. WeissG
  2. 22O. SonneD
  3. 14C. RobertsD
  4. 18H. EkdalD
  5. 8U. RaghouberM
  6. 27A. BrojaF
  7. 17A. HountondjiF
  8. 30L. CastellF
  9. 10M. EdwardsF

Coach: Nicky Hayen

Charlton

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 13A. OkonkwoG
  2. 2K. RamsayD
  3. 5L. JonesD
  4. 12B. KoumetioD
  5. 20D. McNamaraM
  6. 34O. SkippM
  7. 6C. CoventryM
  8. 17A. BellM
  9. 9K. GrantF
  10. 7T. CampbellF
  11. 11M. LeaburnF

Substitutes

  1. 25W. MannionG
  2. 18I. MesikD
  3. 44T. BindonD
  4. 8H. KnibbsM
  5. 14S. CareyM
  6. 32A. MwambaD
  7. 23C. KelmanF
  8. 19M. AlliF
  9. 33M. MbickF

Coach: Nathan Jones

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.79 – 0.96
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BurnleyCharlton
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
65%Expected goals35%
75%Overall25%

Last matches

Newest first
Burnley0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Charlton0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBurnleyCharlton
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Burnley host Charlton in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at Turf Moor, Burnley, with kick-off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Burnley favourites, giving Burnley a 56% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 19% for Charlton. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Turf Moor, Burnley

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Burnley vs Charlton?

Burnley vs Charlton kicks off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Burnley vs Charlton in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Burnley and Charlton in the table?

Burnley are 22nd and Charlton are 20th in the Championship.

Who will win Burnley vs Charlton?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Burnley 56%, draw 25%, Charlton 19%.

Will both teams score in Burnley vs Charlton?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Burnley vs Charlton?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Tue 13 Oct

FTWolves 1-3 Bolton1 ✗FTWrexham 1-2 West BromOver 1.5 ✓FTBristol City 0-1 BlackburnOver 1.5 ✗FTCardiff 5-1 Watford1 ✓FTMillwall 0-1 SwanseaOver 1.5 ✗FTBirmingham 4-0 PrestonOver 1.5 ✓FTStoke City 2-3 MiddlesbroughOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today