Championship · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Portsmouth- Substitution: Benjamin ChriseneOff: Darlin Yongwa45'
HT 0-0
- 51'Penalty goal: Marko Milovanović (pen)
- 55'Yellow card: Marko MilovanovićFoul
- Substitution: Andre BrooksOff: Lucien Mahovo57'
- Substitution: Anis Ben SlimaneOff: Paris Maghoma57'
- 60'Substitution: Iyad MohamedOff: Ebou Adams
- 64'Yellow card: Ryan Kavuma-McQueenTime Wasting
- Yellow card: Oscar SchwartauDissent66'
- 70'Substitution: Ryan Kavuma-McQueenOff: Odin Bailey
- 71'Substitution: Marko MilovanovićOff: Tyrese Shade
- Substitution: Oscar SchwartauOff: Mathias Kvistgaarden73'
- 80'Substitution: Marlon PackOff: Terry Devlin
- Yellow card: Mathias KvistgaardenFoul90'
- Yellow card: Darlin YongwaFoul90+3'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.22
✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 55%Possession45%
- 0.37Expected goals (xG)1.23
- 9Total shots8
- 2Shots on target1
- 6Shots off target2
- 1Blocked shots5
- 3Shots inside the box3
- 1Corners1
- 4Offsides5
- 12Fouls13
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Goalkeeper saves2
- 402Passes408
- 291Accurate passes307
Line-ups
Norwich
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 32D. GrimshawG
- 3J. StaceyD
- 15Ruairi McConvilleD
- 33J. CórdobaD
- 14B. ChriseneD
- 16Jacob WrightM
- 7P. MattssonM
- 11A. BrooksM
- 20A. Ben SlimaneM
- 29O. SchwartauM
- 24J. MakamaF
Substitutes
- 40C. AnsenG
- 6H. DarlingD
- 26S. FieldM
- 35K. FisherD
- 30M. KvistgaardenF
- 25P. MaghomaM
- 12L. MahovoD
- 13D. YongwaD
- 46E. Mundle-SmithF
Coach: P. Clement
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1N. SchmidG
- 22Z. SwansonD
- 5R. PooleD
- 55M. DiaD
- 16J. MeghomaD
- 7M. PackM
- 37I. MohamedM
- 11A. KamaraM
- 10A. SegecicM
- 25R. Kavuma McQueenM
- 29M. MilovanovićF
Substitutes
- 31D. BielicaG
- 9C. BishopF
- 24T. DevlinM
- 32E. KennyM
- 30B. KillipG
- 17T. ShadeF
- 19R. SheinM
- 27O. BaileyM
- 38E. AdamsM
Coach: John Mousinho
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.12Half time / full time result. 1 = Norwich, X = draw, 2 = Portsmouth.
Asian handicap applied to Norwich.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstNorwich0W 0D 1L · last 1Portsmouth1W 0D 0L · last 1Championship table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  W. LankshearMiddlesbrough | 13 | 13 |
| 2 |  A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. LarinSouthampton | 11 | 7 |
| 4 |  J. BowenWest Ham | 13 | 7 |
| 5 |  Fer LópezWolves | 12 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Norwich | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Norwich host Portsmouth in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) at Carrow Road, Norwich, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Norwich favourites, giving Norwich a 52% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 23% for Portsmouth. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Norwich have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Portsmouth have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Championship
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- Carrow Road, Norwich
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Norwich vs Portsmouth?
Norwich vs Portsmouth kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Norwich vs Portsmouth in?
The match is in the England Championship.
Where are Norwich and Portsmouth in the table?
Norwich are 15th and Portsmouth are 11th in the Championship.
Who will win Norwich vs Portsmouth?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Norwich 52%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 23%.
Will both teams score in Norwich vs Portsmouth?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Norwich vs Portsmouth?
We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.