Championship · Regular Season - 10
Match events
Watford- 9'Yellow card: Martín Payero
- Penalty goal: J. Moylan (pen)11'
- Substitution: W. FishOff: D. Lawlor29'
- Goal: J. MoylanAssist: C. Ashford35'
- Own goal: M. Pollock (og)41'
- Goal: O. TannerAssist: P. Ng45'
HT 4-0
- 56'Substitution: M. BolaOff: J. Zemura
- 56'Substitution: M. DoumbiaOff: M. Boadu
- 56'Substitution: A. NabizadaOff: S. Mavididi
- Missed penalty: Chris Willock65'
- 67'Substitution: I. BravoOff: M. Payero
- Substitution: C. ScanlonOff: C. Willock69'
- Substitution: D. TurnbullOff: J. Moylan69'
- 69'Substitution: K. DiattaOff: O. Maamma
- 73'Yellow card: Edo KayembeFoul
- Substitution: I. DaviesOff: J. Bagan82'
- Substitution: C. RobinsonOff: O. Tanner82'
- Goal: C. RobinsonAssist: D. Turnbull85'
- Yellow card: Perry NgArgument86'
- 86'Yellow card: Amin NabizadaArgument
- 87'Goal: H. KyprianouAssist: I. Bravo
- 90+5'Yellow card: Hector KyprianouArgument
Our verdict
Cardiff to win
Bet365 1.65
✓ This tip was correct · final score 5-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 58%Possession42%
- 3.67Expected goals (xG)1.46
- 22Total shots14
- 10Shots on target4
- 7Shots off target7
- 5Blocked shots3
- 14Shots inside the box10
- 6Corners1
- 4Offsides4
- 12Fouls12
- 1Yellow cards4
- 3Goalkeeper saves6
- 494Passes358
- 430Accurate passes282
- 87%Pass accuracy79%
Line-ups
Cardiff
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1N. TrottG
- 38P. NgD
- 48D. LawlorD
- 4G. OshoD
- 3J. BaganD
- 18A. RobertsonM
- 11O. TannerM
- 45C. AshfordM
- 27J. ColwillM
- 16C. WillockM
- 8J. MoylanF
Substitutes
- 30H. TyrerG
- 2W. FishD
- 23C. ScanlonD
- 44R. KpakioD
- 14D. TurnbullM
- 43P. MorenoM
- 39I. DaviesF
- 47C. RobinsonF
- 50C. HoltM
Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy
Watford
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1F. RavagliaG
- 23O. H. TraoreD
- 6M. PollockD
- 4K. KebenD
- 33J. ZemuraD
- 39E. KayembeM
- 5H. KyprianouM
- 7O. MaammaM
- 22M. PayeroM
- 45S. MavididiM
- 10M. BoaduF
Substitutes
- 26D. BachmannG
- 16M. BolaD
- 3S. CoulibalyD
- 15K. DiattaM
- 29B. MlacicD
- 9L. KjerrumgaardF
- 17I. BravoF
- 20M. DoumbiaF
- 21A. NabizadaF
Coach: Alessio Dionisi
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.98 – 1.14Half time / full time result. 1 = Cardiff, X = draw, 2 = Watford.
Asian handicap applied to Cardiff.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstChampionship table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  W. LankshearMiddlesbrough | 13 | 13 |
| 2 |  A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. LarinSouthampton | 11 | 7 |
| 4 |  J. BowenWest Ham | 13 | 7 |
| 5 |  Fer LópezWolves | 12 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Cardiff | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Cardiff host Watford in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff, with kick-off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Cardiff favourites, giving Cardiff a 56% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 21% for Watford. Our tip is: Cardiff to win.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Championship
- Date
- Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
- Venue
- Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Cardiff vs Watford?
Cardiff vs Watford kicks off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Cardiff vs Watford in?
The match is in the England Championship.
Where are Cardiff and Watford in the table?
Cardiff are 17th and Watford are 21st in the Championship.
Who will win Cardiff vs Watford?
Our prediction is Cardiff to win. Win probabilities: Cardiff 56%, draw 23%, Watford 21%.
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Watford?
We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cardiff vs Watford?
We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.