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Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd prediction

Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd prediction for the Championship on 17 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Championship · Regular Season - 11
Bristol CitySheffield Utd
0 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-1
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

Match events

Bristol CitySheffield Utd
  1. 5'Goal: Oliver Arblaster
  2. Substitution: Scott TwineOff: Elijah Adebayo45'
  3. Substitution: George TannerOff: Jed Wallace45'

HT 0-1

  1. 69'Substitution: Jordan AyewOff: Patrick Bamford
  2. 69'Substitution: Tahith ChongOff: Sam McCallum
  3. Substitution: Gibson Osahumen YahOff: Brian de Keersmaecker72'
  4. 78'Substitution: Oliver ArblasterOff: Sydie Peck
  5. 79'Substitution: Mark McGuinnessOff: Romelle Donovan
  6. 79'Substitution: Ben BreretonOff: Ryan One
  7. Substitution: Yu HirakawaOff: Sam Bellis85'
  8. Substitution: Jason KnightOff: Tomi Horvat85'
  9. 87'Substitution: Thomas CannonOff: Jamal Baptiste
  10. Yellow card: Brian de KeersmaeckerFoul90+6'
  11. 90+10'Yellow card: Patrick BamfordArgument

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

76%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Bristol City45%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Sheffield Utd29%
Fair odds 3.45

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 0.58Expected goals (xG)1.21
  • 7Total shots15
  • 1Shots on target2
  • 3Shots off target6
  • 3Blocked shots7
  • 5Shots inside the box12
  • 3Corners5
  • 1Offsides2
  • 16Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves1
  • 405Passes369
  • 267Accurate passes229

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1S. TickleG
  2. 19G. TannerD
  3. 15L. McNallyD
  4. 5R. AtkinsonD
  5. 3C. PringD
  6. 12J. KnightM
  7. 27G. YahM
  8. 21Rio CardinesM
  9. 10S. TwineM
  10. 7Y. HirakawaM
  11. 23D. BallardF

Substitutes

  1. 4A. RandellM
  2. 17J. WallaceM
  3. 45E. AdebayoF
  4. 11S. BellF
  5. 40B. CollinsG
  6. 6B. De KeersmaeckerM
  7. 2L. EissatD
  8. 20S. GreenwoodM
  9. 14T. HorvatM

Coach: M. Skubala

Sheffield Utd

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1M. CooperG
  2. 5J. TangangaD
  3. 25M. McGuinnessD
  4. 15L. KitchingD
  5. 14H. BurrowsD
  6. 22B. BreretonM
  7. 27K. PhillipsM
  8. 4O. ArblasterM
  9. 19T. ChongM
  10. 9T. CannonF
  11. 10J. AyewF

Substitutes

  1. 33J. BaptisteM
  2. 23T. CampbellF
  3. 17A. DaviesG
  4. 11R. DonovanM
  5. 3S. McCallumD
  6. 26R. OnéF
  7. 42Sydie PeckM
  8. 7J. RothwellM
  9. 45P. BamfordF

Coach: Chris Wilder

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.54 – 1.18
0.5 goalsOver93.4%Under6.6%
1.5 goalsOver75.5%Under24.5%
2.5 goalsOver51.1%Under48.9%
3.5 goalsOver29.0%Under71.0%
4.5 goalsOver14.0%Under86.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Bristol CitySheffield Utd
50%Form50%
0%Attack100%
75%Defence25%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
61%Overall39%

Last matches

Newest first
Bristol City0W 0D 1L · last 1
LBristol City vs Blackburn13 Oct 2026 · Championship0-1
Sheffield Utd0W 0D 1L · last 1
LPortsmouth vs Sheffield Utd14 Oct 2026 · Championship3-2

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBristol CitySheffield Utd
Played11
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)13
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Bristol City host Sheffield Utd in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) at Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bristol City slight favourites, giving Bristol City a 45% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 29% for Sheffield Utd. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Bristol City have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Sheffield Utd have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd?

Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Bristol City and Sheffield Utd in the table?

Bristol City are 14th and Sheffield Utd are 10th in the Championship.

Who will win Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Bristol City 45%, draw 26%, Sheffield Utd 29%.

Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Sat 17 Oct

FTWatford 2-0 CharltonOver 1.5 ✓FTMillwall 2-2 Lincoln1 ✗FTMiddlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff1 ✗FTSouthampton 0-0 Bolton1 ✗FTSwansea 0-1 West HamX2 ✓FTWest Brom 3-2 Blackburn1X ✓FTWrexham 4-1 Preston1 ✓FTBirmingham 3-0 QPROver 1.5 ✓FTDerby 0-1 Stoke CityX2 ✓FTNorwich 0-1 PortsmouthOver 1.5 ✗

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