Championship · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Bolton- Substitution: Cyle LarinOff: Lewis Dobbin41'
- 44'Yellow card: Akin FamewoFoul
- 45'Substitution: Atsuki ItoOff: Ruben Rodrigues
- Substitution: Tom FellowsOff: Kuryu Matsuki45'
HT 0-0
- Yellow card: Cameron BraggDissent59'
- 61'Substitution: Xavier SimonsOff: Ethan Erhahon
- 61'Substitution: Thierry GaleOff: Kyliane Dong
- 73'Substitution: Sam DalbyOff: Thelonius Bair
- Substitution: Samuel EdozieOff: Cameron Bragg73'
- Substitution: Ryan ManningOff: Welington73'
- 76'Yellow card: Lewis BruntFoul
- 83'Yellow card: Thelonius BairFoul
- Yellow card: Kuryu MatsukiFoul85'
- 87'Substitution: Samuel IlingOff: Gaizka Larrazabal
- 88'Yellow card: Luca StephensonFoul
Our verdict
Southampton to win
Bet365 1.48
✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 62%Possession38%
- 1.91Expected goals (xG)1.22
- 14Total shots14
- 2Shots on target3
- 7Shots off target4
- 5Blocked shots7
- 11Shots inside the box9
- 5Corners3
- 10Offsides0
- 8Fouls9
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves2
- 609Passes366
- 529Accurate passes271
Line-ups
Southampton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Daniel PeretzG
- 14J. BreeD
- 5J. StephensD
- 13K. SchlotterbeckD
- 34WelingtonD
- 30J. Ward-ProwseM
- 26Cameron BraggM
- 18T. FellowsM
- 10F. AzazM
- 7Léo ScienzaM
- 9C. LarinF
Substitutes
- 25G. LongG
- 8C. JanderM
- 23S. EdozieM
- 11L. DobbinF
- 6Z. AbbottD
- 27K. MatsukiM
- 28D. MubamaF
- 3R. ManningD
- 15N. Wood-GordonD
Coach: Tonda Eckert
Bolton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 31G. BazunuG
- 27Luca StephensonD
- 18E. ToalD
- 5L. BruntD
- 14A. FamewoD
- 8J. SheehanM
- 4X. SimonsM
- 22Gaizka LarrazabalM
- 17A. ItoM
- 11T. GaleM
- 10S. DalbyF
Substitutes
- 1J. BonhamG
- 25M. ConwayD
- 6B. DaviesD
- 7K. DongF
- 21E. ErhahonM
- 39R. HardieF
- 16S. Iling-JuniorF
- 20Ruben RodriguesF
- 9T. BairF
Coach: S. Schumacher
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.33 – 1.09Half time / full time result. 1 = Southampton, X = draw, 2 = Bolton.
Asian handicap applied to Southampton.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstSouthampton1W 0D 0L · last 1Bolton1W 0D 0L · last 1Championship table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  W. LankshearMiddlesbrough | 13 | 13 |
| 2 |  A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. LarinSouthampton | 11 | 7 |
| 4 |  J. BowenWest Ham | 13 | 7 |
| 5 |  Fer LópezWolves | 12 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Southampton | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Southampton host Bolton in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Southampton clear favourites, giving Southampton a 65% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 16% for Bolton. Our tip is: Southampton to win.
Southampton have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Bolton have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Championship
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Southampton vs Bolton?
Southampton vs Bolton kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Southampton vs Bolton in?
The match is in the England Championship.
Where are Southampton and Bolton in the table?
Southampton are 5th and Bolton are 19th in the Championship.
Who will win Southampton vs Bolton?
Our prediction is Southampton to win. Win probabilities: Southampton 65%, draw 19%, Bolton 16%.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Bolton?
We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Bolton?
We estimate a 66% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.