Championship · Regular Season - 11
Match events
QPR- Yellow card: Jhon Elmer Solís RomeroFoul23'
- Goal: Liam MillarAssist: Tomoki Iwata27'
- 44'Yellow card: Harvey ValeFoul
HT 1-0
- Goal: Liam MillarAssist: Tomoki Iwata49'
- 50'Yellow card: Rayan Jawad KolliNot Retreating
- Substitution: Jhon Elmer Solís RomeroOff: Max Bird57'
- Substitution: Patrick RobertsOff: Carlos Vicente57'
- 62'Substitution: Richard KoneOff: Rayan Jawad Kolli
- Yellow card: Christoph·KlarerFoul69'
- Substitution: Liam MillarOff: Demarai Gray71'
- 72'Substitution: Jake Clarke-SalterOff: Jonathan Varane
- 81'Substitution: Paul SmythOff: Koki Saito
- 81'Substitution: Glen KamaraOff: Leon Scarlett
- Substitution: August PriskeOff: Luis Vasquez86'
- Goal: Demarai GrayAssist: Luis Vasquez90+1'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.28
✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 52%Possession48%
- 1.34Expected goals (xG)1.17
- 11Total shots12
- 5Shots on target4
- 4Shots off target2
- 2Blocked shots6
- 9Shots inside the box6
- 0Corners4
- 0Offsides4
- 13Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves2
- 499Passes443
- 400Accurate passes353
Line-ups
Birmingham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. BeadleG
- 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
- 5P. NeumannD
- 4C. KlarerD
- 20A. CochraneD
- 24T. IwataM
- 14J. SolisM
- 16P. RobertsM
- 28J. StansfieldM
- 17L. MillarM
- 9A. PriskeF
Substitutes
- 21R. AllsopG
- 18M. BirdM
- 33M. DuckschF
- 23D. FryD
- 19T. Gardner-HickmanM
- 10D. GrayF
- 2E. LairdD
- 32L. VázquezF
- 7Carlos VicenteF
Coach: C. Davies
QPR
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1P. CharlesG
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 3J. DunneD
- 6J. Clarke-SalterD
- 12B. KemperD
- 18G. KamaraM
- 5R. EdwardsM
- 17K. PokuM
- 20H. ValeM
- 11P. SmythM
- 26Rayan Jawad KolliF
Substitutes
- 40J. VaraneM
- 13C. WardG
- 14K. SaitoF
- 25Justin Patrick Nnamdi ObikwuF
- 4L. MorrisonD
- 24N. MadsenM
- 22R. KoneF
- 23I. AlemayehuM
- 33Leon ScarlettF
Coach: Julien Stéphan
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.55 – 1.11Half time / full time result. 1 = Birmingham, X = draw, 2 = QPR.
Asian handicap applied to Birmingham.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstBirmingham1W 0D 0L · last 1QPR1W 0D 0L · last 1Championship table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  W. LankshearMiddlesbrough | 13 | 13 |
| 2 |  A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn | 12 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. LarinSouthampton | 11 | 7 |
| 4 |  J. BowenWest Ham | 13 | 7 |
| 5 |  Fer LópezWolves | 12 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Birmingham | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 4 | 4 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Birmingham host QPR in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) at St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Birmingham slight favourites, giving Birmingham a 47% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 27% for QPR. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Birmingham have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). QPR have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Championship
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Birmingham vs QPR?
Birmingham vs QPR kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Birmingham vs QPR in?
The match is in the England Championship.
Where are Birmingham and QPR in the table?
Birmingham are 6th and QPR are 9th in the Championship.
Who will win Birmingham vs QPR?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Birmingham 47%, draw 26%, QPR 27%.
Will both teams score in Birmingham vs QPR?
We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Birmingham vs QPR?
We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.