Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Millwall vs Lincoln prediction

Millwall vs Lincoln prediction for the Championship on 17 Oct 2026: Millwall to win (56%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Saturday17October 2026
MillwallLincoln
2 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-2
The Den, London

Match events

MillwallLincoln
  1. 1'Goal: Andrei Coubiș
  2. 33'Goal: Robert Nicholas StreetAssist: Sonny Bradley
  3. Yellow card: Tristan CramaFoul35'
  4. 35'Yellow card: Robert Nicholas StreetArgument
  5. 41'Yellow card: F. DraperTime Wasting
  6. Substitution: Filip MarshallOff: Max Crocombe45'
  7. Substitution: Mark SykesOff: Luke Cundle45'

HT 0-2

  1. Goal: Kyrell Lisbie63'
  2. 66'Substitution: Reeco Hackett-FairchildOff: Daniel Oyegoke
  3. 69'Yellow card: Andrei CoubișTime Wasting
  4. Yellow card: Kyrell LisbieDissent72'
  5. Substitution: Romain EsseOff: Jenson Metcalfe72'
  6. Substitution: Tristan CramaOff: Ryan Leonard72'
  7. 80'Substitution: Adam ReachOff: Ryley Towler
  8. 80'Substitution: Dom JefferiesOff: Callum Elder
  9. Substitution: Kyrell LisbieOff: Zakariya Lovelace80'
  10. Goal: Jake Cooper82'
  11. 84'Red card: Deji Elerewe
  12. Yellow card: Zak SturgeFoul86'
  13. Yellow card: Ryan LeonardArgument90+1'
  14. 90+1'Yellow card: Callum ElderArgument
  15. Yellow card: Camiel NeghliFoul90+2'
  16. 90+3'Substitution: Mikkel LadefogedOff: F. Draper

Our verdict

1 ✗

Millwall to win

Bet365 1.67

56%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Millwall56%
Fair odds 1.79
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Lincoln20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 70%Possession30%
  • 1.67Expected goals (xG)0.75
  • 16Total shots9
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 4Shots off target4
  • 6Blocked shots2
  • 11Shots inside the box9
  • 12Corners2
  • 1Offsides6
  • 14Fouls10
  • 5Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Goalkeeper saves4
  • 390Passes176
  • 297Accurate passes95

Line-ups

Millwall

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 34F. MarschallG
  2. 4T. CramaD
  3. 6C. TaylorD
  4. 5J. CooperD
  5. 3Zak Norton SturgeD
  6. 49D. Mazou-SackoM
  7. 14Jenson MetcalfeM
  8. 17M. SykesM
  9. 10C. NeghliM
  10. 22K. LisbieM
  11. 13L. DykesF

Substitutes

  1. 45A. DoughtyM
  2. 11R. EsseM
  3. 18R. LeonardD
  4. 16D. KellyM
  5. 12E. BaggottD
  6. 29Z. LovelaceF
  7. 15M. CrocombeG
  8. 2J. Osei-TutuD
  9. 25L. CundleM

Coach: A. Neil

Lincoln

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1G. WickensG
  2. 4A. CoubișD
  3. 25D. ElereweD
  4. 15S. BradleyD
  5. 3A. ReachD
  6. 26Y. KonakM
  7. 24I. VarfolomeevM
  8. 7R. HackettM
  9. 17R. StreetM
  10. 16D. JefferiesM
  11. 34F. DraperF

Substitutes

  1. 20C. ElderD
  2. 23J. HonohanD
  3. 11M. LadefogedF
  4. 27C. OgbeneF
  5. 19I. OlaofeF
  6. 33D. OyegokeD
  7. 6R. TowlerD
  8. 8T. BaylissM
  9. 46J. GauciG

Coach: Chris Cohen

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.78 – 0.97
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

MillwallLincoln
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
86%Defence14%
50%Head to head50%
65%Expected goals35%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMillwallLincoln
Played11
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)16
Clean sheets00
Failed to score11
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

Millwall host Lincoln in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) at The Den, London, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Millwall favourites, giving Millwall a 56% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 20% for Lincoln. Our tip is: Millwall to win.

Millwall have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Lincoln have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 12:30 WAT
Venue
The Den, London

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Millwall vs Lincoln?

Millwall vs Lincoln kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 12:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Millwall vs Lincoln in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Millwall and Lincoln in the table?

Millwall are 12th and Lincoln are 16th in the Championship.

Who will win Millwall vs Lincoln?

Our prediction is Millwall to win. Win probabilities: Millwall 56%, draw 24%, Lincoln 20%.

Will both teams score in Millwall vs Lincoln?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Millwall vs Lincoln?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Sat 17 Oct

FTWatford 2-0 CharltonOver 1.5 ✓FTMiddlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff1 ✗FTSouthampton 0-0 Bolton1 ✗FTSwansea 0-1 West HamX2 ✓FTWest Brom 3-2 Blackburn1X ✓FTWrexham 4-1 Preston1 ✓FTBirmingham 3-0 QPROver 1.5 ✓FTBristol City 0-1 Sheffield UtdOver 1.5 ✗FTDerby 0-1 Stoke CityX2 ✓FTNorwich 0-1 PortsmouthOver 1.5 ✗

All football predictions for today