League Two · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Northampton- Yellow card: Douglas TharmeFoul28'
- 34'Goal: M. WarhurstAssist: Lee Evans
- Yellow card: Charles VernamFoul42'
HT 0-1
- Substitution: Douglas TharmeOff: Joe Foulkes49'
- 54'Yellow card: josh powellFoul
- 57'Substitution: Joe O'Brien WhitmarshOff: Elliott List
- 58'Goal: Jon GuthrieAssist: Elliott Moore
- Red card: Edon PrutiSerious Foul61'
- Substitution: Charles VernamOff: Finn Cartwright66'
- Yellow card: Jamie WalkerFoul72'
- 74'Yellow card: Jon GuthrieFoul
- Yellow card: David John ArtellDissent75'
- Substitution: Andy CookOff: Iwan Morgan78'
- Substitution: Justin Ikechukwu Obiora AmaluzorOff: Sonny Finch78'
- Substitution: Jamie WalkerOff: Cian Doyle78'
- 80'Substitution: M. WarhurstOff: Sam Hoskins
- 80'Substitution: josh powellOff: James Maxwell
- 90+1'Substitution: Janoi DonacienOff: Max Dyche
Our verdict
Grimsby to win
Bet365 1.67
✗ This tip lost · final score 0-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 53%Possession47%
- 2.71Expected goals (xG)1.66
- 13Total shots10
- 3Shots on target6
- 9Shots off target2
- 1Blocked shots2
- 11Shots inside the box9
- 3Corners7
- 2Offsides2
- 9Fouls14
- 3Yellow cards2
- 1Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves3
- 375Passes330
- 251Accurate passes205
Line-ups
Grimsby
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 31C. PymG
- 5H. RodgersD
- 2M. KacurriD
- 24D. TharmeD
- 26E. PrutiD
- 15G. TuriM
- 14J. AmaluzorM
- 4K. GreenM
- 7J. WalkerM
- 30C. VernamM
- 9Iwan MorganF
Substitutes
- 1H. CartwrightG
- 39A. CookF
- 8Cian DoyleM
- 10S. FinchF
- 12J. FoulkesD
- 11Ryley ReynoldsM
- 28F. CartwrightM
Coach: D. Artell
Northampton
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Z. JeacockG
- 44J. DonacienD
- 6E. MooreD
- 5J. GuthrieD
- 22Joshua Alan PowellD
- 16J. WormleightonM
- 24C. Lemonheigh-EvansM
- 8L. EvansM
- 4J. O'Brien-WhitmarshM
- 19O. DaleF
- 9Matthew WarhurstF
Substitutes
- 3J. MaxwellD
- 10E. ListF
- 7S. HoskinsF
- 14T. FornahM
- 35M. DycheD
- 31J. DadgeG
- 26S. ChambersM
Coach: C. Hogg
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.71 – 0.90Half time / full time result. 1 = Grimsby, X = draw, 2 = Northampton.
Asian handicap applied to Grimsby.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstGrimsby0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Northampton0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 13 | 10 |
| 2 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 13 | 9 |
| 3 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 12 | 9 |
| 4 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 14 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 14 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Grimsby | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Grimsby host Northampton in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) at Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Grimsby favourites, giving Grimsby a 56% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 19% for Northampton. Our tip is: Grimsby to win.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Grimsby vs Northampton?
Grimsby vs Northampton kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Grimsby vs Northampton in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Grimsby and Northampton in the table?
Grimsby are 6th and Northampton are 20th in the League Two.
Who will win Grimsby vs Northampton?
Our prediction is Grimsby to win. Win probabilities: Grimsby 56%, draw 25%, Northampton 19%.
Will both teams score in Grimsby vs Northampton?
We estimate a 49% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Grimsby vs Northampton?
We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.