League Two · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Rochdale- Goal: Matúš HolíčekAssist: Jordan Gibson39'
- Goal: Jordan GibsonAssist: Owen lunt45'
- Substitution: Matúš HolíčekOff: Conor Thomas45'
HT 2-0
- Yellow card: Joe WhiteFoul50'
- Goal: Jordan GibsonAssist: Kyle Ure55'
- Substitution: Joe WhiteOff: Calum·Agius60'
- 63'Substitution: Dajaune BrownOff: Emmanuel Dieseruvwe
- 63'Substitution: Cian HayesOff: Edward Francis
- 63'Substitution: Charlie TaskerOff: sam beckwith
- 65'Own goal: Joel Tabiner (og)
- Substitution: Jordan GibsonOff: Stan Dancey75'
- Substitution: Reece HutchinsonOff: Kyle Ure75'
- Substitution: Joel TabinerOff: Adrien thibaut75'
- 79'Substitution: Babajide Ezekiel AdeekoOff: Zain Silcott-Duberry
- 90'Goal: Aden FlintAssist: Edward Francis
Our verdict
Crewe or draw
Bet365 1.22
✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 40%Possession60%
- 1.53Expected goals (xG)0.89
- 10Total shots15
- 4Shots on target3
- 3Shots off target4
- 3Blocked shots8
- 9Shots inside the box8
- 1Corners7
- 1Offsides2
- 7Fouls7
- 1Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves1
- 370Passes560
- 292Accurate passes460
Line-ups
Crewe
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. BoothG
- 2L. BillingtonD
- 6L. OffordD
- 12J. StephensonD
- 4Kyle UreD
- 19O. LuntM
- 10J. WhiteM
- 11J. TabinerM
- 17M. HolíčekM
- 14J. GibsonM
- 9J. MarchF
Substitutes
- 20Calum AgiusF
- 3R. HutchinsonD
- 13I. LawlorG
- 23C. McNeillF
- 29A. ThibautF
- 8C. ThomasM
- 30Stan DanceyD
Coach: Lee Bell
Rochdale
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20Sam William John WallerG
- 13O. Adebayo-RowlingD
- 44A. FlintD
- 3Kaiden WilsonD
- 2C. TaskerD
- 8H. GilmourM
- 17B. AdeekoM
- 7C. HayesM
- 21Kane TaylorM
- 45G. MiddletonM
- 39D. BrownF
Substitutes
- 11Z. Silcott-DuberryF
- 26S. SherringD
- 19L. HannantM
- 14E. FrancisM
- 9E. DieseruvweF
- 33S. BeckwithD
- 12J. SpavenG
Coach: Ian Watson
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.63 – 1.00Half time / full time result. 1 = Crewe, X = draw, 2 = Rochdale.
Asian handicap applied to Crewe.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstLeague Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 13 | 10 |
| 2 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 13 | 9 |
| 3 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 12 | 9 |
| 4 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 14 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 14 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Crewe | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Crewe host Rochdale in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) at Alexandra Stadium, Crewe, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Crewe favourites, giving Crewe a 52% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 23% for Rochdale. Our tip is: Crewe or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- Alexandra Stadium, Crewe
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Crewe vs Rochdale?
Crewe vs Rochdale kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Crewe vs Rochdale in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Crewe and Rochdale in the table?
Crewe are 4th and Rochdale are 19th in the League Two.
Who will win Crewe vs Rochdale?
Our prediction is Crewe or draw. Win probabilities: Crewe 52%, draw 25%, Rochdale 23%.
Will both teams score in Crewe vs Rochdale?
We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Crewe vs Rochdale?
We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.