Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Grobiņa vs Riga prediction

Grobiņa vs Riga prediction for the Virsliga on 26 Oct 2026: Over 2.5 (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Virsliga · Regular Season - 34
GrobiņaNo recent gamesRiga
2 - 5Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 0-4
Grobina Stadium, Grobina

Match events

GrobiņaRiga
  1. 4'Goal: Samuel PedroAssist: Muhammed Badammosi
  2. Red card: Aleksa Jovanović12'
  3. 13'Penalty goal: Muhammed Badammosi (pen)
  4. 17'Goal: Coli SacoAssist: Ahmed Ankrah
  5. Substitution: hirotaka yamadaOff: Gļebs Kļuškins18'
  6. Substitution: Oladotun Olatunde-MatthewOff: gustavs leitans18'
  7. 22'Yellow card: Andrés Salazar
  8. Yellow card: Gļebs Kļuškins27'
  9. 28'Goal: Muhammed BadammosiAssist: Salah hand m
  10. 29'Yellow card: Karl Gameni Wassom
  11. Yellow card: Krisjanis rupeiks30'
  12. 38'Yellow card: Antonijs Černomordijs
  13. Substitution: Milan·CorrynOff: Artjoms Puzirevskis45+1'

HT 0-4

  1. 46'Substitution: Karl Gameni WassomOff: Abner Salles da Silva
  2. 46'Substitution: Andrés SalazarOff: Nor Nor Emmanuel Maviram
  3. Substitution: Ivan·TyshchenkoOff: martin jose63'
  4. Substitution: DodoOff: Anton Baydal63'
  5. 67'Goal: Salah hand mAssist: Antonijs Černomordijs
  6. 67'Substitution: Salah hand mOff: ramires reginaldo
  7. 68'Substitution: Raivis JurkovskisOff: meissa diop
  8. Goal: Artjoms PuzirevskisAssist: Maksims Sidorovs79'
  9. 87'Substitution: Ahmed AnkrahOff: Iago Siqueira
  10. Goal: Artjoms PuzirevskisAssist: Ivan·Tyshchenko89'

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✓

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.44

65%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-5

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Grobiņa8%
Fair odds 12.50
X · Draw16%
Fair odds 6.25
2 · Riga76%
Fair odds 1.32

Match statistics

  • 22%Possession78%
  • 0.46Expected goals (xG)2.27
  • 3Total shots22
  • 2Shots on target10
  • 0Shots off target9
  • 1Blocked shots3
  • 1Shots inside the box12
  • 1Corners5
  • 1Offsides0
  • 11Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves0
  • 190Passes721
  • 112Accurate passes635

Line-ups

Grobiņa

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 21R. OzolsG
  2. 2K. RupeiksD
  3. 15A. JovanovićD
  4. 3D. DružiņinsD
  5. 27R. BaravykasD
  6. 77DodôF
  7. 8O. Olatunde-MatthewD
  8. 87martin joseM
  9. 14M. SidorovsD
  10. 20H. YamadaM
  11. 6M. CorrynM

Substitutes

  1. 80A. BaydalF
  2. 32G. KļuškinsM
  3. 7J. KrautmanisD
  4. 1V. KudrjavcevsG
  5. 5G. LeitansM
  6. 99A. PuzirevskisF
  7. 88I. TyshchenkoM

Coach: Oskars Klava

Riga

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 91F. OrolsG
  2. 13R. JurkovskisD
  3. 34A. ČernomordijsD
  4. 5K. WassomM
  5. 17A. SalazarD
  6. 6C. SacoM
  7. 40A. AnkrahM
  8. 25A. TaiwoF
  9. 18S. Oulad M'HandM
  10. 15Samuel PedroF
  11. 19M. BadamosiF

Substitutes

  1. 3AbnerD
  2. 7R. AouaniF
  3. 22M. DiopF
  4. 8Iago Siqueira AugustoM
  5. 44M. KazainisG
  6. 60E. MaviramD
  7. 21B. MusahD
  8. 10Reginaldo RamiresF
  9. 23M. ToņiševsD

Coach: A. Guľa

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.76 – 2.57
0.5 goalsOver96.4%Under3.6%
1.5 goalsOver84.5%Under15.5%
2.5 goalsOver64.6%Under35.4%
3.5 goalsOver42.6%Under57.4%
4.5 goalsOver24.3%Under75.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

GrobiņaRiga
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
23%Expected goals77%
10%Overall90%

Last matches

Newest first
Grobiņa0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Riga0W 2D 0L · last 2
DPafos vs Riga22 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-1DRiga vs Kairat Almaty15 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-1

Virsliga table

Virsliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rīgas FS4+1212
2BFC Daugavpils3+49
3Auda3+36
4FK Liepaja3+35
5Riga2+34
6Ogre United2-31
7Tukums3-41
8Super Nova3-71
9FS Jelgava3-50
10Grobiņa2-60
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGrobiņaRiga
Played02
Wins00
Draws02
Losses00
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.50/02/2
Over 2.50/00/2
Over 3.50/00/2
BTTS – yes0/02/2

Match preview

Grobiņa host Riga in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 34) at Grobina Stadium, Grobina, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 17:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Riga clear favourites, giving Grobiņa a 8% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 76% for Riga. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

Riga have taken 2 points from their last 2 games (0W 2D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 50% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Latvia Virsliga
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 17:00 WAT
Venue
Grobina Stadium, Grobina

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Grobiņa vs Riga?

Grobiņa vs Riga kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 17:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Grobiņa vs Riga in?

The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.

Where are Grobiņa and Riga in the table?

Grobiņa are 10th and Riga are 5th in the Virsliga.

Who will win Grobiņa vs Riga?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Grobiņa 8%, draw 16%, Riga 76%.

Will both teams score in Grobiņa vs Riga?

We estimate a 50% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Grobiņa vs Riga?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

All football predictions for today