Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Ogre United vs Riga prediction

Ogre United vs Riga prediction for the Virsliga on 1 Nov 2026: Over 2.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Sunday1November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Virsliga · Regular Season - 35
Ogre UnitedRiga
0 - 0Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 0-0
Ogre

Match events

Ogre UnitedRiga
  1. Yellow card: Arsentiy Doroshenko17'
  2. 42'Yellow card: Coli Saco

HT 0-0

  1. 46'Substitution: Iago SiqueiraOff: Abdulrahman Taiwo
  2. Substitution: Ingars PulisOff: Marks pechepko63'
  3. Yellow card: aleksejs kudelkins66'
  4. 67'Substitution: Nor Nor Emmanuel MaviramOff: Samuel Pedro
  5. 67'Substitution: meissa diopOff: Raivis Jurkovskis
  6. 67'Substitution: Raki AouaniOff: Ferreira caio
  7. Substitution: emils evelonsOff: markuss kalnins68'
  8. 69'Yellow card: Ahmed Ankrah
  9. 73'Yellow card: Abdulrahman Taiwo
  10. 76'Yellow card: Antonijs Černomordijs
  11. 80'Substitution: Ahmed AnkrahOff: ramires reginaldo
  12. Red card: aleksejs kudelkins86'
  13. 88'Missed penalty: Muhammed Badammosi
  14. Substitution: markuss ivulansOff: artem marchuk90+1'
  15. Yellow card: markuss kalnins90+2'
  16. Substitution: Arsentiy DoroshenkoOff: Roberts Aditajs90+2'

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✗

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0

Expected goals4.0

Win probability

1 · Ogre United4%
Fair odds 25.00
X · Draw9%
Fair odds 11.11
2 · Riga87%
Fair odds 1.15

Match statistics

  • 27%Possession73%
  • 0.41Expected goals (xG)1.97
  • 10Total shots24
  • 2Shots on target6
  • 4Shots off target12
  • 4Blocked shots6
  • 6Shots inside the box15
  • 3Corners10
  • 0Offsides1
  • 9Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 1Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves2
  • 207Passes553
  • 93Accurate passes462

Line-ups

Ogre United

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 20K. BiscuhisG
  2. 91J. GrīnbergsD
  3. 37Martins LormanisD
  4. 55A. KudeļkinsD
  5. 27A. MolotkovsD
  6. 21M. IvulānsF
  7. 19K. ČudarsM
  8. 30A. DoroshenkoM
  9. 2R. ZiemelisD
  10. 11Marks pechepkoF
  11. 18E. EvelonsF

Substitutes

  1. 14R. AdītājsF
  2. 32L. DalbinsG
  3. 47K. JohnsonF
  4. 10M. KalninsM
  5. 71A. MarchukM
  6. 17V. MashchenkoF
  7. 1Ņ. ParfjonovsG
  8. 7I. PūlisF
  9. 6Davis VejkrigersD

Riga

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 12K. PirićG
  2. 23M. ToņiševsD
  3. 34A. ČernomordijsD
  4. 21B. MusahD
  5. 60E. MaviramD
  6. 6C. SacoM
  7. 40A. AnkrahM
  8. 22M. DiopF
  9. 8Iago Siqueira AugustoM
  10. 7R. AouaniF
  11. 19M. BadamosiF

Substitutes

  1. 25A. TaiwoF
  2. 15Samuel PedroF
  3. 10Reginaldo RamiresF
  4. 91F. OrolsG
  5. 28E. Maurs-BoksM
  6. 13R. JurkovskisD
  7. 9A. ContrerasF
  8. 11CaioF
  9. 3AbnerD

Coach: A. Guľa

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.67 – 3.37
0.5 goalsOver98.2%Under1.8%
1.5 goalsOver91.1%Under8.9%
2.5 goalsOver76.7%Under23.3%
3.5 goalsOver57.4%Under42.6%
4.5 goalsOver37.8%Under62.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Ogre UnitedRiga
0%Form100%
30%Attack70%
25%Defence75%
50%Head to head50%
17%Expected goals83%
4%Overall96%

Last matches

Newest first
Ogre United0W 0D 1L · last 1
LOgre United vs Auda25 Oct 2026 · Virsliga1-4
Riga1W 2D 0L · last 3
WGrobiņa vs Riga26 Oct 2026 · Virsliga2-5DPafos vs Riga22 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-1DRiga vs Kairat Almaty15 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-1

Virsliga table

Virsliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Rīgas FS4+1212
2BFC Daugavpils3+49
3Auda3+36
4FK Liepaja3+35
5Riga2+34
6Ogre United2-31
7Tukums3-41
8Super Nova3-71
9FS Jelgava3-50
10Grobiņa2-60
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatOgre UnitedRiga
Played13
Wins01
Draws02
Losses10
Goals for (avg)12.3
Goals against (avg)41.3
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.51/13/3
Over 2.51/11/3
Over 3.51/11/3
BTTS – yes1/13/3

Match preview

Ogre United host Riga in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 35) at Ogre, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 12:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Riga clear favourites, giving Ogre United a 4% chance of winning, 9% for the draw and 87% for Riga. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

Ogre United have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Riga have taken 5 points from their last 3 games (1W 2D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 and a 47% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Latvia Virsliga
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 12:00 WAT
Venue
Ogre

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Ogre United vs Riga?

Ogre United vs Riga kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 12:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Ogre United vs Riga in?

The match is in the Latvia Virsliga.

Where are Ogre United and Riga in the table?

Ogre United are 6th and Riga are 5th in the Virsliga.

Who will win Ogre United vs Riga?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Ogre United 4%, draw 9%, Riga 87%.

Will both teams score in Ogre United vs Riga?

We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ogre United vs Riga?

We estimate a 77% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Virsliga on Sun 1 Nov

FTRīgas FS 3-0 GrobiņaOver 2.5 ✓FTBFC Daugavpils 2-0 Tukums1 ✓FTAuda 4-3 FS Jelgava1 ✓FTFK Liepaja 3-3 Super NovaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today