Our verdict
Manchester City to win
Bet365 1.53
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.33 – 2.19Half time / full time result. 1 = RB Leipzig, X = draw, 2 = Manchester City.
Asian handicap applied to RB Leipzig.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
RB Leipzig2W 0D 2L · last 4
Manchester City2W 0D 3L · last 5Champions League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLLWL |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LWLWL |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | DLDWD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LDLWD |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLLWD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  J. MickelsSabah FA | 11 | 4 |
| 2 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 3 | 4 |
| 3 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 2 | 4 |
| 4 |  S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund | 3 | 4 |
| 5 |  H. KaneBayern München | 3 | 4 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | RB Leipzig | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2.5 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 3/4 | 4/5 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/4 | 4/5 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/4 | 3/5 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/4 | 4/5 |
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Manchester City in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, with kick-off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Manchester City favourites, giving RB Leipzig a 22% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 57% for Manchester City. Our tip is: Manchester City to win.
RB Leipzig have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (2W 0D 2L). Manchester City have taken 6 points from their last 5 games (2W 0D 3L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 and a 66% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Champions League
- Date
- Wednesday, 4 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kicks off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is RB Leipzig vs Manchester City in?
The match is in the Europe Champions League.
Where are RB Leipzig and Manchester City in the table?
RB Leipzig are 30th and Manchester City are 10th in the Champions League.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
Our prediction is Manchester City to win. Win probabilities: RB Leipzig 22%, draw 21%, Manchester City 57%.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
We estimate a 66% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
We estimate a 68% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.