Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.22
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.23Half time / full time result. 1 = FC Porto, X = draw, 2 = Napoli.
Asian handicap applied to FC Porto.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
FC Porto1W 0D 2L · last 3
Napoli2W 1D 3L · last 6Champions League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLLWL |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LWLWL |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | DLDWD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LDLWD |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLLWD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  J. MickelsSabah FA | 11 | 4 |
| 2 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 3 | 4 |
| 3 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 2 | 4 |
| 4 |  S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund | 3 | 4 |
| 5 |  H. KaneBayern München | 3 | 4 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | FC Porto | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 6 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/3 | 5/6 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/3 | 4/6 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/3 | 4/6 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/3 | 4/6 |
Match preview
FC Porto host Napoli in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Estádio do Dragão, Porto, with kick-off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 21:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes FC Porto slight favourites, giving FC Porto a 46% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 29% for Napoli. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
FC Porto have taken 3 points from their last 3 games (1W 0D 2L). Napoli have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (2W 1D 2L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Champions League
- Date
- Wednesday, 4 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Venue
- Estádio do Dragão, Porto
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is FC Porto vs Napoli?
FC Porto vs Napoli kicks off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 21:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is FC Porto vs Napoli in?
The match is in the Europe Champions League.
Where are FC Porto and Napoli in the table?
FC Porto are 34th and Napoli are 22nd in the Champions League.
Who will win FC Porto vs Napoli?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: FC Porto 46%, draw 25%, Napoli 29%.
Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Napoli?
We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Porto vs Napoli?
We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.