Our verdict
Over 2.5
Bet365 1.50
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.22 – 1.97Half time / full time result. 1 = Fenerbahçe, X = draw, 2 = Liverpool.
Asian handicap applied to Fenerbahçe.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstChampions League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLLWL |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LWLWL |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | DLDWD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LDLWD |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLLWD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 4 | |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | |
| 4 | 3 | 4 | |
| 5 | 3 | 4 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Fenerbahçe | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Wins | 0 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 3.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 3 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 4 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/4 | 4/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 4/4 | 3/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 3/4 | 3/4 |
Match preview
Fenerbahçe host Liverpool in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Chobani Stadium, Istanbul, with kick-off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 18:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Liverpool favourites, giving Fenerbahçe a 23% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 54% for Liverpool. Our tip is: Over 2.5.
Fenerbahçe have taken 1 points from their last 4 games (0W 1D 3L). Liverpool have taken 12 points from their last 4 games (4W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Champions League
- Date
- Wednesday, 4 November 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Venue
- Chobani Stadium, Istanbul
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool kicks off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool in?
The match is in the Europe Champions League.
Where are Fenerbahçe and Liverpool in the table?
Fenerbahçe are 31st and Liverpool are 3rd in the Champions League.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Fenerbahçe 23%, draw 23%, Liverpool 54%.
Will both teams score in Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fenerbahçe vs Liverpool?
We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

