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Manchester City vs Ipswich prediction

Manchester City vs Ipswich prediction for the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026: Manchester City to win (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Manchester CityIpswichNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 2-1
Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Match events

Manchester CityIpswich
  1. Goal: Phil FodenAssist: Jeremy Doku19'
  2. 21'Goal: Daizen MaedaAssist: Abdoul Ouattara
  3. Goal: Erling HaalandAssist: Mateo Kovačić34'

HT 2-1

  1. Substitution: Mateo KovačićOff: Enzo Fernández50'
  2. Substitution: Nico O'ReillyOff: Josko Gvardiol61'
  3. Goal: Erling HaalandAssist: Iliman Ndiaye69'
  4. 71'Substitution: Florentino LuísOff: Azor Matusiwa
  5. 71'Substitution: Daizen MaedaOff: Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
  6. 73'Yellow card: Abdoul OuattaraFoul
  7. Substitution: Abdukodir KhusanovOff: Matheus Nunes76'
  8. Substitution: Jeremy DokuOff: Antoine Semenyo77'
  9. Substitution: Phil FodenOff: Elliot Anderson77'
  10. 78'Substitution: Julio EncisoOff: Chuba Akpom
  11. 78'Substitution: Zian FlemmingOff: Emersonn
  12. VAR: Erling HaalandGoal cancelledVAR85'
  13. 88'VARVAR: Abdul Fatawu IssahakuPenalty confirmed
  14. 90'Penalty goal: Zian Flemming (pen)
  15. 90+1'Substitution: Jacob GreavesOff: Jack Clarke
  16. Yellow card: Josko GvardiolFoul90+7'
  17. 90+12'Yellow card: Leif DavisFoul

Our verdict

1 ✓

Manchester City to win

Bet365 1.25

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · Manchester City75%
Fair odds 1.33
X · Draw15%
Fair odds 6.67
2 · Ipswich10%
Fair odds 10.00

Match statistics

  • 70%Possession30%
  • 3.57Expected goals (xG)1.72
  • 19Total shots8
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 7Shots off target5
  • 6Blocked shots0
  • 14Shots inside the box7
  • 2Corners3
  • 2Offsides5
  • 8Fouls16
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves4
  • 740Passes314
  • 669Accurate passes254

Line-ups

Manchester City

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1G. DonnarummaG
  2. 27Matheus NunesD
  3. 3Rúben DiasD
  4. 6M. GuéhiD
  5. 33N. O'ReillyD
  6. 8M. KovačićM
  7. 32A. BouaddiM
  8. 7I. NdiayeM
  9. 47P. FodenM
  10. 11J. DokuM
  11. 9E. HaalandF

Substitutes

  1. 17E. FernándezM
  2. 10R. CherkiM
  3. 42A. SemenyoF
  4. 37AllanF
  5. 28G. RulliG
  6. 21R. Aït-NouriD
  7. 24J. GvardiolD
  8. 45A. KhusanovD
  9. 5E. AndersonM

Coach: E. Maresca

Ipswich

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 28C. WaltonG
  2. 26D. O'SheaD
  3. 6I. DiopD
  4. 24J. GreavesD
  5. 42A. OuattaraM
  6. 12FlorentinoM
  7. 25E. PalaciosM
  8. 3L. DavisM
  9. 38D. MaedaM
  10. 10J. EncisoM
  11. 19EmersonnF

Substitutes

  1. 2D. FurlongD
  2. 4C. KipréD
  3. 5A. MatusiwaM
  4. 7A. FatawuF
  5. 11J. PhilogeneF
  6. 47J. ClarkeF
  7. 29C. AkpomF
  8. 37K. ScherpenG
  9. 9Z. FlemmingF

Coach: G. O'Neil

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.67 – 0.88
0.5 goalsOver97.1%Under2.9%
1.5 goalsOver86.9%Under13.1%
2.5 goalsOver68.8%Under31.2%
3.5 goalsOver47.4%Under52.6%
4.5 goalsOver28.4%Under71.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Manchester CityIpswich
50%Form50%
100%Attack0%
5%Defence95%
50%Head to head50%
75%Expected goals25%
88%Overall12%

Last matches

Newest first

Premier League table

Premier League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
11Leeds9+111
12Newcastle8-211
13Ipswich9-411
14Everton8-110
15Fulham9-29
16Coventry9-79
17Manchester United9-57
18Crystal Palace9-127
19Nottingham Forest9-66
20Sunderland9-105
See full table ›

Top scorers

Premier League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. HaalandManchester City99
2A. IsakLiverpool76
3João PedroChelsea65
4M. RogersChelsea95
5M. TavernierBournemouth95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatManchester CityIpswich
Played10
Wins00
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)40
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.51/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

Manchester City host Ipswich in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) at Etihad Stadium, Manchester, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Manchester City clear favourites, giving Manchester City a 75% chance of winning, 15% for the draw and 10% for Ipswich. Our tip is: Manchester City to win.

Manchester City have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Premier League
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Etihad Stadium, Manchester

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Manchester City vs Ipswich?

Manchester City vs Ipswich kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Manchester City vs Ipswich in?

The match is in the England Premier League.

Where are Manchester City and Ipswich in the table?

Manchester City are 2nd and Ipswich are 13th in the Premier League.

Who will win Manchester City vs Ipswich?

Our prediction is Manchester City to win. Win probabilities: Manchester City 75%, draw 15%, Ipswich 10%.

Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Ipswich?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manchester City vs Ipswich?

We estimate a 69% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier League on Sat 17 Oct

FTEverton 0-2 ChelseaX2 ✓FTBrentford 1-2 Liverpool1X ✗FTFulham 1-0 Hull CityOver 1.5 ✗FTNewcastle 0-1 Aston Villa1X ✗

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