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RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven prediction for the Champions League on 13 Oct 2026: RB Leipzig to win (60%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday13October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 2
RB LeipzigNo recent gamesPSV EindhovenNo recent games
1 - 0Full time · Tue 13 OctHT 0-0
Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

Match events

RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven
  1. 16'VARVAR: Ruben van BommelPenalty confirmed
  2. 19'Missed penalty: Ivan Perišić
  3. 43'Yellow card: Sergiño DestFoul

HT 0-0

  1. Substitution: T. GomisOff: Romulo Cardoso61'
  2. Goal: B. Gruda75'
  3. Substitution: R. ReitzOff: B. Gruda76'
  4. 77'Substitution: R. FlamingoOff: L. Geertruida
  5. 77'Substitution: Y. GasiorowskiOff: F. Kostic
  6. Yellow card: Antonio NusaFoul81'
  7. 84'Substitution: A. SantosOff: R. van Bommel
  8. 84'Substitution: M. Bro HansenOff: S. Mijnans
  9. 85'Yellow card: Armando ObispoFoul
  10. Substitution: L. KlostermannOff: E. Banzuzi86'
  11. Substitution: N. SeiwaldOff: R. Baku86'

Our verdict

1 ✓

RB Leipzig to win

Bet365 1.53

60%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals4.0

Win probability

1 · RB Leipzig60%
Fair odds 1.67
X · Draw19%
Fair odds 5.26
2 · PSV Eindhoven21%
Fair odds 4.76

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 2.10Expected goals (xG)1.40
  • 19Total shots11
  • 7Shots on target5
  • 8Shots off target4
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 15Shots inside the box8
  • 6Corners12
  • 0Offsides6
  • 13Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 5Goalkeeper saves6
  • 350Passes466
  • 289Accurate passes389
  • 83%Pass accuracy83%

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 26M. VandevoordtG
  2. 17R. BakuD
  3. 4W. OrbanD
  4. 23C. LukebaD
  5. 22D. RaumD
  6. 21N. El AynaouiM
  7. 6E. BanzuziM
  8. 10B. GrudaM
  9. 28C. NkunkuM
  10. 7A. NusaM
  11. 40Romulo CardosoF

Substitutes

  1. 1O. NylandG
  2. 16L. KlostermannD
  3. 35M. FinkgrafeD
  4. 2A. KoneD
  5. 39B. HenrichsD
  6. 3M. EsteveD
  7. 30A. MaksimovicM
  8. 13N. SeiwaldM
  9. 20R. ReitzM
  10. 11J. BakayokoF
  11. 27T. GomisF

Coach: Martin Demichelis

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 32M. KovarG
  2. 8S. DestD
  3. 2L. GeertruidaD
  4. 4A. ObispoD
  5. 18F. KosticD
  6. 24K. SanoM
  7. 17Mauro JuniorM
  8. 5I. PerisicM
  9. 20G. TilM
  10. 7R. van BommelM
  11. 21S. MijnansF

Substitutes

  1. 1N. OlijG
  2. 51T. SmolenaarsG
  3. 6R. FlamingoD
  4. 3Y. GasiorowskiD
  5. 35A. SantosM
  6. 42S. CornecionM
  7. 31N. FernandezM
  8. 27D. ManF
  9. 19E. BajraktarevicF
  10. 37A. BouhamdiF
  11. 23M. Bro HansenF

Coach: Peter Bosz

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.54 – 1.51
0.5 goalsOver98.3%Under1.7%
1.5 goalsOver91.2%Under8.8%
2.5 goalsOver76.9%Under23.1%
3.5 goalsOver57.6%Under42.4%
4.5 goalsOver38.1%Under61.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
RB Leipzig0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

PSV Eindhoven0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

RB Leipzig host PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League (League Stage - 2) at Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, with kick-off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes RB Leipzig favourites, giving RB Leipzig a 60% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 21% for PSV Eindhoven. Our tip is: RB Leipzig to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 and a 72% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Leipzig Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven kicks off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are RB Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven in the table?

RB Leipzig are 30th and PSV Eindhoven are 18th in the Champions League.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction is RB Leipzig to win. Win probabilities: RB Leipzig 60%, draw 19%, PSV Eindhoven 21%.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

We estimate a 72% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?

We estimate a 77% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Tue 13 Oct

FTSabah FA 2-0 Slavia Praha12 ✓FTLens 0-2 Sporting CP12 ✓FTInter 3-4 Club Brugge KV1 ✗FTArsenal 3-0 Lille1 ✓FTAtletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester UnitedOver 1.5 ✓FTGalatasaray 1-4 BarcelonaOver 2.5 ✓FTVillarreal 3-1 NapoliOver 1.5 ✓FTViking 3-3 Bayern MünchenGG ✓

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