Our verdict
Real Madrid to win
Bet365 1.25
Win probability
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.06 – 2.39Half time / full time result. 1 = AEK Athens FC, X = draw, 2 = Real Madrid.
Asian handicap applied to AEK Athens FC.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest first
AEK Athens FC0W 0D 2L · last 2
Real Madrid4W 0D 0L · last 4Champions League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | WLLWL |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LWLWL |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWLWW |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LLWWD |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | DLDWD |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LDLWD |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLLWD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  J. MickelsSabah FA | 11 | 4 |
| 2 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 3 | 4 |
| 3 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 2 | 4 |
| 4 |  S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund | 3 | 4 |
| 5 |  H. KaneBayern München | 3 | 4 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | AEK Athens FC | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1 | 3.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 4 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 4 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/2 | 4/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/2 | 4/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/2 | 3/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/2 | 4/4 |
Match preview
AEK Athens FC host Real Madrid in the Champions League (League Stage - 4) at Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia, with kick-off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 18:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Real Madrid clear favourites, giving AEK Athens FC a 15% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 66% for Real Madrid. Our tip is: Real Madrid to win.
AEK Athens FC have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L). Real Madrid have taken 12 points from their last 4 games (4W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Europe Champions League
- Date
- Wednesday, 4 November 2026, 18:45 WAT
- Venue
- Allwyn Arena, Nea Filadelfeia
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?
AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid kicks off on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 18:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid in?
The match is in the Europe Champions League.
Where are AEK Athens FC and Real Madrid in the table?
AEK Athens FC are 29th and Real Madrid are 4th in the Champions League.
Who will win AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?
Our prediction is Real Madrid to win. Win probabilities: AEK Athens FC 15%, draw 19%, Real Madrid 66%.
Will both teams score in AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?
We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid?
We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.