Premier League · Regular Season - 9
Match events
Brighton- 11'Goal: Yasin AyariAssist: Maxim De Cuyper
- 20'Yellow card: Chema AndrésFoul
HT 0-1
- 49'Yellow card: Maxim De CuyperFoul
- Substitution: Ayyoub BouaddiOff: Rayan Cherki55'
- 64'Substitution: Olivier BoscagliOff: Jaouen Hadjam
- 64'Substitution: Chema AndrésOff: Mats Wieffer
- Substitution: Enzo FernándezOff: Nico O'Reilly64'
- 72'Substitution: Maxim De CuyperOff: Malick Yalcouyé
- 72'Substitution: Charalampos KostoulasOff: Jack Hinshelwood
- Substitution: Iliman NdiayeOff: Allan Andrade Elias79'
- Substitution: Josko GvardiolOff: Phil Foden79'
- 81'Yellow card: Pascal GroßFoul
- 84'Substitution: Diego GomezOff: Georginio Rutter
Our verdict
Manchester City or Brighton
Bet365 1.22
✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 62%Possession38%
- 1.98Expected goals (xG)1.02
- 21Total shots7
- 6Shots on target3
- 8Shots off target3
- 7Blocked shots1
- 19Shots inside the box6
- 8Corners2
- 2Offsides2
- 9Fouls13
- 0Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves7
- 597Passes360
- 502Accurate passes278
Line-ups
Manchester City
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1G. DonnarummaG
- 27Matheus NunesD
- 45A. KhusanovD
- 3Rúben DiasD
- 24J. GvardiolD
- 32A. BouaddiM
- 5E. AndersonM
- 17E. FernándezM
- 7I. NdiayeF
- 9E. HaalandF
- 11J. DokuF
Substitutes
- 8M. KovačićM
- 10R. CherkiM
- 47P. FodenM
- 37AllanF
- 28G. RulliG
- 6M. GuéhiD
- 22Vitor NunesD
- 33N. O'ReillyD
- 82R. LewisD
Coach: E. Maresca
Brighton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. VerbruggenG
- 20CostinhaD
- 44L. VuškovićD
- 5L. DunkD
- 21O. BoscagliD
- 13P. GroßM
- 14José María Andrés BaixauliM
- 25D. GómezM
- 26Y. AyariM
- 29M. De CuyperM
- 19C. KostoulasF
Substitutes
- 3J. HadjamD
- 27M. WiefferM
- 30M. SvobodaD
- 8J. HinshelwoodM
- 10G. RutterF
- 11Y. MintehF
- 33M. O'RileyM
- 23J. SteeleG
- 35M. YalcouyéM
Coach: F. Hürzeler
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.08 – 1.32Half time / full time result. 1 = Manchester City, X = draw, 2 = Brighton.
Asian handicap applied to Manchester City.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstManchester City2W 0D 2L · last 4Brighton2W 1D 1L · last 4Premier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  A. IsakLiverpool | 8 | 6 |
| 3 |  João PedroChelsea | 6 | 5 |
| 4 |  M. RogersChelsea | 9 | 5 |
| 5 |  M. TavernierBournemouth | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Manchester City | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 |
| Best win streak | 2 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/4 | 3/4 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 4/4 | 2/4 |
| Over 3.5 | 3/4 | 2/4 |
| BTTS – yes | 4/4 | 0/4 |
Match preview
Manchester City host Brighton in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9) at Etihad Stadium, Manchester, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Manchester City favourites, giving Manchester City a 54% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 24% for Brighton. Our tip is: Manchester City or Brighton.
Manchester City have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (2W 0D 2L). Brighton have taken 7 points from their last 4 games (2W 1D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 66% chance of over 2.5 and a 65% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Premier League
- Date
- Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Venue
- Etihad Stadium, Manchester
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Manchester City vs Brighton?
Manchester City vs Brighton kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Manchester City vs Brighton in?
The match is in the England Premier League.
Where are Manchester City and Brighton in the table?
Manchester City are 2nd and Brighton are 3rd in the Premier League.
Who will win Manchester City vs Brighton?
Our prediction is Manchester City or Brighton. Win probabilities: Manchester City 54%, draw 22%, Brighton 24%.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Brighton?
We estimate a 65% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Manchester City vs Brighton?
We estimate a 66% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.