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CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets prediction

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets prediction for the First League on 26 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday26October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
First League · Regular Season - 12
CSKA SofiaLudogoretsNo recent games
2 - 0Full time · Mon 26 OctHT 1-0
Balgarska Armiya Stadium, Sofia

Match events

CSKA SofiaLudogorets
  1. 4'Yellow card: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
  2. Goal: Ángelo MartinoAssist: Santiago Godoy26'

HT 1-0

  1. 46'Substitution: simeon shishkovOff: Anton Nedyalkov
  2. Yellow card: Bruno Jordão52'
  3. 61'Yellow card: Caio Vidal Rocha
  4. Yellow card: Ángelo Martino63'
  5. 64'Substitution: Bernard TekpeteyOff: Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo
  6. 64'Substitution: petar stanicOff: Aguibou Camara
  7. Yellow card: teodor ivanov65'
  8. Substitution: David Samuel Custódio LimaOff: Barry Cotter68'
  9. Substitution: Ioannis PittasOff: Jean-Philippe Gbamin68'
  10. 79'Substitution: Joel AnderssonOff: Ivajlo Čočev
  11. 79'Substitution: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza CruzOff: Kwadwo Duah
  12. Substitution: mohamed brahimiOff: Petko Panayotov81'
  13. Substitution: teodor ivanovOff: Dinis Almeida81'
  14. Yellow card: Petko Panayotov82'
  15. 86'Yellow card: petar stanic
  16. Substitution: Stefano SensiOff: Isaac Solet Bomawoko86'
  17. Goal: Santiago Godoy88'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · CSKA Sofia40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Ludogorets33%
Fair odds 3.03

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 11Total shots14
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 4Shots off target11
  • 0Blocked shots0
  • 5Corners7
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0

Line-ups

CSKA Sofia

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 21F. LapoukhovG
  2. 17Á. MartinoD
  3. 2PastorD
  4. 32Facundo Santiago RodríguezD
  5. 14T. IvanovD
  6. 6Bruno JordãoM
  7. 7M. EbongM
  8. 8S. SensiM
  9. 28I. PittasF
  10. 9S. GodoyF
  11. 11M. BrahimiF

Substitutes

  1. 4Dinis AlmeidaD
  2. 80G. ChorbadzhiyskiM
  3. 37B. CotterD
  4. 99J. Eto'oM
  5. 25D. EvtimovG
  6. 67C. ItuM
  7. 34V. KaymakanovM
  8. 30P. PanayotovM
  9. 94I. Solet BomawokoM
  10. 91A. TunchevD
  11. 19A. YordanovM

Coach: Markus Gisdol

Ludogorets

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 39H. BonmannG
  2. 15E. KurtulusD
  3. 4Hossam AbdelmaguidD
  4. 2J. AnderssonD
  5. 42S. ShishkovD
  6. 23Deroy DuarteM
  7. 6I. ZhelizkoM
  8. 14P. StanićM
  9. 37B. TekpeteyF
  10. 11Caio VidalF
  11. 12Rwan CruzF

Substitutes

  1. 20A. CamaraM
  2. 18I. ChochevM
  3. 77Erick MarcusF
  4. 13I. GrbićG
  5. 8A. HadžiahmetovićM
  6. 26F. KaločM
  7. 3A. NedyalkovD
  8. 22M. PolendakovD
  9. 44O. RekikD
  10. 5G. TerzievD
  11. 10Nathan FernandesF

Coach: I. Jovičević

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.23
0.5 goalsOver92.6%Under7.4%
1.5 goalsOver73.5%Under26.5%
2.5 goalsOver48.4%Under51.6%
3.5 goalsOver26.6%Under73.4%
4.5 goalsOver12.4%Under87.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CSKA SofiaLudogorets
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
53%Expected goals47%
55%Overall45%

Last matches

Newest first
CSKA Sofia0W 1D 1L · last 2
DFC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia22 Oct 2026 · Conference League2-2LCSKA Sofia vs Monaco15 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-2
Ludogorets0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

First League table

First League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1CSKA 19481+43
2Cherno More Varna1+23
3CSKA Sofia1+23
4Dunav Ruse1+23
5Arda Kardzhali101
6Botev Vratsa101
7Levski Sofia101
8Lokomotiv Sofia101
9Lokomotiv Plovdiv101
10Slavia Sofia101
11Ludogorets1-20
12Septemvri Sofia1-20
13Spartak Varna1-20
14Botev Plovdiv1-40
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCSKA SofiaLudogorets
Played20
Wins00
Draws10
Losses10
Goals for (avg)1.50
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/20/0
Over 2.52/20/0
Over 3.51/20/0
BTTS – yes2/20/0

Match preview

CSKA Sofia host Ludogorets in the First League (Regular Season - 12) at Balgarska Armiya Stadium, Sofia, with kick-off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 18:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes CSKA Sofia slight favourites, giving CSKA Sofia a 40% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 33% for Ludogorets. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

CSKA Sofia have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Bulgaria First League
Date
Monday, 26 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
Venue
Balgarska Armiya Stadium, Sofia

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets kicks off on Monday, 26 October 2026 at 18:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets in?

The match is in the Bulgaria First League.

Where are CSKA Sofia and Ludogorets in the table?

CSKA Sofia are 3rd and Ludogorets are 11th in the First League.

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: CSKA Sofia 40%, draw 27%, Ludogorets 33%.

Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More First League on Mon 26 Oct

FTLokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 Slavia Sofia1X ✓

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