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Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd prediction

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd prediction for the Championship on 14 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday14October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Championship · Regular Season - 10
PortsmouthNo recent gamesSheffield UtdNo recent games
3 - 2Full time · Wed 14 OctHT 1-0
Fratton Park, Portsmouth

Match events

PortsmouthSheffield Utd
  1. Yellow card: Jayden MeghomaFoul27'
  2. 35'Yellow card: Hamza ChoudhuryFoul
  3. Goal: Zak Swanson41'
  4. 44'Red card: Hamza Choudhury
  5. 45'Substitution: Patrick BamfordOff: Mark McGuinness
  6. 45'Substitution: Ben BreretonOff: Kalvin Phillips

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: Adrian SegecicAssist: Ryan Kavuma-McQueen54'
  2. 59'Goal: Japhet TangangaAssist: Tahith Chong
  3. Yellow card: Nicolas SchmidArgument60'
  4. 60'Yellow card: Sam McCallumArgument
  5. 60'Substitution: Joe RothwellOff: Oliver Arblaster
  6. Substitution: Marko MilovanovićOff: Colby·Bishop62'
  7. 67'Goal: Thomas CannonAssist: Kalvin Phillips
  8. Substitution: Abu KamaraOff: Keshi Anderson68'
  9. Substitution: Iyad MohamedOff: Ebou Adams69'
  10. Substitution: Zak SwansonOff: Terry Devlin69'
  11. 79'Substitution: Tahith ChongOff: Romelle Donovan
  12. 79'Substitution: Thomas CannonOff: Tyrese Campbell
  13. Yellow card: Ebou AdamsFoul82'
  14. Substitution: Keshi AndersonOff: Odin Bailey87'
  15. Goal: Ebou Adams89'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.30

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Portsmouth41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw28%
Fair odds 3.57
2 · Sheffield Utd31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 67%Possession33%
  • 2.25Expected goals (xG)2.03
  • 24Total shots11
  • 7Shots on target4
  • 8Shots off target3
  • 9Blocked shots4
  • 15Shots inside the box8
  • 10Corners6
  • 4Offsides1
  • 6Fouls7
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Goalkeeper saves4
  • 483Passes232
  • 404Accurate passes157

Line-ups

Portsmouth

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1N. SchmidG
  2. 22Z. SwansonD
  3. 5R. PooleD
  4. 55M. DiaD
  5. 16J. MeghomaD
  6. 7M. PackM
  7. 37I. MohamedM
  8. 11A. KamaraM
  9. 10A. SegecicM
  10. 25R. Kavuma McQueenM
  11. 29M. MilovanovićF

Substitutes

  1. 38E. AdamsM
  2. 21K. AndersonM
  3. 27O. BaileyM
  4. 31D. BielicaG
  5. 9C. BishopF
  6. 24T. DevlinM
  7. 32E. KennyM
  8. 19R. SheinM
  9. 30B. KillipG

Coach: John Mousinho

Sheffield Utd

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1M. CooperG
  2. 8H. ChoudhuryD
  3. 5J. TangangaD
  4. 15L. KitchingD
  5. 3S. McCallumD
  6. 19T. ChongM
  7. 42Sydie PeckM
  8. 7J. RothwellM
  9. 22B. BreretonM
  10. 9T. CannonF
  11. 45P. BamfordF

Substitutes

  1. 14H. BurrowsD
  2. 23T. CampbellF
  3. 17A. DaviesG
  4. 11R. DonovanM
  5. 25M. McGuinnessD
  6. 27K. PhillipsM
  7. 44J. RiedewaldM
  8. 10J. AyewF
  9. 4O. ArblasterM

Coach: Chris Wilder

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.38 – 1.17
0.5 goalsOver92.2%Under7.8%
1.5 goalsOver72.3%Under27.7%
2.5 goalsOver46.9%Under53.1%
3.5 goalsOver25.3%Under74.7%
4.5 goalsOver11.6%Under88.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

PortsmouthSheffield Utd
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
57%Overall43%

Last matches

Newest first
Portsmouth0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Sheffield Utd0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatPortsmouthSheffield Utd
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Portsmouth host Sheffield Utd in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at Fratton Park, Portsmouth, with kick-off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Portsmouth slight favourites, giving Portsmouth a 41% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 31% for Sheffield Utd. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Fratton Park, Portsmouth

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?

Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd kicks off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Portsmouth and Sheffield Utd in the table?

Portsmouth are 11th and Sheffield Utd are 10th in the Championship.

Who will win Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Portsmouth 41%, draw 28%, Sheffield Utd 31%.

Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?

We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?

We estimate a 47% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Wed 14 Oct

FTNorwich 0-1 Southampton12 ✓FTQPR 4-1 DerbyOver 1.5 ✓FTLincoln 0-6 West HamOver 1.5 ✓

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