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Norwich vs Southampton prediction

Norwich vs Southampton prediction for the Championship on 14 Oct 2026: Norwich or Southampton (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday14October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Championship · Regular Season - 10
NorwichNo recent gamesSouthamptonNo recent games
0 - 1Full time · Wed 14 OctHT 0-0
Carrow Road, Norwich

Match events

NorwichSouthampton
  1. 15'Yellow card: Ryan ManningFoul
  2. 22'Substitution: Flynn DownesOff: Caspar Jander
  3. 26'Yellow card: Zach AbbottFoul
  4. 45'Substitution: Ryan ManningOff: Welington
  5. 45'Substitution: Zach AbbottOff: James Bree

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Jacob WrightFoul48'
  2. 54'Goal: Kuryu Matsuki
  3. Substitution: Anis Ben SlimaneOff: Paris Maghoma61'
  4. Substitution: Mathias KvistgaardenOff: J. Makama61'
  5. 70'Substitution: Samuel EdozieOff: Cyle Larin
  6. Substitution: Oscar SchwartauOff: Anthony Musaba72'
  7. Substitution: Andre BrooksOff: Ante Crnac72'
  8. Substitution: Samuel FieldOff: Jacob Wright76'
  9. Yellow card: Samuel FieldFoul77'
  10. 82'Substitution: Lewis DobbinOff: Divin Mubama

Our verdict

12 ✓

Norwich or Southampton

Bet365 1.28

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Norwich41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Southampton34%
Fair odds 2.94

Match statistics

  • 49%Possession51%
  • 1.09Expected goals (xG)2.42
  • 12Total shots15
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 5Shots off target7
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 8Shots inside the box11
  • 5Corners3
  • 0Offsides3
  • 15Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 438Passes468
  • 360Accurate passes392

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 32D. GrimshawG
  2. 3J. StaceyD
  3. 15Ruairi McConvilleD
  4. 33J. CórdobaD
  5. 14B. ChriseneD
  6. 16Jacob WrightM
  7. 7P. MattssonM
  8. 11A. BrooksM
  9. 20A. Ben SlimaneM
  10. 29O. SchwartauM
  11. 30M. KvistgaardenF

Substitutes

  1. 17A. CrnacF
  2. 6H. DarlingD
  3. 26S. FieldM
  4. 25P. MaghomaM
  5. 40C. AnsenG
  6. 12L. MahovoD
  7. 24J. MakamaF
  8. 49A. MusabaF
  9. 13D. YongwaD

Coach: P. Clement

Southampton

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Daniel PeretzG
  2. 6Z. AbbottD
  3. 5J. StephensD
  4. 13K. SchlotterbeckD
  5. 3R. ManningD
  6. 30J. Ward-ProwseM
  7. 4F. DownesM
  8. 27K. MatsukiM
  9. 10F. AzazM
  10. 23S. EdozieM
  11. 11L. DobbinF

Substitutes

  1. 14J. BreeD
  2. 18T. FellowsM
  3. 8C. JanderM
  4. 9C. LarinF
  5. 25G. LongG
  6. 28D. MubamaF
  7. 7Léo ScienzaM
  8. 34WelingtonD
  9. 15N. Wood-GordonD

Coach: Tonda Eckert

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.50
0.5 goalsOver95.8%Under4.2%
1.5 goalsOver82.4%Under17.6%
2.5 goalsOver61.2%Under38.8%
3.5 goalsOver38.9%Under61.1%
4.5 goalsOver21.2%Under78.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NorwichSouthampton
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
53%Expected goals47%
55%Overall45%

Last matches

Newest first
Norwich0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Southampton0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNorwichSouthampton
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Norwich host Southampton in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at Carrow Road, Norwich, with kick-off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Norwich slight favourites, giving Norwich a 41% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 34% for Southampton. Our tip is: Norwich or Southampton.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Carrow Road, Norwich

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Norwich vs Southampton?

Norwich vs Southampton kicks off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Norwich vs Southampton in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Norwich and Southampton in the table?

Norwich are 15th and Southampton are 5th in the Championship.

Who will win Norwich vs Southampton?

Our prediction is Norwich or Southampton. Win probabilities: Norwich 41%, draw 25%, Southampton 34%.

Will both teams score in Norwich vs Southampton?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Norwich vs Southampton?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Wed 14 Oct

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