League Two · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Chesterfield- Yellow card: Cameron HumphreysFoul15'
- Yellow card: Jordan GabrielFoul30'
- 33'Substitution: Joel RandallOff: Josh Koroma
- Goal: Onel Hernández45'
HT 1-0
- 54'Yellow card: Ryan StirkFoul
- Yellow card: Jaheim·HeadleyFoul59'
- 64'Yellow card: Lewis GordonFoul
- Substitution: Max WattersOff: Oliver Lynch65'
- Substitution: Onel HernándezOff: Keyrol Alexis Figueroa Norales66'
- Yellow card: Jon Edmund Alexander BradyDissent69'
- Substitution: George Cardinal Joseph·HallOff: George Byers73'
- Substitution: Jaheim·HeadleyOff: Kyle John73'
- Substitution: Kyle DempseyOff: Rhys Walters79'
- 79'Substitution: Lewis GordonOff: Tom Pearce
- 79'Substitution: Ryan StirkOff: Liam Mandeville
- 80'Substitution: Louie MarshOff: Kiano Dyer
- 84'Substitution: Dilan MarkandayOff: Will Grigg
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.25
✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 36%Possession64%
- 0.58Expected goals (xG)0.28
- 5Total shots9
- 3Shots on target4
- 2Shots off target3
- 0Blocked shots2
- 1Shots inside the box3
- 0Corners10
- 3Offsides5
- 14Fouls6
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves2
- 318Passes553
- 222Accurate passes442
Line-ups
Port Vale
3-5-2Starting XI
- 20M. MarošiG
- 25C. HumphreysD
- 4J. MoonD
- 5C. HallD
- 6J. Lawrence-GabrielM
- 10K. DempseyM
- 33G. HallM
- 8B. GarrityM
- 3J. HeadleyM
- 36M. WattersF
- 11O. HernándezF
Substitutes
- 27M. AsamoahF
- 7G. ByersM
- 2K. JohnD
- 1J. SmithG
- 38R. WaltersM
- 24K. FigueroaF
- 14O. LynchF
Coach: J. Brady
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 23R. BootG
- 33R. HuttonD
- 5K. McFadzeanD
- 6J. SimpsonD
- 19L. GordonD
- 20G. McEachranM
- 8R. StirkM
- 24D. MarkandayM
- 18L. MarshM
- 31J. RandallM
- 10L. BonisF
Substitutes
- 4T. NaylorM
- 46T. PearceD
- 7L. MandevilleM
- 37J. KoromaF
- 28W. GriggF
- 27K. DyerM
- 26J. EcclestonD
Coach: P. Cook
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.31Half time / full time result. 1 = Port Vale, X = draw, 2 = Chesterfield.
Asian handicap applied to Port Vale.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstPort Vale0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Chesterfield0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  K. TshimangaBarnet | 13 | 10 |
| 2 |  C. McCannCheltenham | 13 | 9 |
| 3 |  A. PressleyWalsall | 12 | 9 |
| 4 |  A. DrinanSwindon Town | 14 | 8 |
| 5 |  P. MullinRotherham | 14 | 8 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Port Vale | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Port Vale host Chesterfield in the League Two (Regular Season - 11) at Vale Park, Stoke on Trent, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Port Vale narrow favourites, giving Port Vale a 36% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 36% for Chesterfield. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England League Two
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- Vale Park, Stoke on Trent
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
Port Vale vs Chesterfield kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Port Vale vs Chesterfield in?
The match is in the England League Two.
Where are Port Vale and Chesterfield in the table?
Port Vale are 18th and Chesterfield are 10th in the League Two.
Who will win Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Port Vale 36%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 36%.
Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.