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FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven prediction

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven prediction for the Champions League on 20 Oct 2026: FC Porto to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday20October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 3
FC PortoPSV Eindhoven
0 - 1Full time · Tue 20 OctHT 0-0
Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Match events

FC PortoPSV Eindhoven
  1. 39'Yellow card: Lutsharel GeertruidaFoul

HT 0-0

  1. 57'Goal: Guus TilAssist: Sven Mijnans
  2. Substitution: Samuel AghehowaOff: André Silva58'
  3. Substitution: Oskar PietuszewskiOff: Borja Sainz58'
  4. Substitution: Hwang In-BeomOff: Gabri Veiga58'
  5. Substitution: Zaidu SanusiOff: João Victor de Souza Menezes69'
  6. 74'Substitution: Armando ObispoOff: Yarek Gasiorowski
  7. 75'Yellow card: Mauro JúniorTime Wasting
  8. Substitution: Victor FroholdtOff: Seko Fofana76'
  9. 81'Substitution: Noah FernandezOff: Mauro Júnior
  10. 81'Substitution: Esmir BajraktarevićOff: Dennis Man
  11. 88'Substitution: Ivan PerišićOff: Amir Bouhamdi
  12. 88'Substitution: Filip KostićOff: Ryan Flamingo

Our verdict

1 ✗

FC Porto to win

Bet365 1.62

58%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · FC Porto58%
Fair odds 1.72
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · PSV Eindhoven19%
Fair odds 5.26

Match statistics

  • 40%Possession60%
  • 1.40Expected goals (xG)1.69
  • 12Total shots18
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 9Shots off target11
  • 0Blocked shots4
  • 7Shots inside the box12
  • 2Corners3
  • 5Offsides3
  • 7Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 421Passes616
  • 339Accurate passes529

Line-ups

FC Porto

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 99Diogo CostaG
  2. 20Alberto BaioD
  3. 5J. BednarekD
  4. 4J. KiwiorD
  5. 12Z. SanusiD
  6. 8Victor Mow FroholdtM
  7. 13P. RosarioM
  8. 10Gabri VeigaM
  9. 11Pepê AquinoF
  10. 9SamuF
  11. 77O. PietuszewskiF

Substitutes

  1. 16Hwang In-BeomM
  2. 29S. GiménezF
  3. 52Martim FernandesD
  4. 14Cláudio RamosG
  5. 18N. PérezD
  6. 17Borja SainzF
  7. 74Francisco MouraD
  8. 24AndorinhaG
  9. 19André SilvaF
  10. 22A. VarelaM
  11. 33SouzaD
  12. 42S. FofanaM

Coach: F. Farioli

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 32M. KovářG
  2. 8S. DestD
  3. 2L. GeertruidaD
  4. 3Yarek GasiorowskiD
  5. 18F. KostićD
  6. 24K. SanoM
  7. 17Mauro JúniorM
  8. 19E. BajraktarevicM
  9. 21S. MijnansM
  10. 5I. PerišićM
  11. 20G. TilF

Substitutes

  1. 51T. SmolenaarsG
  2. 35A. SantosM
  3. 1N. OlijG
  4. 4A. ObispoD
  5. 27D. ManF
  6. 6R. FlamingoD
  7. 31N. FernandezM
  8. 42S. CornecionM
  9. 23M. HansenF
  10. 37A. BouhamdiF

Coach: P. Bosz

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.01 – 1.08
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.4%Under18.6%
2.5 goalsOver59.7%Under40.3%
3.5 goalsOver37.3%Under62.7%
4.5 goalsOver20.0%Under80.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

FC PortoPSV Eindhoven
50%Form50%
80%Attack20%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
65%Expected goals35%
75%Overall25%

Last matches

Newest first
FC Porto0W 0D 1L · last 1
LReal Betis vs FC Porto14 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-2
PSV Eindhoven0W 0D 2L · last 2
LADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven17 Oct 2026 · Eredivisie2-1LRB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven13 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-0

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFC PortoPSV Eindhoven
Played12
Wins00
Draws00
Losses12
Goals for (avg)20.5
Goals against (avg)31.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/2
Over 2.51/11/2
Over 3.51/10/2
BTTS – yes1/11/2

Match preview

FC Porto host PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at Estádio do Dragão, Porto, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes FC Porto favourites, giving FC Porto a 58% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 19% for PSV Eindhoven. Our tip is: FC Porto to win.

FC Porto have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). PSV Eindhoven have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Estádio do Dragão, Porto

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven in the table?

FC Porto are 34th and PSV Eindhoven are 18th in the Champions League.

Who will win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction is FC Porto to win. Win probabilities: FC Porto 58%, draw 23%, PSV Eindhoven 19%.

Will both teams score in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Tue 20 Oct

FTSabah FA 1-2 Borussia Dortmund2 ✓FTFenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia PrahaOver 1.5 ✓FTNapoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt1 ✓FTParis Saint Germain 4-2 Barcelona12 ✓FTVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico MadridX2 ✓FTAS Roma 4-0 Slovan BratislavaOver 2.5 ✓FTManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FCOver 2.5 ✓FTLiverpool 4-3 Villarreal1 ✓

All football predictions for today