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FC Porto vs Estoril prediction

FC Porto vs Estoril prediction for the Liga Portugal on 31 Oct 2026: FC Porto to win (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Liga Portugal · Regular Season - 10
FC PortoEstoril
4 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-0
Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Match events

FC PortoEstoril
  1. Goal: Victor FroholdtAssist: Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa4'
  2. Yellow card: Jan BednarekFoul34'
  3. Substitution: Zaidu SanusiOff: João Victor de Souza Menezes45'

HT 1-0

  1. 50'Substitution: André Tiago Ramos das NevesOff: Nail Omerovic
  2. 62'Substitution: Jordan ArnolinOff: Axel Camblan
  3. 62'Substitution: Xavier Sintes EgeaOff: Miguel Angelo Da Silva Rocha
  4. 62'Substitution: Stelios AndreouOff: Samuel Amissah
  5. Goal: Borja SainzAssist: Gabri Veiga64'
  6. Substitution: Samuel AghehowaOff: André Silva67'
  7. Goal: André Silva70'
  8. Goal: Gabri VeigaAssist: Borja Sainz73'
  9. 74'Substitution: Francisco Reis FerreiraOff: Jordan Holsgrove
  10. Substitution: Jan BednarekOff: Alan Gonzalo Varela74'
  11. Substitution: Seko FofanaOff: Gabri Veiga74'
  12. Substitution: Eduardo Gabriel Aquino CossaOff: Gabriel Mec78'
  13. 90'Substitution: Ricard Sanchez SendraOff: Pedro Carvalho
  14. Substitution: Alberto CostaOff: Nehuén Pérez90+2'

Our verdict

1 ✓

FC Porto to win

Bet365 1.22

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-0

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · FC Porto76%
Fair odds 1.32
X · Draw16%
Fair odds 6.25
2 · Estoril8%
Fair odds 12.50

Match statistics

  • 66%Possession34%
  • 3.13Expected goals (xG)0.64
  • 24Total shots7
  • 11Shots on target0
  • 6Shots off target4
  • 7Blocked shots3
  • 15Shots inside the box5
  • 8Corners0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 13Fouls7
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves7
  • 578Passes311
  • 513Accurate passes246

Line-ups

FC Porto

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 99Diogo CostaG
  2. 20Alberto BaioD
  3. 5J. BednarekD
  4. 4J. KiwiorD
  5. 12Z. SanusiD
  6. 8Victor Mow FroholdtM
  7. 13P. RosarioM
  8. 10Gabri VeigaM
  9. 11Pepê AquinoF
  10. 9SamuF
  11. 17Borja SainzF

Substitutes

  1. 42S. FofanaM
  2. 37Gabriel MecF
  3. 29S. GiménezF
  4. 16Hwang In-BeomM
  5. 14Cláudio RamosG
  6. 21D. PrpićD
  7. 18N. PérezD
  8. 74Francisco MouraD
  9. 24AndorinhaG
  10. 19André SilvaF
  11. 22A. VarelaM
  12. 33SouzaD

Coach: F. Farioli

Estoril

4-5-1

Starting XI

  1. 16M. TurkG
  2. 22Pedro CarvalhoD
  3. 25S. AndreouD
  4. 4FerroD
  5. 19Tiago Parreira ParenteD
  6. 99R. GuitaneM
  7. 5A. TsounguiM
  8. 6Xavi SintesM
  9. 42J. ArnolinM
  10. 17PeixinhoM
  11. 7André LacximicantF

Substitutes

  1. 12João CarvalhoM
  2. 10J. HolsgroveM
  3. 3Fernando MedranoD
  4. 11N. OmerovićF
  5. 44M. RobinM
  6. 15Isma SierraD
  7. 43fletcher loweG
  8. 8XekaM
  9. 35S. AmissahD
  10. 2Ricard SánchezD
  11. 41Kauã Rocha SoaresD
  12. 9A. CamblanF

Coach: Leandro Pires

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.41 – 0.67
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.2%Under18.8%
2.5 goalsOver59.4%Under40.6%
3.5 goalsOver37.1%Under62.9%
4.5 goalsOver19.8%Under80.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

FC PortoEstoril
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
60%Defence40%
50%Head to head50%
78%Expected goals22%
90%Overall10%

Last matches

Newest first
FC Porto0W 0D 2L · last 2
LFC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven20 Oct 2026 · Champions League0-1LReal Betis vs FC Porto14 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-2
Estoril0W 0D 1L · last 1
LEstoril vs Moreirense25 Oct 2026 · Liga Portugal1-3

Liga Portugal table

Liga Portugal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Porto10+2130
2Benfica9+1822
3Sporting CP10+1221
4Santa Clara9+718
5Arouca9+517
6Academico Viseu9+217
7GIL Vicente9+114
8Moreirense10-414
9Alverca9011
10SC Braga9-211
11Famalicao9+310
12Estrela10-410
13Vitória SC908
14Maritimo9-108
15Nacional9-87
16Rio Ave9-137
17Casa Pia10-147
18Estoril10-142
See full table ›

Top scorers

Liga Portugal top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1V. PavlidisBenfica99
2L. SuárezSporting CP108
3G. PrestianniBenfica96
4Borja SainzFC Porto105
5BarberoArouca95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFC PortoEstoril
Played21
Wins00
Draws00
Losses21
Goals for (avg)11
Goals against (avg)23
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/21/1
Over 2.51/21/1
Over 3.51/21/1
BTTS – yes1/21/1

Match preview

FC Porto host Estoril in the Liga Portugal (Regular Season - 10) at Estádio do Dragão, Porto, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 21:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes FC Porto clear favourites, giving FC Porto a 76% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 8% for Estoril. Our tip is: FC Porto to win.

FC Porto have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L). Estoril have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 45% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Portugal Liga Portugal
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 21:30 WAT
Venue
Estádio do Dragão, Porto

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is FC Porto vs Estoril?

FC Porto vs Estoril kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 21:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is FC Porto vs Estoril in?

The match is in the Portugal Liga Portugal.

Where are FC Porto and Estoril in the table?

FC Porto are 1st and Estoril are 18th in the Liga Portugal.

Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?

Our prediction is FC Porto to win. Win probabilities: FC Porto 76%, draw 16%, Estoril 8%.

Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Estoril?

We estimate a 45% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Porto vs Estoril?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Liga Portugal on Sat 31 Oct

FTMoreirense 2-1 EstrelaOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today