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Venezia vs Napoli prediction

Venezia vs Napoli prediction for the Serie A on 17 Oct 2026: Napoli to win (57%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
VeneziaNo recent gamesNapoli
1 - 0Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-0
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice

Match events

VeneziaNapoli

    HT 0-0

    1. Goal: Akor AdamsAssist: Simon Sohm49'
    2. 54'Substitution: Billy GilmourOff: Kevin De Bruyne
    3. 54'Substitution: Giovane Santana Do NascimentoOff: Alisson Santos
    4. 54'Substitution: Lorenzo LuccaOff: Rasmus Hojlund
    5. Yellow card: Toma BašićDissent61'
    6. Substitution: John YeboahOff: Albion Rrahmani63'
    7. 63'Substitution: Sam BeukemaOff: Matteo Politano
    8. 68'Missed penalty: Kevin De Bruyne
    9. Substitution: Toma BašićOff: Thorir Johann Helgason71'
    10. Substitution: Ridgeciano HapsOff: Pasquale Mazzocchi71'
    11. Substitution: Matias MorenoOff: Joël Schingtienne72'
    12. Yellow card: Enrique Pérez MuñozDissent80'
    13. Substitution: Simon SohmOff: Lamine Fanne82'
    14. 82'Substitution: Leonardo SpinazzolaOff: Mathias Olivera

    Our verdict

    2 ✗

    Napoli to win

    Bet365 1.70

    57%

    ✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

    Expected goals2.9

    Win probability

    1 · Venezia20%
    Fair odds 5.00
    X · Draw23%
    Fair odds 4.35
    2 · Napoli57%
    Fair odds 1.75

    Match statistics

    • 29%Possession71%
    • 0.67Expected goals (xG)2.23
    • 9Total shots29
    • 4Shots on target10
    • 5Shots off target7
    • 0Blocked shots12
    • 8Shots inside the box22
    • 0Corners12
    • 0Offsides5
    • 7Fouls6
    • 2Yellow cards0
    • 0Red cards0
    • 9Goalkeeper saves3
    • 309Passes733
    • 233Accurate passes657

    Line-ups

    Venezia

    3-5-2

    Starting XI

    1. 1F. StankovićG
    2. 25R. HalhalD
    3. 2M. MorenoD
    4. 15Juan JesusD
    5. 18A. HainautM
    6. 71Kike PérezM
    7. 19S. SohmM
    8. 26T. BašićM
    9. 5R. HapsM
    10. 10J. YeboahF
    11. 45A. AdamsF

    Substitutes

    1. 8Lamine DaboM
    2. 96L. MontipòG
    3. 3J. SchingtienneD
    4. 20R. SagradoD
    5. 77Toni FernándezM
    6. 30M. DagassoM
    7. 56K. LismanF
    8. 36Lorenzo BerardiM
    9. 16R. MohammedD
    10. 55S. PanadaM
    11. 21Þ. HelgasonM
    12. 70P. MazzocchiD
    13. 7A. RrahmaniF
    14. 29L. LauberbachF
    15. 95A. GomesD

    Coach: D. Nicola

    Napoli

    3-4-2-1

    Starting XI

    1. 1A. MeretG
    2. 31S. BeukemaD
    3. 13Amir RrahmaniD
    4. 5B. BadiashileD
    5. 22G. Di LorenzoM
    6. 6B. GilmourM
    7. 68S. LobotkaM
    8. 37L. SpinazzolaM
    9. 23GiovaneM
    10. 8S. McTominayM
    11. 20L. LuccaF

    Substitutes

    1. 35Luca MarianucciD
    2. 16Rafa MarínD
    3. 17M. OliveraD
    4. 21M. PolitanoF
    5. 11K. De BruyneM
    6. 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
    7. 27Alisson SantosF
    8. 19R. HøjlundF
    9. 70N. LangF
    10. 14N. ContiniG
    11. 32V. Milinković-SavićG

    Coach: M. Allegri

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 1.01 – 1.86
    0.5 goalsOver94.3%Under5.7%
    1.5 goalsOver78.1%Under21.9%
    2.5 goalsOver54.7%Under45.3%
    3.5 goalsOver32.4%Under67.6%
    4.5 goalsOver16.3%Under83.7%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    VeneziaNapoli
    50%Form50%
    0%Attack100%
    94%Defence6%
    50%Head to head50%
    35%Expected goals65%
    26%Overall74%

    Last matches

    Newest first
    Venezia0W 0D 0L · last 0

    No finished matches yet.

    Napoli0W 0D 1L · last 1
    LVillarreal vs Napoli13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-1

    Serie A table

    Serie A table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Lazio10+1628
    2Inter10+1325
    3AS Roma10+1824
    4Como10+1023
    5AC Milan10+921
    6Frosinone10+1020
    7Juventus10+317
    8Napoli10+414
    9Bologna10+114
    10Torino10-213
    11Genoa10-413
    12Cagliari10-613
    13Atalanta9-111
    14Lecce10-109
    15Sassuolo9-88
    16Monza10-77
    17Fiorentina9-105
    18Parma9-105
    19Udinese10-125
    20Venezia10-143
    See full table ›

    Top scorers

    Serie A top scorers
    #PlayerMGoals
    1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
    2D. MalenAS Roma98
    3A. RaimondoFrosinone98
    4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
    5A. RabiotAC Milan85

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatVeneziaNapoli
    Played01
    Wins00
    Draws00
    Losses01
    Goals for (avg)01
    Goals against (avg)03
    Clean sheets00
    Failed to score00
    Best win streak00

    Recent goal lines

    How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

    Over 1.50/01/1
    Over 2.50/01/1
    Over 3.50/01/1
    BTTS – yes0/01/1

    Match preview

    Venezia host Napoli in the Serie A (Regular Season - 7) at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes Napoli favourites, giving Venezia a 20% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 57% for Napoli. Our tip is: Napoli to win.

    Napoli have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

    On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    Italy Serie A
    Date
    Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
    Venue
    Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Venezia vs Napoli?

    Venezia vs Napoli kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Venezia vs Napoli in?

    The match is in the Italy Serie A.

    Where are Venezia and Napoli in the table?

    Venezia are 20th and Napoli are 8th in the Serie A.

    Who will win Venezia vs Napoli?

    Our prediction is Napoli to win. Win probabilities: Venezia 20%, draw 23%, Napoli 57%.

    Will both teams score in Venezia vs Napoli?

    We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Venezia vs Napoli?

    We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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