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Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt prediction for the Champions League on 20 Oct 2026: Napoli to win (57%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday20October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Champions League · League Stage - 3
NapoliBodo/Glimt
4 - 3Full time · Tue 20 OctHT 2-1
Maradona Stadium, Naples

Match events

NapoliBodo/Glimt
  1. Goal: Matteo PolitanoAssist: Leonardo Spinazzola1'
  2. 27'Goal: Jens Petter HaugeAssist: Sondre Fet
  3. Goal: Scott McTominayAssist: Kevin De Bruyne41'

HT 2-1

  1. Yellow card: Frank AnguissaFoul48'
  2. Yellow card: Noa LangFoul58'
  3. Substitution: Frank AnguissaOff: Stanislav Lobotka60'
  4. 62'Goal: Andreas HelmersenAssist: Sondre Fet
  5. Goal: Scott McTominayAssist: Matteo Politano75'
  6. 76'Substitution: Andreas HelmersenOff: Ola Brynhildsen
  7. Substitution: Matteo PolitanoOff: Mathias Olivera79'
  8. Substitution: Noa LangOff: Giovane Santana Do Nascimento79'
  9. Substitution: Leonardo SpinazzolaOff: Sam Beukema79'
  10. 83'Substitution: Sondre AuklendOff: Ulrik Saltnes
  11. 84'Substitution: Jostein GundersenOff: Haitam Aleesami
  12. 84'Substitution: Ole Didrik BlombergOff: Joel Mvuka
  13. 84'Substitution: Fredrik BjorkanOff: Isak Dybvik Maatta
  14. Yellow card: Giovanni Di LorenzoFoul86'
  15. Own goal: Odin Luras Bjortuft (og)88'
  16. 90+4'Goal: Sondre Fet

Our verdict

1 ✓

Napoli to win

Bet365 1.62

57%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-3

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Napoli57%
Fair odds 1.75
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Bodo/Glimt21%
Fair odds 4.76

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 1.57Expected goals (xG)1.56
  • 17Total shots14
  • 8Shots on target6
  • 3Shots off target4
  • 6Blocked shots4
  • 13Shots inside the box10
  • 2Corners5
  • 1Offsides0
  • 7Fouls5
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 490Passes656
  • 440Accurate passes600

Line-ups

Napoli

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. MeretG
  2. 22G. Di LorenzoD
  3. 13Amir RrahmaniD
  4. 16Rafa MarínD
  5. 21M. PolitanoM
  6. 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
  7. 8S. McTominayM
  8. 37L. SpinazzolaM
  9. 11K. De BruyneM
  10. 70N. LangM
  11. 19R. HøjlundF

Substitutes

  1. 6B. GilmourM
  2. 23GiovaneF
  3. 68S. LobotkaM
  4. 17M. OliveraD
  5. 32V. Milinković-SavićG
  6. 20L. LuccaF
  7. 5B. BadiashileD
  8. 31S. BeukemaD
  9. 14N. ContiniG

Coach: M. Allegri

Bodo/Glimt

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 12N. HaikinG
  2. 20F. SjøvoldD
  3. 6J. GundersenD
  4. 4O. BjørtuftD
  5. 15F. BjørkanD
  6. 8S. AuklendM
  7. 7P. BergM
  8. 19S. FetM
  9. 10J. HaugeM
  10. 11O. Didrik BlombergF
  11. 9A. HelmersenF

Substitutes

  1. 17O. BrynhildsenF
  2. 16J. KitolanoM
  3. 1J. Faye LundG
  4. 25I. MäättäD
  5. 22J. MvukaM
  6. 2V. NielsenD
  7. 14U. SaltnesM
  8. 5H. AleesamiD

Coach: K. Knutsen

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.07 – 1.18
0.5 goalsOver96.1%Under3.9%
1.5 goalsOver83.5%Under16.5%
2.5 goalsOver63.0%Under37.0%
3.5 goalsOver40.9%Under59.1%
4.5 goalsOver22.8%Under77.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NapoliBodo/Glimt
0%Form100%
25%Attack75%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
64%Expected goals36%
73%Overall27%

Last matches

Newest first
Napoli0W 0D 2L · last 2
LVenezia vs Napoli17 Oct 2026 · Serie A1-0LVillarreal vs Napoli13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-1
Bodo/Glimt2W 0D 0L · last 2
WHam-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt17 Oct 2026 · Eliteserien0-2WBodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund14 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-0

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNapoliBodo/Glimt
Played22
Wins02
Draws00
Losses20
Goals for (avg)0.51.5
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets02
Failed to score10
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/21/2
Over 2.51/20/2
Over 3.51/20/2
BTTS – yes1/20/2

Match preview

Napoli host Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at Maradona Stadium, Naples, with kick-off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Napoli favourites, giving Napoli a 57% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 21% for Bodo/Glimt. Our tip is: Napoli to win.

Napoli have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L). Bodo/Glimt have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Maradona Stadium, Naples

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt kicks off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Napoli and Bodo/Glimt in the table?

Napoli are 22nd and Bodo/Glimt are 28th in the Champions League.

Who will win Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

Our prediction is Napoli to win. Win probabilities: Napoli 57%, draw 22%, Bodo/Glimt 21%.

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?

We estimate a 63% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Tue 20 Oct

FTSabah FA 1-2 Borussia Dortmund2 ✓FTFenerbahçe 2-2 Slavia PrahaOver 1.5 ✓FTParis Saint Germain 4-2 Barcelona12 ✓FTFC Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven1 ✗FTVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico MadridX2 ✓FTAS Roma 4-0 Slovan BratislavaOver 2.5 ✓FTManchester City 5-1 AEK Athens FCOver 2.5 ✓FTLiverpool 4-3 Villarreal1 ✓

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