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Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction for the Bundesliga on 31 Oct 2026: Bayer Leverkusen or draw (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
2 - 4Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-2
BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen

Match events

Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
  1. 14'Goal: Ermedin Demirović
  2. Yellow card: Equi FernándezFoul17'
  3. Yellow card: Carles Martínez NovellDissent18'
  4. 22'Goal: Jamie Leweling
  5. Goal: Patrik SchickAssist: Aleix García28'
  6. Yellow card: Facundo MedinaArgument40'
  7. 40'Yellow card: Luca JaquezFoul
  8. 40'Yellow card: Jeffrey Julian Gaston ChabotArgument
  9. Yellow card: Aleix GarcíaArgument40'

HT 1-2

  1. 51'Goal: Bilal El KhannoussAssist: Chris Führich
  2. Yellow card: Ibrahim MazaFoul53'
  3. 58'Yellow card: Atakan KarazorFoul
  4. Substitution: Jonas HofmannOff: Lucas Vázquez62'
  5. 64'Yellow card: Ermedin DemirovićFoul
  6. 65'Goal: Ermedin DemirovićAssist: Deniz Undav
  7. 65'Substitution: Luca JaquezOff: Finn Jeltsch
  8. 65'Substitution: Chris FührichOff: Maximilian Mittelstädt
  9. 72'Substitution: Deniz UndavOff: Nikolas Nartey
  10. Substitution: Malik TillmanOff: Afonso Moreira75'
  11. Substitution: Equi FernándezOff: Robert Andrich76'
  12. Goal: Ibrahim MazaAssist: Miguel Gutiérrez79'
  13. Substitution: Victor Okoh BonifaceOff: Aleix García83'
  14. 85'Substitution: Bilal El KhannoussOff: Dženan Pejčinović
  15. 85'Substitution: Jamie LewelingOff: Ameen Al Dakhil

Our verdict

1X ✗

Bayer Leverkusen or draw

Bet365 1.25

75%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-4

Expected goals3.7

Win probability

1 · Bayer Leverkusen54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · VfB Stuttgart25%
Fair odds 4.00

Match statistics

  • 63%Possession37%
  • 2.07Expected goals (xG)2.88
  • 24Total shots15
  • 8Shots on target7
  • 9Shots off target2
  • 7Blocked shots6
  • 16Shots inside the box11
  • 12Corners3
  • 1Offsides0
  • 9Fouls13
  • 4Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves6
  • 525Passes319
  • 431Accurate passes228

Line-ups

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. FlekkenG
  2. 4J. QuansahD
  3. 12E. TapsobaD
  4. 2F. MedinaD
  5. 3Miguel GutiérrezD
  6. 6E. FernándezM
  7. 24Aleix GarcíaM
  8. 17Lucas VázquezM
  9. 30I. MazaM
  10. 9Afonso MoreiraM
  11. 14P. SchickF

Substitutes

  1. 8R. AndrichM
  2. 28J. BlaswichG
  3. 22V. BonifaceF
  4. 42M. CulbreathM
  5. 39K. DoganayM
  6. 7J. HofmannM
  7. 15T. OermannD
  8. 10M. TillmanM
  9. 37D. BuckF

Coach: Carles Martínez

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 41D. SeimenG
  2. 14L. JaquezD
  3. 24J. ChabotD
  4. 3R. HendriksD
  5. 18J. LewelingM
  6. 16A. KarazorM
  7. 21G. PrömelM
  8. 10C. FührichM
  9. 11B. El KhannoussM
  10. 26D. UndavF
  11. 9E. DemirovićF

Substitutes

  1. 1F. BredlowG
  2. 29Finn JeltschD
  3. 7M. MittelstädtD
  4. 28N. NarteyM
  5. 17D. PejčinovićF
  6. 47Y. SpaltD
  7. 8Tiago TomásF
  8. 22L. AssignonD
  9. 2A. Al DakhilD

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.23 – 1.50
0.5 goalsOver97.6%Under2.4%
1.5 goalsOver88.6%Under11.4%
2.5 goalsOver72.0%Under28.0%
3.5 goalsOver51.2%Under48.8%
4.5 goalsOver31.9%Under68.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
63%Form37%
65%Attack35%
45%Defence55%
50%Head to head50%
60%Expected goals40%
68%Overall32%

Last matches

Newest first
Bayer Leverkusen4W 0D 1L · last 5
WBayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg28 Oct 2026 · DFB Pokal5-2L1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen25 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga3-0WOFI vs Bayer Leverkusen22 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-2WBayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg18 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga2-1WLech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen15 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-4
VfB Stuttgart2W 1D 2L · last 5
WSC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart28 Oct 2026 · DFB Pokal0-1LVfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach23 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga2-3DVfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid20 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-1LHamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart17 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga1-0WSlovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart14 Oct 2026 · Champions League0-3

Bundesliga table

Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8FSV Mainz 058010
9FC Augsburg8+39
10VfB Stuttgart8-19
111899 Hoffenheim8-29
12SC Paderborn 078-39
13Hamburger SV7-109
141. FC Köln7-38
15Eintracht Frankfurt7-78
16FC Schalke 048-56
17Union Berlin7-126
18Borussia Mönchengladbach8-114
See full table ›

Top scorers

Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen78
2M. OliseBayern München76
3P. SchickBayer Leverkusen76
4Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt75
5P. TietzFSV Mainz 0585

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
Played55
Wins42
Draws01
Losses12
Goals for (avg)2.61.4
Goals against (avg)1.21
Clean sheets22
Failed to score11
Best win streak31

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line

Over 1.55/53/5
Over 2.54/52/5
Over 3.52/51/5
BTTS – yes2/52/5

Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8) at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bayer Leverkusen favourites, giving Bayer Leverkusen a 54% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 25% for VfB Stuttgart. Our tip is: Bayer Leverkusen or draw.

Bayer Leverkusen have taken 12 points from their last 5 games (4W 0D 1L). VfB Stuttgart have taken 7 points from their last 5 games (2W 1D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 and a 70% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany Bundesliga
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Venue
BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart in?

The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.

Where are Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen are 6th and VfB Stuttgart are 10th in the Bundesliga.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our prediction is Bayer Leverkusen or draw. Win probabilities: Bayer Leverkusen 54%, draw 21%, VfB Stuttgart 25%.

Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

We estimate a 70% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

We estimate a 72% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Bundesliga on Sat 31 Oct

FTWerder Bremen 2-0 1899 HoffenheimX2 ✗FTFC Schalke 04 0-2 RB LeipzigX2 ✓FTFC Augsburg 1-2 SC FreiburgX2 ✓FTBorussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC Paderborn 071X ✓FTBayern München 2-2 Borussia DortmundOver 2.5 ✓

All football predictions for today