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Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction for the Bundesliga on 17 Oct 2026: VfB Stuttgart or draw (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Hamburger SVNo recent gamesVfB Stuttgart
1 - 0Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-0
Volksparkstadion, Hamburger

Match events

Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart

    HT 0-0

    1. Yellow card: Warmed OmariFoul54'
    2. Substitution: Yussuf PoulsenOff: Otto Emerson Stange61'
    3. 67'Substitution: Bilal El KhannoussOff: Chris Führich
    4. 67'Substitution: Atakan KarazorOff: Grischa Prömel
    5. 77'Substitution: Jamie LewelingOff: Leo Sauer
    6. 77'Substitution: Ermedin DemirovićOff: Dženan Pejčinović
    7. Substitution: Martin AdelineOff: Albert Grönbaek78'
    8. Substitution: Terem MoffiOff: Fábio Vieira78'
    9. Substitution: Louis Pepe LemkeOff: Zakaria El Ouahdi78'
    10. Yellow card: Nicolás CapaldoFoul82'
    11. Substitution: Bilal NadirOff: Kofi Jeremy Amoako84'
    12. Yellow card: Otto Emerson StangeFoul85'
    13. Goal: Miro MuheimAssist: Zakaria El Ouahdi88'
    14. 89'Substitution: Ramon HendriksOff: Lorenz Assignon

    Our verdict

    X2 ✗

    VfB Stuttgart or draw

    Bet365 1.25

    74%

    ✗ This tip lost · final score 1-0

    Expected goals3.5

    Win probability

    1 · Hamburger SV26%
    Fair odds 3.85
    X · Draw22%
    Fair odds 4.55
    2 · VfB Stuttgart52%
    Fair odds 1.92

    Match statistics

    • 34%Possession66%
    • 1.46Expected goals (xG)1.73
    • 14Total shots24
    • 3Shots on target5
    • 9Shots off target12
    • 2Blocked shots7
    • 8Shots inside the box15
    • 5Corners9
    • 12Fouls9
    • 3Yellow cards0
    • 0Red cards0
    • 5Goalkeeper saves2
    • 314Passes625
    • 240Accurate passes573

    Line-ups

    Hamburger SV

    3-5-2

    Starting XI

    1. 1Daniel Heuer FernandesG
    2. 24N. CapaldoD
    3. 33S. BornauwD
    4. 17W. OmariD
    5. 3D. Møller WolfeM
    6. 5M. AdelineM
    7. 4B. NadirM
    8. 28M. MuheimM
    9. 37L. LemkeM
    10. 20Fábio VieiraF
    11. 15Y. PoulsenF

    Substitutes

    1. 22Kofi Jeremy AmoakoM
    2. 7Z. El OuahdiD
    3. 11A. GrønbækM
    4. 9T. MoffiF
    5. 43S. NandjaD
    6. 38Alexander Røssing-LelesiitF
    7. 19Otto Emerson StangeF
    8. 23J. TorunarighaD
    9. 12S. TangvikG

    Coach: M. Polzin

    VfB Stuttgart

    4-2-3-1

    Starting XI

    1. 41D. SeimenG
    2. 4J. VagnomanD
    3. 29Finn JeltschD
    4. 24J. ChabotD
    5. 3R. HendriksD
    6. 16A. KarazorM
    7. 6A. StillerM
    8. 11B. El KhannoussM
    9. 26D. UndavM
    10. 18J. LewelingM
    11. 9E. DemirovićF

    Substitutes

    1. 22L. AssignonD
    2. 1F. BredlowG
    3. 10C. FührichM
    4. 14L. JaquezD
    5. 17D. PejčinovićF
    6. 21G. PrömelM
    7. 44L. SauerF
    8. 47Y. SpaltD
    9. 20L. StergiouD

    Coach: S. Hoeneb

    Betting markets

    Expected goals 1.42 – 2.06
    0.5 goalsOver96.9%Under3.1%
    1.5 goalsOver86.2%Under13.8%
    2.5 goalsOver67.5%Under32.5%
    3.5 goalsOver45.9%Under54.1%
    4.5 goalsOver27.1%Under72.9%

    Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

    Model comparison

    Hamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
    0%Form100%
    0%Attack100%
    50%Defence50%
    50%Head to head50%
    41%Expected goals59%
    33%Overall67%

    Last matches

    Newest first

    Bundesliga table

    Bundesliga table
    #TeamP+/-Pts
    1Bayern München8+1918
    2Borussia Dortmund8+818
    3SC Freiburg8+816
    4RB Leipzig8+1115
    5Werder Bremen8+315
    6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
    7SV Elversberg8013
    8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
    9FSV Mainz 058010
    10FC Augsburg8+39
    11VfB Stuttgart8-19
    121899 Hoffenheim8-29
    131. FC Köln8-39
    14SC Paderborn 078-39
    15Hamburger SV8-129
    16Union Berlin8-127
    17FC Schalke 048-56
    18Borussia Mönchengladbach8-114
    See full table ›

    Top scorers

    Bundesliga top scorers
    #PlayerMGoals
    1N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen89
    2P. SchickBayer Leverkusen87
    3M. OliseBayern München86
    4Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt86
    5E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart85

    Season statistics

    This season, all competitions we cover
    StatHamburger SVVfB Stuttgart
    Played01
    Wins01
    Draws00
    Losses00
    Goals for (avg)03
    Goals against (avg)00
    Clean sheets01
    Failed to score00
    Best win streak01

    Recent goal lines

    How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

    Over 1.50/01/1
    Over 2.50/01/1
    Over 3.50/00/1
    BTTS – yes0/00/1

    Match preview

    Hamburger SV host VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) at Volksparkstadion, Hamburger, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 WAT.

    Our prediction model makes VfB Stuttgart favourites, giving Hamburger SV a 26% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 52% for VfB Stuttgart. Our tip is: VfB Stuttgart or draw.

    VfB Stuttgart have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

    On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 and a 67% chance that both teams score.

    Competition
    Germany Bundesliga
    Date
    Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
    Venue
    Volksparkstadion, Hamburger

    TodaysPrediction analysis team

    Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

    Quick answers

    When is Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

    Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time.

    Which competition is Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart in?

    The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.

    Where are Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart in the table?

    Hamburger SV are 15th and VfB Stuttgart are 11th in the Bundesliga.

    Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

    Our prediction is VfB Stuttgart or draw. Win probabilities: Hamburger SV 26%, draw 22%, VfB Stuttgart 52%.

    Will both teams score in Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

    We estimate a 67% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

    Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

    We estimate a 68% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

    Are these predictions guaranteed?

    No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

    How often are predictions updated?

    Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

    More Bundesliga on Sat 17 Oct

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