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1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction for the Bundesliga on 25 Oct 2026: Bayer Leverkusen or draw (65%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
3 - 0Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-0
Prezero Arena, Sinsheim

Match events

1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
  1. 40'Yellow card: Equi FernándezDissent
  2. 41'Substitution: Moussa DiabyOff: Malik Tillman
  3. Yellow card: Alexander PrassFoul45'

HT 0-0

  1. 58'Yellow card: Patrik SchickDissent
  2. 64'Substitution: Equi FernándezOff: Robert Andrich
  3. 64'Substitution: Nathan TellaOff: Afonso Moreira
  4. 64'Substitution: Jarell QuansahOff: Loïc Badé
  5. Substitution: Adam HložekOff: Andrej Kramarić65'
  6. Yellow card: Leon AvdullahuFoul67'
  7. Substitution: Wouter BurgerOff: Bambasé Conté72'
  8. 75'Yellow card: Facundo MedinaFoul
  9. VAR: Fisnik AsllaniPenalty confirmedVAR77'
  10. Penalty goal: Andrej Kramarić (pen)79'
  11. Yellow card: Adam DaghimDissent82'
  12. Substitution: Adam DaghimOff: Max Moerstedt84'
  13. Substitution: Fisnik AsllaniOff: Robin Hranáč84'
  14. 84'Substitution: Facundo MedinaOff: Jonas Hofmann
  15. Goal: Alexander PrassAssist: Andrej Kramarić89'
  16. 90'Yellow card: Carles Martínez NovellDissent
  17. Red card: Alexander Prass90+1'
  18. Goal: Max Moerstedt90+5'

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Bayer Leverkusen or draw

Bet365 1.40

65%

✗ This tip lost · final score 3-0

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · 1899 Hoffenheim35%
Fair odds 2.86
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Bayer Leverkusen42%
Fair odds 2.38

Match statistics

  • 42%Possession58%
  • 3.34Expected goals (xG)0.87
  • 20Total shots10
  • 6Shots on target1
  • 10Shots off target7
  • 4Blocked shots2
  • 15Shots inside the box7
  • 5Corners3
  • 1Offsides0
  • 14Fouls6
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 355Passes507
  • 278Accurate passes432

Line-ups

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1O. BaumannG
  2. 34V. CoufalD
  3. 5O. KabakD
  4. 28K. MachidaD
  5. 39M. RotsD
  6. 7L. AvdullahuM
  7. 18W. BurgerM
  8. 22A. PrassM
  9. 10A. HložekM
  10. 14A. DaghimM
  11. 11F. AsllaniF

Substitutes

  1. 29Natnael AbrahaD
  2. 13BernardoD
  3. 20B. ContéM
  4. 15V. GendreyD
  5. 2R. HranáčD
  6. 27A. KramarićF
  7. 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
  8. 9Max MoerstedtF
  9. 37L. PhilippG

Coach: C. Ilzer

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. FlekkenG
  2. 4J. QuansahD
  3. 12E. TapsobaD
  4. 2F. MedinaD
  5. 3Miguel GutiérrezD
  6. 24Aleix GarcíaM
  7. 6E. FernándezM
  8. 19M. DiabyM
  9. 30I. MazaM
  10. 23N. TellaM
  11. 14P. SchickF

Substitutes

  1. 10M. TillmanM
  2. 15T. OermannD
  3. 9Afonso MoreiraF
  4. 17Lucas VázquezD
  5. 7J. HofmannM
  6. 22V. BonifaceF
  7. 28J. BlaswichG
  8. 5L. BadéD
  9. 8R. AndrichM

Coach: Carles Martínez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.83
0.5 goalsOver97.0%Under3.0%
1.5 goalsOver86.4%Under13.6%
2.5 goalsOver67.9%Under32.1%
3.5 goalsOver46.3%Under53.7%
4.5 goalsOver27.5%Under72.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
40%Form60%
46%Attack54%
19%Defence81%
50%Head to head50%
48%Expected goals52%
45%Overall55%

Last matches

Newest first

Bundesliga table

Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bayern München7+1917
2Borussia Dortmund7+817
3SC Freiburg7+713
4Bayer Leverkusen7+413
5SV Elversberg8013
6RB Leipzig7+912
7Werder Bremen7+112
8FSV Mainz 058010
9FC Augsburg7+49
101899 Hoffenheim709
11Hamburger SV7-109
121. FC Köln7-38
13SC Paderborn 077-38
14Eintracht Frankfurt7-78
15VfB Stuttgart7-36
16FC Schalke 047-36
17Union Berlin7-126
18Borussia Mönchengladbach7-113
See full table ›

Top scorers

Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen78
2M. OliseBayern München76
3P. SchickBayer Leverkusen76
4Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt75
5P. TietzFSV Mainz 0575

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
Stat1899 HoffenheimBayer Leverkusen
Played33
Wins23
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)2.32.7
Goals against (avg)1.30.3
Clean sheets12
Failed to score00
Best win streak23

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/33/3
Over 2.53/32/3
Over 3.51/31/3
BTTS – yes2/31/3

Match preview

1899 Hoffenheim host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 7) at Prezero Arena, Sinsheim, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bayer Leverkusen slight favourites, giving 1899 Hoffenheim a 35% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 42% for Bayer Leverkusen. Our tip is: Bayer Leverkusen or draw.

1899 Hoffenheim have taken 6 points from their last 3 games (2W 0D 1L). Bayer Leverkusen have taken 9 points from their last 3 games (3W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 and a 69% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany Bundesliga
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:30 WAT
Venue
Prezero Arena, Sinsheim

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen in?

The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.

Where are 1899 Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim are 10th and Bayer Leverkusen are 4th in the Bundesliga.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our prediction is Bayer Leverkusen or draw. Win probabilities: 1899 Hoffenheim 35%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 42%.

Will both teams score in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

We estimate a 69% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

We estimate a 68% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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