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SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction for the DFB Pokal on 28 Oct 2026: VfB Stuttgart to win (57%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday28October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
DFB Pokal · Round of 32
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
0 - 1Full time · Wed 28 OctHT 0-0
Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

Match events

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
  1. 33'Yellow card: Jamie LewelingFoul
  2. Red card: Laurin CurdaSerious Foul37'
  3. 41'Yellow card: Jeffrey Julian Gaston ChabotFoul
  4. 45'Substitution: Angelo StillerOff: Atakan Karazor

HT 0-0

  1. Substitution: Deniz ZeitlerOff: Stefano Marino58'
  2. 62'Substitution: Lorenz AssignonOff: Chris Führich
  3. 62'Substitution: Jeffrey Julian Gaston ChabotOff: Luca Jaquez
  4. Substitution: Marvin PieringerOff: Steffen Tigges68'
  5. Substitution: Raphael ObermairOff: Ruben Müller68'
  6. Substitution: Jonah StickerOff: Tjark Scheller75'
  7. Substitution: Jano ter HorstOff: Mattes Hansen75'
  8. Yellow card: Raphael ObermairFoul85'
  9. 90'Goal: Deniz UndavAssist: Chris Führich
  10. 90+2'Substitution: Deniz UndavOff: Dženan Pejčinović

Our verdict

2 ✓

VfB Stuttgart to win

Bet365 1.53

57%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · SC Paderborn 0721%
Fair odds 4.76
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · VfB Stuttgart57%
Fair odds 1.75

Match statistics

  • 36%Possession64%
  • 0.92Expected goals (xG)2.53
  • 17Total shots17
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 7Shots off target11
  • 5Blocked shots2
  • 9Shots inside the box11
  • 4Corners6
  • 9Fouls13
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 340Passes580
  • 245Accurate passes490

Line-ups

SC Paderborn 07

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. SchubertG
  2. 21J. ter HorstD
  3. 20F. GötzeD
  4. 3Jonah Benedict StickerD
  5. 2Ruben MüllerM
  6. 5S. CastañedaM
  7. 6T. BaackM
  8. 29C. LippmannM
  9. 17L. CurdaM
  10. 38D. ZeitlerM
  11. 18M. PieringerF

Substitutes

  1. 8L. ĐurićM
  2. 22M. HansenD
  3. 30S. MarinoF
  4. 15N. NollG
  5. 23R. ObermairM
  6. 9R. PhilippeF
  7. 25T. SchellerD
  8. 27S. TiggesF
  9. 28L. UlrichM

Coach: R. Kettemann

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1F. BredlowG
  2. 22L. AssignonD
  3. 3R. HendriksD
  4. 24J. ChabotD
  5. 7M. MittelstädtD
  6. 21G. PrömelM
  7. 6A. StillerM
  8. 11B. El KhannoussM
  9. 26D. UndavM
  10. 18J. LewelingM
  11. 9E. DemirovićF

Substitutes

  1. 47Y. SpaltD
  2. 41D. SeimenG
  3. 17D. PejčinovićF
  4. 28N. NarteyM
  5. 16A. KarazorM
  6. 29Finn JeltschD
  7. 14L. JaquezD
  8. 10C. FührichM
  9. 2A. Al DakhilD

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.10 – 1.95
0.5 goalsOver95.3%Under4.7%
1.5 goalsOver80.8%Under19.2%
2.5 goalsOver58.8%Under41.2%
3.5 goalsOver36.4%Under63.6%
4.5 goalsOver19.3%Under80.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
20%Form80%
57%Attack43%
39%Defence61%
50%Head to head50%
36%Expected goals64%
27%Overall73%

Last matches

Newest first
SC Paderborn 070W 1D 0L · last 1
DWerder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 0717 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga2-2
VfB Stuttgart1W 1D 2L · last 4
LVfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach23 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga2-3DVfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid20 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-1LHamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart17 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga1-0WSlovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart14 Oct 2026 · Champions League0-3

DFB Pokal table

DFB Pokal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bayern München1+53
2Bayer Leverkusen1+33
31. FC Kaiserslautern1+23
4Dynamo Dresden1+23
5Hertha BSC1+23
6SC Freiburg1+13
7VfB Stuttgart1+13
81899 Hoffenheim101
9Holstein Kiel101
10VfL Wolfsburg1-10
11SC Paderborn 071-10
12FC Schalke 041-20
13Hannover 961-20
14SSV Jeddeloh1-20
151. FC Nürnberg1-30
161. FC Magdeburg1-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
Played14
Wins01
Draws11
Losses02
Goals for (avg)21.5
Goals against (avg)21.3
Clean sheets01
Failed to score01
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.51/13/4
Over 2.51/12/4
Over 3.51/11/4
BTTS – yes1/12/4

Match preview

SC Paderborn 07 host VfB Stuttgart in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32) at Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes VfB Stuttgart favourites, giving SC Paderborn 07 a 21% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 57% for VfB Stuttgart. Our tip is: VfB Stuttgart to win.

SC Paderborn 07 have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). VfB Stuttgart have taken 4 points from their last 4 games (1W 1D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany DFB Pokal
Date
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart in?

The match is in the Germany DFB Pokal.

Where are SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart in the table?

SC Paderborn 07 are 11th and VfB Stuttgart are 7th in the DFB Pokal.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our prediction is VfB Stuttgart to win. Win probabilities: SC Paderborn 07 21%, draw 22%, VfB Stuttgart 57%.

Will both teams score in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More DFB Pokal on Wed 28 Oct

FTDynamo Dresden 2-0 FC Schalke 04X2 ✗FTSC Freiburg 3-2 VfL Wolfsburg1 ✓FTSSV Jeddeloh 0-2 Hertha BSCOver 3.5 ✗FTHolstein Kiel 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim2 ✗FTBayer Leverkusen 5-2 1. FC NürnbergOver 2.5 ✓FTHannover 96 0-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern1X ✗FTBayern München 6-1 1. FC MagdeburgOver 3.5 ✓

All football predictions for today