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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction for the Bundesliga on 23 Oct 2026: VfB Stuttgart to win (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 - 3Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-1
MHP Arena, Stuttgart

Match events

VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
  1. Goal: Ermedin DemirovićAssist: Dženan Pejčinović5'
  2. 38'Goal: Joe ScallyAssist: Zento Uno
  3. Yellow card: Leo SauerFoul44'
  4. Yellow card: Atakan KarazorFoul45'
  5. 45+3'Yellow card: Florian NeuhausFoul

HT 1-1

  1. 51'Goal: Shuto MachinoAssist: Wael Mohya
  2. 53'Yellow card: Zento UnoFoul
  3. 54'Yellow card: Joe ScallyFoul
  4. Substitution: Dženan PejčinovićOff: Deniz Undav55'
  5. Substitution: Leo SauerOff: Jamie Leweling55'
  6. Substitution: Lorenz AssignonOff: Bilal El Khannouss55'
  7. Substitution: Atakan KarazorOff: Grischa Prömel64'
  8. 66'Goal: Wael MohyaAssist: Joe Scally
  9. 70'Substitution: Joe ScallyOff: Yukhym Konoplya
  10. 70'Substitution: Wael MohyaOff: Robin Hack
  11. 76'Substitution: Fabio Cristian ChiarodiaOff: David Herold
  12. 79'Yellow card: Lukas UllrichTime Wasting
  13. Goal: Ermedin DemirovićAssist: Jamie Leweling83'
  14. 84'Substitution: Shuto MachinoOff: Lion Schweers
  15. 84'Substitution: Hugo BolinOff: Mathieu Nguefack
  16. Substitution: Jeffrey Julian Gaston ChabotOff: Finn Jeltsch90'

Our verdict

1 ✗

VfB Stuttgart to win

Bet365 1.38

68%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-3

Expected goals3.7

Win probability

1 · VfB Stuttgart68%
Fair odds 1.47
X · Draw18%
Fair odds 5.56
2 · Borussia Mönchengladbach14%
Fair odds 7.14

Match statistics

  • 70%Possession30%
  • 1.63Expected goals (xG)2.66
  • 15Total shots16
  • 5Shots on target6
  • 8Shots off target7
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box12
  • 6Corners5
  • 2Offsides2
  • 9Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves3
  • 693Passes289
  • 590Accurate passes189

Line-ups

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 41D. SeimenG
  2. 22L. AssignonD
  3. 29Finn JeltschD
  4. 3R. HendriksD
  5. 7M. MittelstädtD
  6. 6A. StillerM
  7. 16A. KarazorM
  8. 44L. SauerM
  9. 17D. PejčinovićM
  10. 10C. FührichM
  11. 9E. DemirovićF

Substitutes

  1. 2A. Al DakhilD
  2. 1F. BredlowG
  3. 24J. ChabotD
  4. 18J. LewelingF
  5. 21G. PrömelM
  6. 47Y. SpaltD
  7. 20L. StergiouD
  8. 26D. UndavF
  9. 11B. El KhannoussM

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. NicolasG
  2. 14D. HashiokaD
  3. 16P. SanderD
  4. 2F. ChiarodiaD
  5. 29J. ScallyM
  6. 47Z. UnoM
  7. 10F. NeuhausM
  8. 26L. UllrichM
  9. 38H. BolinM
  10. 36W. MohyaM
  11. 18S. MachinoF

Substitutes

  1. 7K. StögerM
  2. 48Lion SchweersD
  3. 34M. NguefackM
  4. 22Y. KonoplyaD
  5. 20D. HeroldD
  6. 25R. HackM
  7. 39I. M. DanfaF
  8. 33D. BatzG
  9. 35J. UwakhonyeF

Coach: A. Blessin

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.60 – 1.14
0.5 goalsOver97.6%Under2.4%
1.5 goalsOver88.7%Under11.3%
2.5 goalsOver72.1%Under27.9%
3.5 goalsOver51.4%Under48.6%
4.5 goalsOver32.0%Under68.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

VfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
100%Form0%
57%Attack43%
74%Defence26%
50%Head to head50%
70%Expected goals30%
83%Overall17%

Last matches

Newest first
VfB Stuttgart1W 1D 1L · last 3
DVfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid20 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-1LHamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart17 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga1-0WSlovan Bratislava vs VfB Stuttgart14 Oct 2026 · Champions League0-3
Borussia Mönchengladbach0W 0D 1L · last 1
LBorussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim18 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga1-2

Bundesliga table

Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8FSV Mainz 058010
9FC Augsburg8+39
10VfB Stuttgart8-19
111899 Hoffenheim8-29
12SC Paderborn 078-39
13Hamburger SV7-109
141. FC Köln7-38
15Eintracht Frankfurt7-78
16FC Schalke 048-56
17Union Berlin7-126
18Borussia Mönchengladbach8-114
See full table ›

Top scorers

Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen78
2M. OliseBayern München76
3P. SchickBayer Leverkusen76
4Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt75
5P. TietzFSV Mainz 0585

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatVfB StuttgartBorussia Mönchengladbach
Played31
Wins10
Draws10
Losses11
Goals for (avg)1.31
Goals against (avg)0.72
Clean sheets10
Failed to score10
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.52/31/1
Over 2.51/31/1
Over 3.50/30/1
BTTS – yes1/31/1

Match preview

VfB Stuttgart host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 7) at MHP Arena, Stuttgart, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes VfB Stuttgart clear favourites, giving VfB Stuttgart a 68% chance of winning, 18% for the draw and 14% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Our tip is: VfB Stuttgart to win.

VfB Stuttgart have taken 4 points from their last 3 games (1W 1D 1L). Borussia Mönchengladbach have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany Bundesliga
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:30 WAT
Venue
MHP Arena, Stuttgart

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in?

The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.

Where are VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach in the table?

VfB Stuttgart are 10th and Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th in the Bundesliga.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Our prediction is VfB Stuttgart to win. Win probabilities: VfB Stuttgart 68%, draw 18%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 14%.

Will both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

We estimate a 72% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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