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Millwall vs Swansea prediction

Millwall vs Swansea prediction for the Championship on 13 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday13October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Championship · Regular Season - 10
MillwallNo recent gamesSwanseaNo recent games
0 - 1Full time · Tue 13 OctHT 0-0
The Den, London

Match events

MillwallSwansea
  1. 15'Yellow card: Jay FultonFoul
  2. Yellow card: Derek Mazou-SackoFoul23'
  3. Yellow card: Lyndon DykesFoul44'

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Zak SturgeFoul51'
  2. Substitution: T. CramaOff: J. Osei-Tutu64'
  3. Substitution: L. CundleOff: J. Metcalfe64'
  4. Substitution: Y. IssoufouOff: K. Lisbie65'
  5. 65'Substitution: G. FrancoOff: J. Fulton
  6. 65'Substitution: M. WidellOff: E. Just
  7. 65'Substitution: R. StewartOff: Z. Vipotnik
  8. 77'Substitution: S. WelshOff: J. Seelt
  9. 83'Yellow card: Filip LissahFoul
  10. Substitution: A. DoughtyOff: M. Sykes84'
  11. 84'Substitution: RonaldOff: M. K. Yeo
  12. 90'Goal: RonaldAssist: J. Opoku
  13. Substitution: D. KellyOff: C. Neghli90+2'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.33

75%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Millwall41%
Fair odds 2.44
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Swansea32%
Fair odds 3.13

Match statistics

  • 50%Possession50%
  • 1.05Expected goals (xG)1.82
  • 8Total shots14
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 2Shots off target5
  • 2Blocked shots7
  • 6Shots inside the box9
  • 13Corners1
  • 3Offsides2
  • 10Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 326Passes349
  • 228Accurate passes269
  • 70%Pass accuracy77%

Line-ups

Millwall

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 34F. MarschallG
  2. 2J. Osei-TutuD
  3. 6C. TaylorD
  4. 5J. CooperD
  5. 3Z. SturgeD
  6. 49D. Mazou-SackoM
  7. 17M. SykesM
  8. 14J. MetcalfeM
  9. 10C. NeghliM
  10. 22K. LisbieM
  11. 13L. DykesF

Substitutes

  1. 15M. CrocombeG
  2. 18R. LeonardD
  3. 4T. CramaD
  4. 12E. BaggottD
  5. 25L. CundleM
  6. 45A. DoughtyM
  7. 16D. KellyM
  8. 29Z. LovelaceF
  9. 35Y. IssoufouF

Coach: Alex Neil

Swansea

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 22L. VigourouxG
  2. 26F. LissahD
  3. 5B. CabangoD
  4. 3J. SeeltD
  5. 14J. TymonD
  6. 8E. JustM
  7. 4J. FultonM
  8. 6M. StamenicM
  9. 49M. K. YeoF
  10. 9Z. VipotnikF
  11. 30J. Opoku

Substitutes

  1. 1A. FisherG
  2. 23S. WelshD
  3. 17G. FrancoM
  4. 10Eom Ji-SungF
  5. 7M. WidellM
  6. 16T. IorpendaM
  7. 33A. IdahF
  8. 35RonaldF
  9. 31R. StewartF

Coach: Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.41 – 1.22
0.5 goalsOver92.8%Under7.2%
1.5 goalsOver73.8%Under26.2%
2.5 goalsOver48.9%Under51.1%
3.5 goalsOver27.1%Under72.9%
4.5 goalsOver12.7%Under87.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

MillwallSwansea
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
56%Overall44%

Last matches

Newest first
Millwall0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Swansea0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMillwallSwansea
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Millwall host Swansea in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at The Den, London, with kick-off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Millwall slight favourites, giving Millwall a 41% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 32% for Swansea. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
The Den, London

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Millwall vs Swansea?

Millwall vs Swansea kicks off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Millwall vs Swansea in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Millwall and Swansea in the table?

Millwall are 12th and Swansea are 2nd in the Championship.

Who will win Millwall vs Swansea?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Millwall 41%, draw 27%, Swansea 32%.

Will both teams score in Millwall vs Swansea?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Millwall vs Swansea?

We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Tue 13 Oct

FTWolves 1-3 Bolton1 ✗FTWrexham 1-2 West BromOver 1.5 ✓FTBurnley 2-2 CharltonOver 1.5 ✓FTBristol City 0-1 BlackburnOver 1.5 ✗FTCardiff 5-1 Watford1 ✓FTBirmingham 4-0 PrestonOver 1.5 ✓FTStoke City 2-3 MiddlesbroughOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today