Championship · Regular Season - 13
Match events
QPR- Goal: Kuryu Matsuki11'
HT 1-0
- Goal: Cameron BraggAssist: Ryan Manning55'
- 59'Substitution: Kwame PokuOff: Karamoko Dembélé
- 59'Substitution: Harvey ValeOff: Koki Saito
- Goal: Keven SchlotterbeckAssist: Ryan Manning66'
- 68'Goal: Richard KoneAssist: Karamoko Dembélé
- 72'Yellow card: Jonathan VaraneFoul
- Substitution: James Ward-ProwseOff: Flynn Downes75'
- 76'Substitution: Paul SmythOff: Alfie Lloyd
- 76'Substitution: Boy KemperOff: Dennis Cirkin
- 83'Yellow card: Kealey AdamsonFoul
- 86'Yellow card: Jimmy DunneFoul
- Substitution: Kuryu MatsukiOff: Samuel Edozie86'
- Substitution: Lewis DobbinOff: Divin Mubama87'
- 87'Substitution: Glen KamaraOff: Ilias Chair
- Substitution: Barnaby WilliamsOff: Cameron Bragg90+2'
- Substitution: Ryan ManningOff: Welington90+2'
- Goal: Welington90+5'
Our verdict
Southampton or draw
Bet365 1.22
✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 54%Possession46%
- 1.12Expected goals (xG)0.78
- 19Total shots12
- 9Shots on target2
- 4Shots off target3
- 6Blocked shots7
- 12Shots inside the box9
- 9Corners4
- 5Offsides1
- 7Fouls15
- 0Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves5
- 489Passes417
- 425Accurate passes362
Line-ups
Southampton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Daniel PeretzG
- 14J. BreeD
- 5J. StephensD
- 13K. SchlotterbeckD
- 3R. ManningD
- 26Cameron BraggM
- 30J. Ward-ProwseM
- 27K. MatsukiM
- 10F. AzazM
- 7Léo ScienzaM
- 11L. DobbinF
Substitutes
- 4F. DownesM
- 23S. EdozieM
- 18T. FellowsM
- 25G. LongG
- 28D. MubamaF
- 34WelingtonD
- 53Barnaby WilliamsM
- 15N. Wood-GordonD
- 6Z. AbbottD
Coach: Tonda Eckert
QPR
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1P. CharlesG
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 3J. DunneD
- 5R. EdwardsD
- 12B. KemperD
- 17K. PokuM
- 40J. VaraneM
- 18G. KamaraM
- 20H. ValeM
- 11P. SmythF
- 22R. KoneF
Substitutes
- 19D. CirkinD
- 6J. Clarke-SalterD
- 7K. DembéléM
- 26Rayan Jawad KolliF
- 15A. LloydF
- 14K. SaitoF
- 13C. WardG
- 10I. ChairM
- 23I. AlemayehuM
Coach: Julien Stéphan
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.91 – 1.20Half time / full time result. 1 = Southampton, X = draw, 2 = QPR.
Asian handicap applied to Southampton.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstChampionship table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  W. LankshearMiddlesbrough | 12 | 11 |
| 2 |  A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn | 11 | 8 |
| 3 |  C. LarinSouthampton | 11 | 7 |
| 4 |  J. BowenWest Ham | 12 | 6 |
| 5 |  J. MoylanCardiff | 12 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Southampton | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.5 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/2 | 1/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 0/2 | 1/2 |
Match preview
Southampton host QPR in the Championship (Regular Season - 13) at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Southampton favourites, giving Southampton a 53% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 23% for QPR. Our tip is: Southampton or draw.
Southampton have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L). QPR have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Championship
- Date
- Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Venue
- St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Southampton vs QPR?
Southampton vs QPR kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Southampton vs QPR in?
The match is in the England Championship.
Where are Southampton and QPR in the table?
Southampton are 5th and QPR are 9th in the Championship.
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
Our prediction is Southampton or draw. Win probabilities: Southampton 53%, draw 24%, QPR 23%.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs QPR?
We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Southampton vs QPR?
We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.