Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction

Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction for the Championship on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Championship · Regular Season - 13
LincolnBirmingham
1 - 3Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 0-1
Sincil Bank, Lincoln

Match events

LincolnBirmingham
  1. 16'Goal: August Priske
  2. Yellow card: Mikkel LadefogedFoul25'
  3. 27'Yellow card: Liam MillarTime Wasting
  4. 32'Yellow card: Ethan LairdFoul
  5. Yellow card: Dom Jefferies42'
  6. 45'Substitution: James BeadleOff: Ryan Allsop

HT 0-1

  1. Substitution: Ivan VarfolomeevOff: Tom Bayliss59'
  2. Substitution: Dom JefferiesOff: F. Draper59'
  3. 60'Goal: August PriskeAssist: Christoph·Klarer
  4. Goal: Tom BaylissAssist: Mikkel Ladefoged63'
  5. 66'Substitution: August PriskeOff: Max Bird
  6. 73'Goal: Alex CochraneAssist: Ryan Allsop
  7. Substitution: Ben HouseOff: Chiedozie Ogbene74'
  8. Substitution: Reeco Hackett-FairchildOff: Robert Nicholas Street74'
  9. 75'Substitution: Patrick RobertsOff: Demarai Gray
  10. 75'Substitution: Ethan LairdOff: Bright Osayi-Samuel
  11. Substitution: Mikkel LadefogedOff: Isaac Olaofe84'
  12. 88'Substitution: Jay StansfieldOff: Marvin Ducksch
  13. Yellow card: Yunus KonakFoul89'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.30

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-3

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Lincoln28%
Fair odds 3.57
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Birmingham45%
Fair odds 2.22

Match statistics

  • 54%Possession46%
  • 1.63Expected goals (xG)2.09
  • 12Total shots17
  • 6Shots on target7
  • 5Shots off target6
  • 1Blocked shots4
  • 11Shots inside the box8
  • 3Corners3
  • 4Offsides2
  • 14Fouls9
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 403Passes335
  • 270Accurate passes221

Line-ups

Lincoln

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1G. WickensG
  2. 4A. CoubișD
  3. 25D. ElereweD
  4. 15S. BradleyD
  5. 3A. ReachD
  6. 26Y. KonakM
  7. 24I. VarfolomeevM
  8. 7R. HackettM
  9. 16D. JefferiesM
  10. 18B. HouseM
  11. 11M. LadefogedF

Substitutes

  1. 6R. TowlerD
  2. 46J. GauciG
  3. 34F. DraperF
  4. 8T. BaylissM
  5. 27C. OgbeneF
  6. 19I. OlaofeF
  7. 33D. OyegokeD
  8. 20C. ElderD
  9. 17R. StreetF

Coach: Chris Cohen

Birmingham

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. BeadleG
  2. 2E. LairdD
  3. 5P. NeumannD
  4. 4C. KlarerD
  5. 20A. CochraneD
  6. 24T. IwataM
  7. 14J. SolisM
  8. 16P. RobertsM
  9. 28J. StansfieldM
  10. 17L. MillarM
  11. 9A. PriskeF

Substitutes

  1. 18M. BirdM
  2. 3L. BuchananD
  3. 33M. DuckschF
  4. 19T. Gardner-HickmanM
  5. 10D. GrayF
  6. 26B. Osayi-SamuelD
  7. 7Carlos VicenteF
  8. 21R. AllsopG
  9. 32L. VázquezF

Coach: C. Davies

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.52
0.5 goalsOver93.1%Under6.9%
1.5 goalsOver74.6%Under25.4%
2.5 goalsOver49.9%Under50.1%
3.5 goalsOver27.9%Under72.1%
4.5 goalsOver13.3%Under86.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LincolnBirmingham
14%Form86%
22%Attack78%
5%Defence95%
50%Head to head50%
43%Expected goals57%
38%Overall62%

Last matches

Newest first
Lincoln0W 1D 1L · last 2
DMillwall vs Lincoln17 Oct 2026 · Championship2-2LLincoln vs West Ham14 Oct 2026 · Championship0-6
Birmingham2W 0D 0L · last 2
WBirmingham vs QPR17 Oct 2026 · Championship3-0WBirmingham vs Preston13 Oct 2026 · Championship4-0

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLincolnBirmingham
Played22
Wins02
Draws10
Losses10
Goals for (avg)13.5
Goals against (avg)40
Clean sheets02
Failed to score10
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.52/21/2
BTTS – yes1/20/2

Match preview

Lincoln host Birmingham in the Championship (Regular Season - 13) at Sincil Bank, Lincoln, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 13:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Birmingham slight favourites, giving Lincoln a 28% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 45% for Birmingham. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Lincoln have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Birmingham have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Venue
Sincil Bank, Lincoln

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lincoln vs Birmingham?

Lincoln vs Birmingham kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 13:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lincoln vs Birmingham in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Lincoln and Birmingham in the table?

Lincoln are 16th and Birmingham are 6th in the Championship.

Who will win Lincoln vs Birmingham?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Lincoln 28%, draw 27%, Birmingham 45%.

Will both teams score in Lincoln vs Birmingham?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lincoln vs Birmingham?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Sat 31 Oct

FTStoke City 2-0 PrestonOver 1.5 ✓FTNorwich 3-2 Watford1 ✓FTMiddlesbrough 3-0 Charlton1 ✓FTSwansea 4-0 BlackburnOver 1.5 ✓FTMillwall 4-1 DerbyOver 1.5 ✓FTSouthampton 4-1 QPR1X ✓FTWolves 3-0 Cardiff1 ✓FTBurnley 0-0 PortsmouthOver 1.5 ✗FTWest Ham 1-3 West BromOver 1.5 ✓FTBolton 2-3 Bristol CityOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today