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Swansea vs Blackburn prediction

Swansea vs Blackburn prediction for the Championship on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
SwanseaBlackburn
4 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 3-0
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea

Match events

SwanseaBlackburn
  1. Goal: Stephen EustáquioAssist: Joseph Amankwaah Opoku11'
  2. 22'Yellow card: Moussa·BaradjiFoul
  3. 24'Substitution: Harry PickeringOff: Gady Beyuku
  4. Goal: Joseph Amankwaah Opoku32'
  5. Goal: Filip LissahAssist: Stephen Welsh36'
  6. 45'Substitution: Augustus KargboOff: J. Fevrier
  7. 45'Substitution: Hayden CarterOff: Tom Atcheson

HT 3-0

  1. Goal: Ross StewartAssist: Eom Ji-Sung59'
  2. Substitution: Ross StewartOff: Zan Vipotnik62'
  3. Substitution: melker widellOff: Goncalo Franco62'
  4. Substitution: Josh TymonOff: Tiago parente72'
  5. Substitution: Stephen EustáquioOff: Adam Idah73'
  6. Substitution: Filip LissahOff: Josh Key78'
  7. 78'Substitution: Andri GuðjohnsenOff: Yuki Ohashi
  8. 79'Substitution: Moussa·BaradjiOff: Yuri Ribeiro

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-0

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Swansea52%
Fair odds 1.92
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Blackburn22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 68%Possession32%
  • 2.35Expected goals (xG)0.31
  • 20Total shots7
  • 9Shots on target2
  • 5Shots off target4
  • 6Blocked shots1
  • 13Shots inside the box5
  • 1Corners2
  • 1Offsides1
  • 9Fouls16
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 687Passes344
  • 605Accurate passes267

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 22L. VigourouxG
  2. 26F. LissahD
  3. 5B. CabangoD
  4. 23S. WelshD
  5. 14J. TymonD
  6. 4J. FultonM
  7. 46S. EustáquioM
  8. 30Joseph OkopuM
  9. 7M. WidellM
  10. 10Eom Ji-SungM
  11. 31R. StewartF

Substitutes

  1. 1A. FisherG
  2. 17Gonçalo FrancoM
  3. 33A. IdahF
  4. 8E. JustF
  5. 2J. KeyD
  6. 12J. MongaF
  7. 18Tiago ParenteD
  8. 3J. SeeltD
  9. 9Z. VipotnikF

Coach: Vítor Matos

Blackburn

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 22B. TóthG
  2. 2R. AlebiosuD
  3. 6Tom AtchesonD
  4. 15S. McLoughlinD
  5. 3H. PickeringD
  6. 24M. BaradjiM
  7. 31Kristi MontgomeryM
  8. 11J. FevrierM
  9. 10T. CantwellM
  10. 21O. AfolayanM
  11. 9A. GuðjohnsenF

Substitutes

  1. 1A. PearsG
  2. 4Yuri RibeiroD
  3. 7A. KargboF
  4. 30J. GarrettM
  5. 23Y. OhashiF
  6. 14D. De NeveM
  7. 17H. CarterD
  8. 27Gady BeyukuD
  9. 48I. DunnM

Coach: Tony Mowbray

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.64 – 0.98
0.5 goalsOver92.7%Under7.3%
1.5 goalsOver73.6%Under26.4%
2.5 goalsOver48.7%Under51.3%
3.5 goalsOver26.8%Under73.2%
4.5 goalsOver12.5%Under87.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SwanseaBlackburn
50%Form50%
25%Attack75%
75%Defence25%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
70%Overall30%

Last matches

Newest first

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSwanseaBlackburn
Played22
Wins11
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)0.51.5
Goals against (avg)0.51.5
Clean sheets11
Failed to score10
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.50/21/2
Over 2.50/21/2
Over 3.50/21/2
BTTS – yes0/21/2

Match preview

Swansea host Blackburn in the Championship (Regular Season - 13) at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Swansea favourites, giving Swansea a 52% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 22% for Blackburn. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Swansea have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Blackburn have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Swansea vs Blackburn?

Swansea vs Blackburn kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Swansea vs Blackburn in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Swansea and Blackburn in the table?

Swansea are 2nd and Blackburn are 13th in the Championship.

Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Swansea 52%, draw 26%, Blackburn 22%.

Will both teams score in Swansea vs Blackburn?

We estimate a 51% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Swansea vs Blackburn?

We estimate a 49% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Sat 31 Oct

FTLincoln 1-3 BirminghamOver 1.5 ✓FTStoke City 2-0 PrestonOver 1.5 ✓FTNorwich 3-2 Watford1 ✓FTMiddlesbrough 3-0 Charlton1 ✓FTMillwall 4-1 DerbyOver 1.5 ✓FTSouthampton 4-1 QPR1X ✓FTWolves 3-0 Cardiff1 ✓FTBurnley 0-0 PortsmouthOver 1.5 ✗FTWest Ham 1-3 West BromOver 1.5 ✓FTBolton 2-3 Bristol CityOver 1.5 ✓

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