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Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction

Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction for the Championship on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
BurnleyPortsmouth
0 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 0-0
Turf Moor, Burnley

Match events

BurnleyPortsmouth
  1. Yellow card: Josh LaurentArgument39'
  2. 39'Yellow card: Jayden MeghomaArgument
  3. 45'Substitution: Adrian SegecicOff: Ebou Adams

HT 0-0

  1. 50'Substitution: Ryan Kavuma-McQueenOff: Tyrese Shade
  2. Substitution: Jamie VardyOff: Jaydon Banel62'
  3. 64'Yellow card: John Michael Lewis MousinhoDissent
  4. Substitution: Reo HatateOff: Josh Cullen71'
  5. Substitution: Andréas HountondjiOff: Aaron Ramsey71'
  6. 72'Substitution: Marko MilovanovićOff: Josh Murphy
  7. 80'Substitution: Jayden MeghomaOff: Terry Devlin
  8. 80'Substitution: Abu KamaraOff: Thomas Waddingham
  9. Substitution: Marcus EdwardsOff: Oliver Sonne85'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✗

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

75%

✗ This tip lost · final score 0-0

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · Burnley45%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Portsmouth28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 1.81Expected goals (xG)0.27
  • 18Total shots5
  • 4Shots on target0
  • 5Shots off target3
  • 9Blocked shots2
  • 9Shots inside the box1
  • 5Corners2
  • 3Offsides3
  • 10Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves4
  • 382Passes362
  • 284Accurate passes265

Line-ups

Burnley

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 37G. CoudertG
  2. 2K. WalkerD
  3. 18H. EkdalD
  4. 44IgorD
  5. 23Lucas PiresD
  6. 17A. HountondjiM
  7. 5R. HatateM
  8. 10M. EdwardsM
  9. 29J. LaurentM
  10. 19L. RamazaniM
  11. 9J. VardyF

Substitutes

  1. 15A. AhmedhodžićD
  2. 3Max AlleyneD
  3. 34J. BanelF
  4. 24J. CullenM
  5. 8U. RaghouberM
  6. 21A. RamseyM
  7. 14C. RobertsD
  8. 22O. SonneD
  9. 1M. WeißG

Coach: F. Celestini

Portsmouth

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1N. SchmidG
  2. 22Z. SwansonD
  3. 5R. PooleD
  4. 55M. DiaD
  5. 16J. MeghomaD
  6. 7M. PackM
  7. 37I. MohamedM
  8. 11A. KamaraM
  9. 10A. SegecicM
  10. 25R. Kavuma McQueenM
  11. 29M. MilovanovićF

Substitutes

  1. 20T. WaddinghamF
  2. 6C. ShaughnessyD
  3. 19R. SheinM
  4. 17T. ShadeF
  5. 23J. MurphyM
  6. 24T. DevlinM
  7. 31D. BielicaG
  8. 27O. BaileyM
  9. 38E. AdamsM

Coach: John Mousinho

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.16
0.5 goalsOver93.1%Under6.9%
1.5 goalsOver74.6%Under25.4%
2.5 goalsOver49.9%Under50.1%
3.5 goalsOver27.9%Under72.1%
4.5 goalsOver13.3%Under86.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BurnleyPortsmouth
13%Form87%
47%Attack53%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
62%Overall38%

Last matches

Newest first

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1211
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn118
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham126
5J. MoylanCardiff126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBurnleyPortsmouth
Played23
Wins02
Draws11
Losses10
Goals for (avg)1.51.7
Goals against (avg)21
Clean sheets01
Failed to score00
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/3
Over 2.52/21/3
Over 3.51/21/3
BTTS – yes2/22/3

Match preview

Burnley host Portsmouth in the Championship (Regular Season - 13) at Turf Moor, Burnley, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Burnley slight favourites, giving Burnley a 45% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 28% for Portsmouth. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Burnley have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Portsmouth have taken 7 points from their last 3 games (2W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 50% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Turf Moor, Burnley

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Burnley vs Portsmouth kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Burnley vs Portsmouth in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Burnley and Portsmouth in the table?

Burnley are 22nd and Portsmouth are 11th in the Championship.

Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Burnley 45%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 28%.

Will both teams score in Burnley vs Portsmouth?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Burnley vs Portsmouth?

We estimate a 50% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Sat 31 Oct

FTLincoln 1-3 BirminghamOver 1.5 ✓FTStoke City 2-0 PrestonOver 1.5 ✓FTNorwich 3-2 Watford1 ✓FTMiddlesbrough 3-0 Charlton1 ✓FTSwansea 4-0 BlackburnOver 1.5 ✓FTMillwall 4-1 DerbyOver 1.5 ✓FTSouthampton 4-1 QPR1X ✓FTWolves 3-0 Cardiff1 ✓FTWest Ham 1-3 West BromOver 1.5 ✓FTBolton 2-3 Bristol CityOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today