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Bolton vs Bristol City prediction

Bolton vs Bristol City prediction for the Championship on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Championship · Regular Season - 13
BoltonBristol City
2 - 3Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-1
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich

Match events

BoltonBristol City
  1. 11'Yellow card: Joe WilliamsFoul
  2. 13'Goal: Dominic BallardAssist: Jason Knight
  3. Goal: Josh SheehanAssist: Thierry Gale16'
  4. Yellow card: Josh SheehanFoul30'

HT 1-1

  1. 55'Substitution: Brian de KeersmaeckerOff: Yu Hirakawa
  2. 55'Substitution: Jed WallaceOff: Rio Cardines
  3. Goal: Sam DalbyAssist: Atsuki Ito57'
  4. Substitution: Atsuki ItoOff: Ruben Rodrigues65'
  5. Substitution: Thierry GaleOff: Kyliane Dong65'
  6. 67'Substitution: Dominic BallardOff: Scott Twine
  7. 78'Substitution: Joe WilliamsOff: Adam Randell
  8. 78'Substitution: lorent tolajOff: Sam Bellis
  9. Substitution: Christian Forino JosephOff: Lewis Brunt78'
  10. 84'Goal: Sam BellisAssist: Cameron Pring
  11. Substitution: Samuel IlingOff: Max Lott88'
  12. Substitution: Ben DaviesOff: Akin Famewo88'
  13. 90+3'Goal: Scott TwineAssist: Jed Wallace

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-3

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Bolton33%
Fair odds 3.03
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Bristol City40%
Fair odds 2.50

Match statistics

  • 65%Possession35%
  • 1.28Expected goals (xG)2.68
  • 19Total shots14
  • 6Shots on target9
  • 5Shots off target3
  • 8Blocked shots2
  • 10Shots inside the box11
  • 11Corners4
  • 2Offsides5
  • 5Fouls7
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves4
  • 591Passes318
  • 498Accurate passes236

Line-ups

Bolton

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. BonhamG
  2. 22Gaizka LarrazabalD
  3. 3C. Forino-JosephD
  4. 6B. DaviesD
  5. 25M. ConwayD
  6. 4X. SimonsM
  7. 8J. SheehanM
  8. 16S. Iling-JuniorM
  9. 17A. ItoM
  10. 11T. GaleM
  11. 10S. DalbyF

Substitutes

  1. 9T. BairF
  2. 5L. BruntD
  3. 7K. DongF
  4. 14A. FamewoD
  5. 23D. HarringtonG
  6. 20Ruben RodriguesF
  7. 27Luca StephensonM
  8. 12D. WatsonM
  9. 35Max LottF

Coach: S. Schumacher

Bristol City

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 40B. CollinsG
  2. 19G. TannerD
  3. 15L. McNallyD
  4. 2L. EissatD
  5. 3C. PringD
  6. 12J. KnightM
  7. 6B. De KeersmaeckerM
  8. 21Rio CardinesM
  9. 23D. BallardM
  10. 8J. WilliamsM
  11. 9L. TolajF

Substitutes

  1. 20S. GreenwoodM
  2. 7Y. HirakawaM
  3. 14T. HorvatM
  4. 4A. RandellM
  5. 1S. TickleG
  6. 10S. TwineM
  7. 17J. WallaceM
  8. 11S. BellF
  9. 5R. AtkinsonD

Coach: M. Skubala

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.35 – 1.51
0.5 goalsOver94.3%Under5.7%
1.5 goalsOver77.9%Under22.1%
2.5 goalsOver54.5%Under45.5%
3.5 goalsOver32.1%Under67.9%
4.5 goalsOver16.2%Under83.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BoltonBristol City
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
47%Expected goals53%
45%Overall55%

Last matches

Newest first
Bolton1W 1D 1L · last 3
LBolton vs Middlesbrough23 Oct 2026 · Championship1-5DSouthampton vs Bolton17 Oct 2026 · Championship0-0WWolves vs Bolton13 Oct 2026 · Championship1-3
Bristol City0W 0D 2L · last 2
LBristol City vs Sheffield Utd17 Oct 2026 · Championship0-1LBristol City vs Blackburn13 Oct 2026 · Championship0-1

Championship table

Championship table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
11Portsmouth13+119
12Millwall13+218
13Blackburn13-118
14Bristol City13-218
15Norwich13-115
16Lincoln13-915
17Cardiff13-114
18Wrexham13-414
19Bolton13-814
20Charlton13-1014
21Watford13-1111
22Burnley13-89
23Derby13-147
24Preston13-175
See full table ›

Top scorers

Championship top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1W. LankshearMiddlesbrough1313
2A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn128
3C. LarinSouthampton117
4J. BowenWest Ham137
5Fer LópezWolves126

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBoltonBristol City
Played32
Wins10
Draws10
Losses12
Goals for (avg)1.30
Goals against (avg)21
Clean sheets10
Failed to score12
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.52/30/2
Over 2.52/30/2
Over 3.52/30/2
BTTS – yes2/30/2

Match preview

Bolton host Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 13) at Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bristol City slight favourites, giving Bolton a 33% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 40% for Bristol City. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Bolton have taken 4 points from their last 3 games (1W 1D 1L). Bristol City have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Championship
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Bolton vs Bristol City?

Bolton vs Bristol City kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Bolton vs Bristol City in?

The match is in the England Championship.

Where are Bolton and Bristol City in the table?

Bolton are 19th and Bristol City are 14th in the Championship.

Who will win Bolton vs Bristol City?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Bolton 33%, draw 27%, Bristol City 40%.

Will both teams score in Bolton vs Bristol City?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bolton vs Bristol City?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Championship on Sat 31 Oct

FTLincoln 1-3 BirminghamOver 1.5 ✓FTStoke City 2-0 PrestonOver 1.5 ✓FTNorwich 3-2 Watford1 ✓FTMiddlesbrough 3-0 Charlton1 ✓FTSwansea 4-0 BlackburnOver 1.5 ✓FTMillwall 4-1 DerbyOver 1.5 ✓FTSouthampton 4-1 QPR1X ✓FTWolves 3-0 Cardiff1 ✓FTBurnley 0-0 PortsmouthOver 1.5 ✗FTWest Ham 1-3 West BromOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today