Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Match events
SC Paderborn 07- 4'Yellow card: Stefano MarinoFoul
- 18'Goal: Stefano MarinoAssist: Steffen Tigges
- 30'Goal: Steffen Tigges
- Substitution: Iván San José CantalejoOff: Mitchell Weiser45'
HT 0-2
- Goal: Niclas FüllkrugAssist: Eren Dinkci59'
- Substitution: Eren DinkciOff: Cédric Itten63'
- Penalty goal: Niclas Füllkrug (pen)65'
- 66'Substitution: Stefano MarinoOff: Rayan Philippe
- 66'Substitution: Laurin UlrichOff: Tom Baack
- 75'Substitution: Gabriel VidovićOff: Ruben Müller
- 75'Substitution: Steffen TiggesOff: Marvin Pieringer
- Substitution: Ludovit ReisOff: Dariusz Stalmach79'
- Yellow card: Youri RegeerFoul86'
- Substitution: Youri RegeerOff: Paul Erevbenagie88'
- 88'Substitution: Mattes HansenOff: Jonah Sticker
Our verdict
Werder Bremen or draw
Bet365 1.22
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 61%Possession39%
- 2.88Expected goals (xG)0.93
- 18Total shots11
- 11Shots on target4
- 4Shots off target5
- 3Blocked shots2
- 13Shots inside the box9
- 5Corners3
- 1Offsides0
- 11Fouls14
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves9
- 627Passes398
- 537Accurate passes319
Line-ups
Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. HeinG
- 13ArthurD
- 5A. PieperD
- 32M. FriedlD
- 2O. DemanD
- 15L. ReisM
- 44Y. RegeerM
- 18E. DinkçiM
- 20Chuky San JoséM
- 17M. GrüllM
- 10N. FüllkrugF
Substitutes
- 38P. ErevbenagieF
- 26C. IttenF
- 30A. SchlagerG
- 33Mick SchmetgensD
- 34D. SoyluM
- 23Dariusz StalmachM
- 4N. StarkD
- 8M. WeiserD
- 3O. WójcikD
Coach: D. Thioune
SC Paderborn 07
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 15N. NollG
- 21J. ter HorstD
- 25T. SchellerD
- 22M. HansenD
- 5S. CastañedaM
- 17L. CurdaM
- 28L. UlrichM
- 40G. VidovićM
- 23R. ObermairM
- 30S. MarinoF
- 27S. TiggesF
Substitutes
- 9R. PhilippeF
- 18M. PieringerF
- 1M. SchubertG
- 3Jonah Benedict StickerD
- 38D. ZeitlerF
- 2Ruben MüllerD
- 11S. MichelF
- 29C. LippmannD
- 6T. BaackM
Coach: R. Kettemann
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.88 – 1.23Half time / full time result. 1 = Werder Bremen, X = draw, 2 = SC Paderborn 07.
Asian handicap applied to Werder Bremen.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstWerder Bremen0W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
SC Paderborn 070W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | WLWLD |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 | WLWLD |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 | LDLDL |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 12 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | DWDLW |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 | LLWWW |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 | DDDWL |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 | DWLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  P. SchickBayer Leverkusen | 8 | 7 |
| 3 |  M. OliseBayern München | 8 | 6 |
| 4 |  Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 6 |
| 5 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Werder Bremen | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
Werder Bremen host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) at Weser-Stadion, Bremen, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Werder Bremen favourites, giving Werder Bremen a 52% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 24% for SC Paderborn 07. Our tip is: Werder Bremen or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Germany Bundesliga
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Venue
- Weser-Stadion, Bremen
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 in?
The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.
Where are Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 in the table?
Werder Bremen are 5th and SC Paderborn 07 are 14th in the Bundesliga.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our prediction is Werder Bremen or draw. Win probabilities: Werder Bremen 52%, draw 24%, SC Paderborn 07 24%.
Will both teams score in Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.