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Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04 prediction

Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04 prediction for the DFB Pokal on 28 Oct 2026: FC Schalke 04 or draw (71%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday28October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
DFB Pokal · Round of 32
Dynamo DresdenFC Schalke 04
2 - 0Full time · Wed 28 OctHT 0-0
Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden

Match events

Dynamo DresdenFC Schalke 04
  1. 37'Yellow card: Edin DžekoFoul
  2. 44'Yellow card: Hwang Hee-Chan

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Patrice ČovićAssist: Simon Straudi53'
  2. Yellow card: Patrice ČovićArgument60'
  3. 60'Yellow card: Adil AouchicheArgument
  4. 61'Substitution: Luca VozarOff: Kenan Karaman
  5. Substitution: Simon StraudiOff: Alexander Rossipal67'
  6. Substitution: Patrice ČovićOff: Jakob Lemmer68'
  7. 70'Substitution: Junior Dina EbimbeOff: Dejan Ljubičić
  8. 70'Substitution: Mertcan AyhanOff: Timo Becker
  9. Substitution: Niklas HauptmannOff: Christoph Daferner75'
  10. Substitution: Vincent VermeijOff: Luca Herrmann75'
  11. 77'Substitution: Junior Chukwubuike AdamuOff: Hwang Hee-Chan
  12. Substitution: Friedrich MüllerOff: Ahmet Muhamedbegovic82'
  13. Yellow card: Nicolai RappArgument87'
  14. 87'Yellow card: Nikola KatićArgument
  15. Goal: Christoph DafernerAssist: Alexander Rossipal88'
  16. 90+3'Yellow card: Satoshi TanakaFoul

Our verdict

X2 ✗

FC Schalke 04 or draw

Bet365 1.28

71%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-0

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Dynamo Dresden29%
Fair odds 3.45
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · FC Schalke 0446%
Fair odds 2.17

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 0.78Expected goals (xG)0.74
  • 10Total shots8
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target1
  • 6Blocked shots3
  • 7Shots inside the box7
  • 2Corners4
  • 12Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves0
  • 579Passes518
  • 492Accurate passes436

Line-ups

Dynamo Dresden

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 22L. GrillG
  2. 32J. SternerD
  3. 6N. RappD
  4. 42F. MullerD
  5. 44S. StraudiD
  6. 18R. WagnerM
  7. 21T. RaschlM
  8. 24P. ČovićM
  9. 27N. HauptmannM
  10. 20B. BobzienM
  11. 9V. VermeijF

Substitutes

  1. 33C. DafernerF
  2. 16N. FrölingF
  3. 8L. HerrmannM
  4. 11K. InanogluF
  5. 10J. LemmerM
  6. 17A. MuhamedbegovićD
  7. 34T. NeiningerD
  8. 19A. RossipalD
  9. 1T. SchreiberG

Coach: Thomas Stamm

FC Schalke 04

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1L. KariusG
  2. 29J. Dina EbimbeD
  3. 43M. AyhanD
  4. 25N. KatićD
  5. 4H. KuruçayD
  6. 33Vitalie BeckerD
  7. 38L. VozarM
  8. 13S. TanakaM
  9. 24A. AouchicheM
  10. 7Hwang Hee-ChanF
  11. 10E. DžekoF

Substitutes

  1. 40E. GashiM
  2. 19K. KaramanF
  3. 11B. LasmeF
  4. 21D. LjubičićM
  5. 22K. MüllerG
  6. 35J. NdiayeF
  7. 27F. PorathM
  8. 5T. BeckerD
  9. 20J. AdamuF

Coach: M. Muslić

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.68
0.5 goalsOver94.9%Under5.1%
1.5 goalsOver79.6%Under20.4%
2.5 goalsOver57.0%Under43.0%
3.5 goalsOver34.6%Under65.4%
4.5 goalsOver18.0%Under82.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Dynamo DresdenFC Schalke 04
75%Form25%
100%Attack0%
25%Defence75%
50%Head to head50%
43%Expected goals57%
39%Overall61%

Last matches

Newest first
Dynamo Dresden1W 0D 1L · last 2
LHolstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden25 Oct 2026 · 2. Bundesliga3-0WDynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg18 Oct 2026 · 2. Bundesliga2-0
FC Schalke 040W 1D 1L · last 2
D1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 0424 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga0-0LFC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 0517 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga0-1

DFB Pokal table

DFB Pokal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bayern München1+53
2Bayer Leverkusen1+33
31. FC Kaiserslautern1+23
4Dynamo Dresden1+23
5Hertha BSC1+23
6SC Freiburg1+13
7VfB Stuttgart1+13
81899 Hoffenheim101
9Holstein Kiel101
10VfL Wolfsburg1-10
11SC Paderborn 071-10
12FC Schalke 041-20
13Hannover 961-20
14SSV Jeddeloh1-20
151. FC Nürnberg1-30
161. FC Magdeburg1-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDynamo DresdenFC Schalke 04
Played22
Wins10
Draws01
Losses11
Goals for (avg)10
Goals against (avg)1.50.5
Clean sheets11
Failed to score12
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/20/2
Over 2.51/20/2
Over 3.50/20/2
BTTS – yes0/20/2

Match preview

Dynamo Dresden host FC Schalke 04 in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32) at Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes FC Schalke 04 slight favourites, giving Dynamo Dresden a 29% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 46% for FC Schalke 04. Our tip is: FC Schalke 04 or draw.

Dynamo Dresden have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). FC Schalke 04 have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany DFB Pokal
Date
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
Venue
Rudolf-Harbig Stadion, Dresden

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04?

Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04 kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04 in?

The match is in the Germany DFB Pokal.

Where are Dynamo Dresden and FC Schalke 04 in the table?

Dynamo Dresden are 4th and FC Schalke 04 are 12th in the DFB Pokal.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04?

Our prediction is FC Schalke 04 or draw. Win probabilities: Dynamo Dresden 29%, draw 25%, FC Schalke 04 46%.

Will both teams score in Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dynamo Dresden vs FC Schalke 04?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More DFB Pokal on Wed 28 Oct

FTSC Freiburg 3-2 VfL Wolfsburg1 ✓FTSSV Jeddeloh 0-2 Hertha BSCOver 3.5 ✗FTSC Paderborn 07 0-1 VfB Stuttgart2 ✓FTHolstein Kiel 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim2 ✗FTBayer Leverkusen 5-2 1. FC NürnbergOver 2.5 ✓FTHannover 96 0-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern1X ✗FTBayern München 6-1 1. FC MagdeburgOver 3.5 ✓

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