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Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction

Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction for the DFB Pokal on 28 Oct 2026: 1899 Hoffenheim to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday28October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
DFB Pokal · Round of 32
Holstein Kiel1899 Hoffenheim
1 - 1After penalties · Wed 28 OctHT 1-1AET 1-1 · Pens 4-3
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Match events

Holstein Kiel1899 Hoffenheim
  1. 11'Goal: Adam Hložek
  2. 22'VARVAR: Tim LemperleGoal cancelled
  3. Goal: Adrian KapralikAssist: Hiroki Sekine23'
  4. 33'Substitution: Valentin GendreyOff: Vladimír Coufal
  5. 41'Yellow card: Adam HložekFoul
  6. Yellow card: Ivan NekićFoul42'
  7. 45'Substitution: Wouter BurgerOff: Adam Daghim
  8. 45'Substitution: Tim LemperleOff: Fisnik Asllani
  9. 45+7'Yellow card: Wouter BurgerFoul

HT 1-1

  1. 64'Substitution: Adam HložekOff: Bambasé Conté
  2. Substitution: Ikem UgohOff: Guillermo Balzi65'
  3. 68'Yellow card: Leon AvdullahuFoul
  4. Yellow card: Tim WalterDissent74'
  5. 76'Yellow card: Oliver BaumannDissent
  6. Substitution: Jonas Torrissen TherkelsenOff: Gyan de Regt90'
  7. Substitution: Kasper DavidsenOff: Giorgi Kvilitaia90'
  8. 95'Substitution: Bambasé ContéOff: Mats Rots
  9. Substitution: Leon ParduziOff: John Tolkin103'
  10. 105+2'Yellow card: Koki MachidaFoul
  11. Yellow card: Adrian KapralikFoul106'
  12. Substitution: Adrian KapralikOff: Faride·Alidou115'
  13. Yellow card: Giorgi KvilitaiaDissent117'
  14. Missed penalty: Giorgi Kvilitaia121'
  15. 122'Penalty goal: Andrej Kramarić (pen)
  16. Penalty goal: Ivan Nekić (pen)123'
  17. 123'Penalty goal: Fisnik Asllani (pen)
  18. Penalty goal: Guillermo Balzi (pen)124'
  19. 125'Missed penalty: Leon Avdullahu
  20. Penalty goal: Gyan de Regt (pen)126'
  21. 127'Penalty goal: Alexander Prass (pen)
  22. Penalty goal: Phil Harres (pen)127'
  23. 128'Missed penalty: Mats Rots

Our verdict

2 ✗

1899 Hoffenheim to win

Bet365 1.44

58%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · Holstein Kiel21%
Fair odds 4.76
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · 1899 Hoffenheim58%
Fair odds 1.72

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 1.11Expected goals (xG)0.86
  • 16Total shots13
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 11Shots off target7
  • 0Blocked shots2
  • 12Shots inside the box6
  • 6Corners10
  • 0Offsides5
  • 19Fouls17
  • 3Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves4
  • 484Passes615
  • 353Accurate passes469

Line-ups

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 41Lio RothenhagenG
  2. 32H. SekineD
  3. 5N. MadsenD
  4. 13I. NekićD
  5. 40Leon ParduziD
  6. 28J. MeffertM
  7. 20A. KaprálikM
  8. 27I. UgohM
  9. 15K. DavidsenM
  10. 10J. TherkelsenM
  11. 19P. HarresF

Substitutes

  1. 17F. AlidouF
  2. 8G. BalziM
  3. 11G. de RegtF
  4. 9G. KvilitaiaF
  5. 44Mark Richter MonserratF
  6. 47J. TolkinD
  7. 1T. WeinerG
  8. 43T. WieseM
  9. 26D. ZecD

Coach: T. Walter

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 37L. PhilippG
  2. 15V. GendreyD
  3. 2R. HranáčD
  4. 28K. MachidaD
  5. 13BernardoD
  6. 7L. AvdullahuM
  7. 18W. BurgerM
  8. 27A. KramarićM
  9. 10A. HložekM
  10. 22A. PrassM
  11. 19T. LemperleF

Substitutes

  1. 39M. RotsD
  2. 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
  3. 5O. KabakD
  4. 14A. DaghimF
  5. 34V. CoufalD
  6. 20B. ContéM
  7. 1O. BaumannG
  8. 11F. AsllaniF
  9. 29Natnael AbrahaD

Coach: C. Ilzer

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.24 – 2.19
0.5 goalsOver96.8%Under3.2%
1.5 goalsOver85.7%Under14.3%
2.5 goalsOver66.6%Under33.4%
3.5 goalsOver44.8%Under55.2%
4.5 goalsOver26.1%Under73.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Holstein Kiel1899 Hoffenheim
31%Form69%
38%Attack62%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
36%Expected goals64%
27%Overall73%

Last matches

Newest first
Holstein Kiel1W 1D 0L · last 2
WHolstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden25 Oct 2026 · 2. Bundesliga3-0DHolstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC16 Oct 2026 · 2. Bundesliga0-0
1899 Hoffenheim3W 0D 1L · last 4
W1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen25 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga3-0W1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon22 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-0WBorussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim18 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga1-2L1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş15 Oct 2026 · Europa League2-3

DFB Pokal table

DFB Pokal table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bayern München1+53
2Bayer Leverkusen1+33
31. FC Kaiserslautern1+23
4Dynamo Dresden1+23
5Hertha BSC1+23
6SC Freiburg1+13
7VfB Stuttgart1+13
81899 Hoffenheim101
9Holstein Kiel101
10VfL Wolfsburg1-10
11SC Paderborn 071-10
12FC Schalke 041-20
13Hannover 961-20
14SSV Jeddeloh1-20
151. FC Nürnberg1-30
161. FC Magdeburg1-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatHolstein Kiel1899 Hoffenheim
Played24
Wins13
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)1.52.5
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets22
Failed to score10
Best win streak13

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.51/24/4
Over 2.51/24/4
Over 3.50/21/4
BTTS – yes0/22/4

Match preview

Holstein Kiel host 1899 Hoffenheim in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32) at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes 1899 Hoffenheim favourites, giving Holstein Kiel a 21% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 58% for 1899 Hoffenheim. Our tip is: 1899 Hoffenheim to win.

Holstein Kiel have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L). 1899 Hoffenheim have taken 9 points from their last 4 games (3W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany DFB Pokal
Date
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim in?

The match is in the Germany DFB Pokal.

Where are Holstein Kiel and 1899 Hoffenheim in the table?

Holstein Kiel are 9th and 1899 Hoffenheim are 8th in the DFB Pokal.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Our prediction is 1899 Hoffenheim to win. Win probabilities: Holstein Kiel 21%, draw 21%, 1899 Hoffenheim 58%.

Will both teams score in Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More DFB Pokal on Wed 28 Oct

FTDynamo Dresden 2-0 FC Schalke 04X2 ✗FTSC Freiburg 3-2 VfL Wolfsburg1 ✓FTSSV Jeddeloh 0-2 Hertha BSCOver 3.5 ✗FTSC Paderborn 07 0-1 VfB Stuttgart2 ✓FTBayer Leverkusen 5-2 1. FC NürnbergOver 2.5 ✓FTHannover 96 0-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern1X ✗FTBayern München 6-1 1. FC MagdeburgOver 3.5 ✓

All football predictions for today