DFB Pokal · Round of 32
Match events
VfL Wolfsburg- Goal: Igor MatanovićAssist: Christian Günter6'
- 8'Goal: Kento ShiogaiAssist: Timon Wellenreuther
- Yellow card: Yuito SuzukiNot Retreating36'
- Substitution: Philipp TreuOff: Lukas Kübler39'
- 43'Goal: Kento ShiogaiAssist: Muhammed Damar
HT 1-2
- 55'Yellow card: Saël Kumbedi NsekeDissent
- VAR: Lukas KüblerPenalty cancelledVAR55'
- 57'Yellow card: Alexander BernhardssonTime Wasting
- Yellow card: Maximilian EggesteinDissent60'
- 63'Substitution: Alexander BernhardssonOff: Fabian Reese
- 68'Yellow card: Kento ShiogaiFoul
- Substitution: Maximilian RosenfelderOff: Philipp Lienhart68'
- Substitution: Yuito SuzukiOff: Keisuke Goto68'
- 68'Substitution: Kento ShiogaiOff: Alessio Besio
- Goal: Keisuke GotoAssist: Vincenzo Grifo75'
- 81'Substitution: Elvis RexhbecajOff: Bence Dárdai
- 81'Substitution: Maximilian ArnoldOff: Yannick Gerhardt
- Substitution: Cyriaque IriéOff: Jan-Niklas Beste85'
- Goal: Keisuke GotoAssist: Philipp Lienhart90+2'
Our verdict
SC Freiburg to win
Bet365 1.44
✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 61%Possession39%
- 1.72Expected goals (xG)1.48
- 17Total shots6
- 3Shots on target2
- 8Shots off target3
- 6Blocked shots1
- 14Shots inside the box3
- 7Corners2
- 6Offsides0
- 11Fouls14
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 0Goalkeeper saves0
- 505Passes337
- 436Accurate passes270
Line-ups
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 21F. MüllerG
- 29P. TreuD
- 28M. GinterD
- 37M. RosenfelderD
- 30C. GünterD
- 8M. EggesteinM
- 16Y. EngelhardtM
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéM
- 14Y. SuzukiM
- 32V. GrifoM
- 31I. MatanovićF
Substitutes
- 1M. BackhausG
- 19J. BesteM
- 42K. GotoF
- 9L. HölerF
- 5A. JungD
- 17L. KüblerD
- 3P. LienhartD
- 6P. OsterhageM
- 20R. YamamotoM
Coach: J. Schuster
VfL Wolfsburg
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1T. WellenreutherG
- 26S. KumbediD
- 6H. WahlD
- 33CleitonD
- 21J. MæhleD
- 37E. RexhbeçajM
- 27M. ArnoldM
- 5Vinicius SouzaM
- 20M. DamarM
- 17A. BernhardssonF
- 7K. ShiogaiF
Substitutes
- 23A. BesioF
- 8Bence DárdaiM
- 2K. FischerD
- 31Y. GerhardtM
- 19R. GlatzelF
- 11F. ReeseF
- 30J. ZielińskiG
- 18J. AdjeteyD
- 22M. AngelyD
Coach: Tobias Strobl
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.25 – 1.19Half time / full time result. 1 = SC Freiburg, X = draw, 2 = VfL Wolfsburg.
Asian handicap applied to SC Freiburg.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstSC Freiburg1W 0D 3L · last 4VfL Wolfsburg0W 1D 0L · last 1DFB Pokal table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 | |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 4 | Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 5 | Hertha BSC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 6 | SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 7 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 8 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 10 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 11 | SC Paderborn 07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 12 | FC Schalke 04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 14 | SSV Jeddeloh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | |
| 15 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | |
| 16 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | SC Freiburg | VfL Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.3 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2.5 | 1 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 4/4 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 4/4 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/4 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 3/4 | 1/1 |
Match preview
SC Freiburg host VfL Wolfsburg in the DFB Pokal (Round of 32) at Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 18:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes SC Freiburg favourites, giving SC Freiburg a 61% chance of winning, 20% for the draw and 19% for VfL Wolfsburg. Our tip is: SC Freiburg to win.
SC Freiburg have taken 3 points from their last 4 games (1W 0D 3L). VfL Wolfsburg have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Germany DFB Pokal
- Date
- Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 18:00 WAT
- Venue
- Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg in?
The match is in the Germany DFB Pokal.
Where are SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg in the table?
SC Freiburg are 6th and VfL Wolfsburg are 10th in the DFB Pokal.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our prediction is SC Freiburg to win. Win probabilities: SC Freiburg 61%, draw 20%, VfL Wolfsburg 19%.
Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.