Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
Match events
Lille- Substitution: Mathys DetourbetOff: Ansu Fati15'
- 24'Goal: Ethan MbappeAssist: Soriba Diaoune
- Yellow card: Mamadou CoulibalyFoul32'
- 34'Yellow card: Hákon Arnar HaraldssonFoul
- Substitution: Denis ZakariaOff: Edan Diop45'
- Substitution: Mamadou CoulibalyOff: Matthis Abline45'
HT 0-1
- Yellow card: Mathys DetourbetFoul56'
- 63'Substitution: Soriba DiaouneOff: Isaac Cossier
- 66'Yellow card: Romain PerraudDissent
- 66'Red card: Nianzou Tanguy KouassiSerious Foul
- 69'Substitution: Ethan MbappeOff: Maxima Goffi
- Goal: Edan DiopAssist: Jordan Teze74'
- 80'Substitution: Hákon Arnar HaraldssonOff: Matah Yondjio
- 80'Substitution: Nabil BentalebOff: Maurits Kjaergaard
- Yellow card: VandersonFoul90+1'
- Substitution: Mathys DetourbetOff: Folarin Balogun90+1'
- 90+2'Yellow card: Maxima GoffiFoul
- 90+4'Yellow card: Berke ÖzerTime Wasting
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.25
✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 64%Possession36%
- 2.18Expected goals (xG)0.71
- 20Total shots4
- 6Shots on target2
- 10Shots off target0
- 4Blocked shots2
- 11Shots inside the box3
- 6Corners1
- 3Offsides2
- 18Fouls13
- 3Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards1
- 1Goalkeeper saves5
- 605Passes354
- 539Accurate passes266
Line-ups
Monaco
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 2VandersonD
- 72Sadibou SanéD
- 4J. TezeD
- 20Flávio NazinhoD
- 8L. CamaraM
- 6D. ZakariaM
- 28M. CoulibalyM
- 10A. GolovinM
- 31Ansu FatiM
- 29Paris Josua BrunnerF
Substitutes
- 49I. TouréM
- 7M. DetourbetF
- 9F. BalogunF
- 11M. AblineF
- 37E. DiopM
- 16P. KöhnG
- 13C. Mawissa ElebiD
- 18T. MinaminoM
- 22M. SalisuD
Coach: Filipe Luís
Lille
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1B. ÖzerG
- 3N. NgoyD
- 23T. NianzouD
- 4Alexsandro RibeiroD
- 15R. PerraudD
- 17N. MukauM
- 6N. BentalebM
- 21B. AndréM
- 8E. MbappéF
- 10H. HaraldssonF
- 35S. DiaouneF
Substitutes
- 7D. BakwaF
- 26I. CossierD
- 12O. GillG
- 9O. GiroudF
- 38M. GoffiD
- 14M. KjærgaardM
- 28G. PerrinF
- 24C. VerdonkD
- 33Matah YondjioF
Coach: Davide Ancelotti
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.18Half time / full time result. 1 = Monaco, X = draw, 2 = Lille.
Asian handicap applied to Monaco.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstMonaco2W 0D 1L · last 3Lille0W 1D 2L · last 3Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 | WLWLW |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 12 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 | LDWLW |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 | LDLLW |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 | LLLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  L. SinayokoParis FC | 9 | 8 |
| 2 |  E. LepaulRennes | 7 | 7 |
| 3 |  C. ArcherAuxerre | 7 | 6 |
| 4 |  A. GouiriMarseille | 9 | 6 |
| 5 |  E. WahiNice | 8 | 6 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Monaco | Lille |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.7 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/3 | 3/3 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/3 | 1/3 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/3 | 2/3 |
Match preview
Monaco host Lille in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Stade Louis II, Monaco, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Monaco slight favourites, giving Monaco a 46% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 28% for Lille. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Monaco have taken 6 points from their last 3 games (2W 0D 1L). Lille have taken 1 points from their last 3 games (0W 1D 2L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- France Ligue 1
- Date
- Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- Stade Louis II, Monaco
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Monaco vs Lille?
Monaco vs Lille kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Monaco vs Lille in?
The match is in the France Ligue 1.
Where are Monaco and Lille in the table?
Monaco are 7th and Lille are 2nd in the Ligue 1.
Who will win Monaco vs Lille?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Monaco 46%, draw 26%, Lille 28%.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs Lille?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Monaco vs Lille?
We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.