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Lille vs Galatasaray prediction

Lille vs Galatasaray prediction for the Champions League on 21 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (81%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Wednesday21October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Champions League · League Stage - 3
LilleGalatasaray
2 - 4Full time · Wed 21 OctHT 2-2
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Match events

LilleGalatasaray
  1. 2'Goal: Yunus Akgün
  2. Goal: Soriba DiaouneAssist: Alexsandro7'
  3. Yellow card: Nabil BentalebFoul21'
  4. 27'VARVAR: Victor OsimhenPenalty cancelled
  5. Goal: Soriba DiaouneAssist: Hákon Arnar Haraldsson39'
  6. 44'Goal: Aleksey BatrakovAssist: Roland Sallai

HT 2-2

  1. 52'Own goal: Nabil Bentaleb (og)
  2. Yellow card: Benjamin AndréFoul59'
  3. 61'Goal: Victor OsimhenAssist: Baris Alper Yilmaz
  4. 62'Substitution: GabrielOff: Mario Lemina
  5. Substitution: Benjamin AndréOff: Maurits Kjaergaard62'
  6. Substitution: Maxima GoffiOff: Olivier Giroud63'
  7. Substitution: Ngal'ayel MukauOff: Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi63'
  8. Substitution: Soriba DiaouneOff: Gaëtan Perrin75'
  9. 75'Substitution: Baris Alper YilmazOff: Eren Elmalı
  10. Substitution: Nabil BentalebOff: Basar Onal75'
  11. 76'Substitution: Yunus AkgünOff: Leroy Sané
  12. 84'Substitution: Victor OsimhenOff: Deniz Gül
  13. 85'Yellow card: Ismail JakobsFoul
  14. 85'Substitution: Aleksey BatrakovOff: İlkay Gündoğan
  15. Yellow card: Gaëtan PerrinFoul89'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

81%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-4

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Lille44%
Fair odds 2.27
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Galatasaray31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 56%Possession44%
  • 2.11Expected goals (xG)1.66
  • 15Total shots10
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 5Shots off target4
  • 5Blocked shots2
  • 10Shots inside the box8
  • 3Corners3
  • 6Offsides2
  • 9Fouls10
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves4
  • 523Passes412
  • 450Accurate passes331

Line-ups

Lille

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1B. ÖzerG
  2. 38M. GoffiD
  3. 3N. NgoyD
  4. 4Alexsandro RibeiroD
  5. 24C. VerdonkD
  6. 17N. MukauM
  7. 6N. BentalebM
  8. 21B. AndréM
  9. 7D. BakwaF
  10. 10H. HaraldssonF
  11. 35S. DiaouneF

Substitutes

  1. 14M. KjærgaardM
  2. 23T. NianzouD
  3. 19B. ÖnalF
  4. 15R. PerraudD
  5. 28G. PerrinF
  6. 50Thomas SajousG
  7. 2L. SrdanovicD
  8. 9O. GiroudF
  9. 12O. GillG
  10. 26I. CossierD

Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1U. ÇakırG
  2. 7R. SallaiD
  3. 6D. SánchezD
  4. 42A. BardakcıD
  5. 4I. JakobsD
  6. 34L. TorreiraM
  7. 8Gabriel SaraM
  8. 11Y. AkgünM
  9. 83A. BatrakovM
  10. 53B. YılmazM
  11. 45V. OsimhenF

Substitutes

  1. 17E. ElmalıD
  2. 20İ. GündoğanM
  3. 19G. GüvençG
  4. 99M. LeminaM
  5. 73Berat LuşF
  6. 74Renato NhagaM
  7. 10L. SanéF
  8. 90W. SingoD
  9. 18L. UgochukwuM
  10. 24J. YılmazG
  11. 3E. BitshiabuD
  12. 21D. GülF

Coach: O. Buruk

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.34
0.5 goalsOver95.0%Under5.0%
1.5 goalsOver79.9%Under20.1%
2.5 goalsOver57.5%Under42.5%
3.5 goalsOver35.1%Under64.9%
4.5 goalsOver18.3%Under81.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LilleGalatasaray
100%Form0%
33%Attack67%
67%Defence33%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
59%Overall41%

Last matches

Newest first
Lille0W 1D 1L · last 2
DLille vs Stade Brestois 2917 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-1LArsenal vs Lille13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-0
Galatasaray0W 0D 1L · last 1
LGalatasaray vs Barcelona13 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-4

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLilleGalatasaray
Played21
Wins00
Draws10
Losses11
Goals for (avg)0.51
Goals against (avg)24
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/21/1
Over 2.51/21/1
Over 3.50/21/1
BTTS – yes1/21/1

Match preview

Lille host Galatasaray in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 17:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Lille slight favourites, giving Lille a 44% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 31% for Galatasaray. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Lille have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Galatasaray have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 17:45 WAT
Venue
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lille vs Galatasaray?

Lille vs Galatasaray kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lille vs Galatasaray in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Lille and Galatasaray in the table?

Lille are 35th and Galatasaray are 23rd in the Champions League.

Who will win Lille vs Galatasaray?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Lille 44%, draw 25%, Galatasaray 31%.

Will both teams score in Lille vs Galatasaray?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lille vs Galatasaray?

We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Wed 21 Oct

FTComo 4-1 Manchester United12 ✓FTAston Villa 3-1 Viking1 ✓FTReal Madrid 4-1 RB Leipzig1 ✓FTInter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk1 ✓FTReal Betis 1-0 Feyenoord1 ✓FTSporting CP 2-3 Lask Linz1 ✗FTClub Brugge KV 3-0 Lens12 ✓FTBayern München 2-2 Arsenal12 ✗

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