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Arsenal vs Lille prediction

Arsenal vs Lille prediction for the Champions League on 13 Oct 2026: Arsenal to win (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Tuesday13October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Champions League · League Stage - 2
ArsenalNo recent gamesLilleNo recent games
3 - 0Full time · Tue 13 OctHT 0-0
Emirates Stadium, London

Match events

ArsenalLille
  1. Yellow card: Mikel MerinoFoul29'

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: J. TimberAssist: N. Madueke64'
  2. Substitution: M. OdegaardOff: M. Merino65'
  3. Substitution: K. HavertzOff: V. Gyokeres65'
  4. Substitution: B. SakaOff: N. Madueke65'
  5. Goal: E. EzeAssist: B. Saka67'
  6. Goal: B. SakaAssist: K. Havertz71'
  7. 72'Substitution: M. KjaergaardOff: N. Mukau
  8. 72'Substitution: O. SahraouiOff: N. Bentaleb
  9. Substitution: B. WhiteOff: J. Timber78'
  10. 78'Substitution: C. VerdonkOff: R. Perraud
  11. 78'Substitution: O. GiroudOff: A. Ueda
  12. 81'Yellow card: Maxima GoffiFoul
  13. 82'Substitution: S. DiaouneOff: D. Bakwa
  14. Substitution: M. DowmanOff: E. Eze85'
  15. Yellow card: Kai HavertzFoul90+2'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Arsenal to win

Bet365 1.22

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Arsenal75%
Fair odds 1.33
X · Draw16%
Fair odds 6.25
2 · Lille9%
Fair odds 11.11

Match statistics

  • 58%Possession42%
  • 1.70Expected goals (xG)0.30
  • 16Total shots4
  • 8Shots on target0
  • 3Shots off target1
  • 5Blocked shots3
  • 12Shots inside the box1
  • 7Corners0
  • 4Offsides3
  • 13Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves5
  • 542Passes404
  • 488Accurate passes343

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1D. RayaG
  2. 12J. TimberD
  3. 15E. KonsaD
  4. 6GabrielD
  5. 49M. Lewis-SkellyD
  6. 41D. RiceM
  7. 39Bruno GuimaraesM
  8. 20N. MaduekeM
  9. 23M. MerinoM
  10. 10E. EzeM
  11. 14V. GyokeresF

Substitutes

  1. 13K. ArrizabalagaG
  2. 30I. MeslierG
  3. 4B. WhiteD
  4. 3C. MosqueraD
  5. 89M. SalmonD
  6. 33R. CalafioriD
  7. 8M. OdegaardM
  8. 56M. DowmanF
  9. 74M. HashiM
  10. 29K. HavertzF
  11. 7B. SakaF
  12. 53C. O'NeillF

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Lille

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1B. OzerG
  2. 38A. GoffiD
  3. 3N. NgoyD
  4. 4AlexsandroD
  5. 15R. PerraudD
  6. 17N. MukauM
  7. 6N. BentalebM
  8. 21B. AndreM
  9. 7D. BakwaF
  10. 18A. UedaF
  11. 10H. HaraldssonF

Substitutes

  1. 12O. GillG
  2. 50T. SajousG
  3. 23T. NianzouD
  4. 26I. CossierD
  5. 24C. VerdonkD
  6. 2L. SrdanovicD
  7. 14M. KjaergaardM
  8. 9O. GiroudF
  9. 11O. SahraouiF
  10. 19B. OnalF
  11. 35S. DiaouneF
  12. 28G. PerrinF

Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.40 – 0.71
0.5 goalsOver95.5%Under4.5%
1.5 goalsOver81.7%Under18.3%
2.5 goalsOver60.1%Under39.9%
3.5 goalsOver37.7%Under62.3%
4.5 goalsOver20.4%Under79.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ArsenalLille
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
77%Expected goals23%
89%Overall11%

Last matches

Newest first
Arsenal0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Lille0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Champions League table

Champions League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
11Club Brugge KV3+36
12Sporting CP3+36
13Borussia Dortmund3+16
14Bayern München3+55
15AS Roma3+34
16Atletico Madrid3+14
17Shakhtar Donetsk3+14
18PSV Eindhoven304
19Villarreal303
20Inter3-13
21Manchester United3-13
22Napoli3-23
23Galatasaray3-33
24Lask Linz3-33
25Sabah FA3-33
26Feyenoord3-43
27Lens3-43
28Bodo/Glimt3-53
29AEK Athens FC3-53
30RB Leipzig3-53
31Fenerbahçe3-62
32Slavia Praha3-31
33Viking3-41
34FC Porto3-40
35Lille3-60
36Slovan Bratislava3-120
See full table ›

Top scorers

Champions League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1J. MickelsSabah FA114
2E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart34
3E. HaalandManchester City24
4S. GuirassyBorussia Dortmund34
5H. KaneBayern München34

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatArsenalLille
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Arsenal host Lille in the Champions League (League Stage - 2) at Emirates Stadium, London, with kick-off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Arsenal clear favourites, giving Arsenal a 75% chance of winning, 16% for the draw and 9% for Lille. Our tip is: Arsenal to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 46% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Europe Champions League
Date
Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Emirates Stadium, London

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Arsenal vs Lille?

Arsenal vs Lille kicks off on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Arsenal vs Lille in?

The match is in the Europe Champions League.

Where are Arsenal and Lille in the table?

Arsenal are 7th and Lille are 35th in the Champions League.

Who will win Arsenal vs Lille?

Our prediction is Arsenal to win. Win probabilities: Arsenal 75%, draw 16%, Lille 9%.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Lille?

We estimate a 46% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Lille?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Champions League on Tue 13 Oct

FTSabah FA 2-0 Slavia Praha12 ✓FTLens 0-2 Sporting CP12 ✓FTInter 3-4 Club Brugge KV1 ✗FTAtletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester UnitedOver 1.5 ✓FTGalatasaray 1-4 BarcelonaOver 2.5 ✓FTRB Leipzig 1-0 PSV Eindhoven1 ✓FTVillarreal 3-1 NapoliOver 1.5 ✓FTViking 3-3 Bayern MünchenGG ✓

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