Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction

Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction for the Ligue 1 on 25 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
AuxerreLe Mans
1 - 1Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-0
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre

Match events

AuxerreLe Mans
  1. 21'Yellow card: Alexandre LaurayFoul
  2. 26'Yellow card: Lucas BuadesFoul
  3. Yellow card: William StillDissent44'

HT 0-0

  1. 48'Goal: Lucas BuadesAssist: Lucas Bretelle
  2. 48'VARVAR: Lucas BuadesGoal confirmed
  3. 53'Substitution: Djibril SidibéOff: Noa Boissé
  4. Goal: Cameron Archer56'
  5. 63'Substitution: Alexandre LaurayOff: Jean Vercruysse
  6. 63'Substitution: Habib DialloOff: Dame Gueye
  7. Yellow card: Kevin DanoisFoul69'
  8. Substitution: Lamine SyOff: Rayan Mandengue73'
  9. Substitution: Danny NamasoOff: Aristide Zossou86'
  10. Substitution: Kevin DanoisOff: Pierre Ekwah86'
  11. 86'Substitution: Antoine RabillardOff: Daouda Traore
  12. 87'Substitution: Lucas BuadesOff: Rayan Bamba
  13. Substitution: Cameron ArcherOff: Youssef Khoudda90+8'
  14. Substitution: Naouirou AhamadaOff: Arthur Piedfort90+8'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Auxerre47%
Fair odds 2.13
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Le Mans28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 60%Possession40%
  • 0.82Expected goals (xG)1.23
  • 13Total shots11
  • 5Shots on target2
  • 5Shots off target8
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 9Shots inside the box8
  • 7Corners1
  • 0Offsides3
  • 15Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 492Passes335
  • 397Accurate passes228

Line-ups

Auxerre

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1P. NardiG
  2. 15C. MakossoD
  3. 4A. TuanzebeD
  4. 92C. AkpaD
  5. 27L. SyM
  6. 8N. AhamadaM
  7. 5K. DanoisM
  8. 22F. OppegårdM
  9. 21R. FaivreM
  10. 10D. NamasoM
  11. 9C. ArcherF

Substitutes

  1. 77Aristide ZossouM
  2. 23M. DiopG
  3. 20S. DiomandéD
  4. 34L. DioubateM
  5. 17P. EkwahM
  6. 47Youssef KhouddaF
  7. 32R. MandengueD
  8. 35E. LegrosD
  9. 46A. PiedfortM

Coach: W. Still

Le Mans

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 98N. KocikG
  2. 19D. SidibéD
  3. 17S. YohouD
  4. 16Raúl TorrenteD
  5. 18L. BuadésM
  6. 9A. RabillardM
  7. 29L. BretelleM
  8. 8A. LaurayM
  9. 22L. CalodatM
  10. 14L. MafoutaF
  11. 13H. DialloF

Substitutes

  1. 26R. BambaD
  2. 15N. BoisséD
  3. 7B. BrahimiF
  4. 25D. GuèyeF
  5. 20W. HarhouzF
  6. 1E. HatfoutG
  7. 23D. TraoréM
  8. 10J. VercruysseM
  9. 36Lenny VideiraM

Coach: P. Videira

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.21
0.5 goalsOver94.2%Under5.8%
1.5 goalsOver77.7%Under22.3%
2.5 goalsOver54.2%Under45.8%
3.5 goalsOver31.9%Under68.1%
4.5 goalsOver16.0%Under84.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AuxerreLe Mans
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
75%Defence25%
50%Head to head50%
58%Expected goals42%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
Auxerre1W 0D 0L · last 1
WLe Havre vs Auxerre18 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-3
Le Mans0W 0D 1L · last 1
LLe Mans vs Toulouse16 Oct 2026 · Ligue 10-3

Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Lorient8+112
11Toulouse9-110
12Strasbourg9-210
13Auxerre9-1010
14Stade Brestois 298+29
15Angers9-88
16Estac Troyes9-98
17Le Mans9-77
18Le Havre9-112
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1L. SinayokoParis FC98
2E. LepaulRennes77
3C. ArcherAuxerre76
4A. GouiriMarseille96
5E. WahiNice86

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAuxerreLe Mans
Played11
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)30
Goals against (avg)13
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Auxerre host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Auxerre slight favourites, giving Auxerre a 47% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 28% for Le Mans. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Auxerre have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Le Mans have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 1
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 17:15 WAT
Venue
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Auxerre vs Le Mans kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Auxerre vs Le Mans in?

The match is in the France Ligue 1.

Where are Auxerre and Le Mans in the table?

Auxerre are 13th and Le Mans are 17th in the Ligue 1.

Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Auxerre 47%, draw 25%, Le Mans 28%.

Will both teams score in Auxerre vs Le Mans?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Auxerre vs Le Mans?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 1 on Sun 25 Oct

FTMonaco 1-1 LilleOver 1.5 ✓FTToulouse 0-0 Estac TroyesOver 1.5 ✗FTAngers 0-0 LorientX2 ✓FTRennes 3-0 Strasbourg1X ✓FTMarseille 4-3 Le Havre1 ✓

All football predictions for today