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TodaysPrediction

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction for the Ligue 1 on 17 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
LilleStade Brestois 29No recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 0-1
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Match events

LilleStade Brestois 29
  1. 6'Goal: Mama BaldéAssist: Gautier Lloris
  2. 13'Yellow card: Kamory DoumbiaFoul
  3. 45'Substitution: Joseph NongeOff: Mama Baldé

HT 0-1

  1. Substitution: Romain PerraudOff: Calvin Verdonk54'
  2. 58'Yellow card: Bradley LockoFoul
  3. Penalty goal: Olivier Giroud (pen)64'
  4. Substitution: Dilane BakwaOff: Soriba Diaoune65'
  5. Substitution: Benjamin AndréOff: Nabil Bentaleb65'
  6. 77'Substitution: Pathé MboupOff: Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté
  7. Substitution: Ngal'ayel MukauOff: Maurits Kjaergaard77'
  8. 82'Substitution: Kamory DoumbiaOff: Mamady Diambou
  9. Yellow card: Calvin VerdonkFoul90'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Lille52%
Fair odds 1.92
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Stade Brestois 2923%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 68%Possession32%
  • 1.57Expected goals (xG)0.77
  • 14Total shots8
  • 5Shots on target2
  • 7Shots off target3
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 9Shots inside the box6
  • 5Corners2
  • 3Offsides0
  • 11Fouls20
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves5
  • 635Passes311
  • 575Accurate passes242

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 12O. GillG
  2. 38M. GoffiD
  3. 3N. NgoyD
  4. 23T. NianzouD
  5. 15R. PerraudD
  6. 21B. AndréM
  7. 17N. MukauM
  8. 8E. MbappéM
  9. 10H. HaraldssonM
  10. 7D. BakwaM
  11. 9O. GiroudF

Substitutes

  1. 35S. DiaouneF
  2. 26I. CossierD
  3. 6N. BentalebM
  4. 14M. KjærgaardM
  5. 40Zadig LanssadeG
  6. 28G. PerrinF
  7. 24C. VerdonkD
  8. 33Matah YondjioF
  9. 19B. ÖnalF

Coach: Davide Ancelotti

Stade Brestois 29

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. SelvikG
  2. 70K. LalaD
  3. 29L. TousartD
  4. 4G. LlorisD
  5. 2B. LockoD
  6. 13J. ChotardM
  7. 8H. MagnettiM
  8. 17Mama BaldéM
  9. 23K. DoumbiaM
  10. 9P. MboupM
  11. 19L. AjorqueF

Substitutes

  1. 21Ibrahim Yayiya KanteF
  2. 6M. DiambouM
  3. 18J. BourgaultD
  4. 33Enzo MonchatreF
  5. 20L. ZogbeD
  6. 30M. PatouilletG
  7. 7J. Nonge BoendeM
  8. 39D. N´GuessanF

Coach: Julien Lachuer

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.78 – 1.13
0.5 goalsOver94.6%Under5.4%
1.5 goalsOver78.7%Under21.3%
2.5 goalsOver55.6%Under44.4%
3.5 goalsOver33.3%Under66.7%
4.5 goalsOver17.0%Under83.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LilleStade Brestois 29
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
6%Defence94%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
69%Overall31%

Last matches

Newest first
Lille0W 0D 1L · last 1
LArsenal vs Lille13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-0
Stade Brestois 290W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Monaco9+215
7Nice9+114
8Lens9+313
9Marseille8+512
10Lorient8+112
11Toulouse8+110
12Strasbourg9-210
13Auxerre9-1010
14Stade Brestois 298+29
15Angers9-88
16Estac Troyes9-98
17Le Mans9-77
18Le Havre9-112
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. LepaulRennes77
2E. WahiNice86
3L. SinayokoParis FC86
4C. ArcherAuxerre65
5A. GouiriMarseille85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLilleStade Brestois 29
Played10
Wins00
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)30
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes0/10/0

Match preview

Lille host Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Lille favourites, giving Lille a 52% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 23% for Stade Brestois 29. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Lille have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 1
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?

Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 in?

The match is in the France Ligue 1.

Where are Lille and Stade Brestois 29 in the table?

Lille are 2nd and Stade Brestois 29 are 14th in the Ligue 1.

Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Lille 52%, draw 25%, Stade Brestois 29 23%.

Will both teams score in Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 1 on Sat 17 Oct

FTStrasbourg 1-3 Paris Saint Germain2 ✓FTEstac Troyes 1-3 LensX2 ✓

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