Premier League · Regular Season - 8
Match events
Brighton- 6'Substitution: Ferdi KadıoğluOff: Costinha
- Own goal: Pascal Groß (og)17'
- Goal: Alexander IsakAssist: Bradley Barcola21'
- 45'Substitution: Olivier BoscagliOff: Jack Hinshelwood
- 45+3'Yellow card: Olivier BoscagliFoul
HT 2-0
- 54'Substitution: Chema AndrésOff: Malick Yalcouyé
- Substitution: Florian WirtzOff: Treymaurice Nyoni65'
- 73'Yellow card: CostinhaFoul
- 75'Substitution: Yasin AyariOff: Georginio Rutter
- Substitution: Alexander IsakOff: Lewis Koumas77'
- Substitution: Bradley BarcolaOff: Rio Ngumoha77'
- Substitution: Milos KerkezOff: Konstantinos Tsimikas88'
Our verdict
Liverpool or draw
Bet365 1.33
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 36%Possession64%
- 0.95Expected goals (xG)1.40
- 13Total shots16
- 4Shots on target1
- 6Shots off target10
- 3Blocked shots5
- 10Shots inside the box10
- 4Corners2
- 3Offsides3
- 13Fouls9
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves3
- 323Passes575
- 222Accurate passes486
Line-ups
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Alisson BeckerG
- 33R. AraújoD
- 5J. JacquetD
- 4V. van DijkD
- 6M. KerkezD
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 29B. BarcolaM
- 7F. WirtzM
- 18C. GakpoM
- 9A. IsakF
Substitutes
- 73R. NgumohaF
- 25G. MamardashviliG
- 2J. GomezD
- 21K. TsimikasD
- 3W. EndoM
- 42T. NyoniM
- 53J. McConnellM
- 14F. ChiesaF
- 67L. KoumasF
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Brighton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. VerbruggenG
- 24F. KadıoğluD
- 44L. VuškovićD
- 5L. DunkD
- 21O. BoscagliD
- 13P. GroßM
- 14José María Andrés BaixauliM
- 25D. GómezM
- 26Y. AyariM
- 29M. De CuyperM
- 19C. KostoulasF
Substitutes
- 12P. DavidF
- 15I. OsmanF
- 10G. RutterF
- 35M. YalcouyéM
- 33M. O'RileyM
- 8J. HinshelwoodM
- 20CostinhaD
- 3J. HadjamD
- 23J. SteeleG
Coach: F. Hürzeler
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.42Half time / full time result. 1 = Liverpool, X = draw, 2 = Brighton.
Asian handicap applied to Liverpool.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstLiverpool3W 0D 0L · last 3Brighton2W 1D 0L · last 3Premier League table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | WWWDL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 10 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DDLDL |
| 11 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 | LDDLD |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 | DWWLD |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 | LLDDD |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | LLLWD |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | LDLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  E. HaalandManchester City | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  A. IsakLiverpool | 7 | 6 |
| 3 |  João PedroChelsea | 6 | 5 |
| 4 |  M. RogersChelsea | 9 | 5 |
| 5 |  M. TavernierBournemouth | 9 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Liverpool | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 4 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2.3 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 3 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 3/3 | 2/3 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 3/3 | 2/3 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| BTTS – yes | 3/3 | 0/3 |
Match preview
Liverpool host Brighton in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8) at Anfield, Liverpool, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Liverpool slight favourites, giving Liverpool a 43% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 32% for Brighton. Our tip is: Liverpool or draw.
Liverpool have taken 9 points from their last 3 games (3W 0D 0L). Brighton have taken 7 points from their last 3 games (2W 1D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- England Premier League
- Date
- Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Liverpool vs Brighton?
Liverpool vs Brighton kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Liverpool vs Brighton in?
The match is in the England Premier League.
Where are Liverpool and Brighton in the table?
Liverpool are 5th and Brighton are 3rd in the Premier League.
Who will win Liverpool vs Brighton?
Our prediction is Liverpool or draw. Win probabilities: Liverpool 43%, draw 25%, Brighton 32%.
Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Brighton?
We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Brighton?
We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.