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Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction

Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction for the Premier League on 31 Oct 2026: Chelsea or draw (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Premier League · Regular Season - 9
ChelseaManchester United
2 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 0-0
Stamford Bridge, London

Match events

ChelseaManchester United
  1. 34'VARVAR: Matheus CunhaGoal cancelled

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Morgan RogersAssist: Romeo Lavia50'
  2. 58'Substitution: Carlos BalebaOff: Kobbie Mainoo
  3. 59'Yellow card: Lisandro MartínezFoul
  4. VAR: Wesley FofanaPenalty confirmedVAR61'
  5. 63'Red card: Lisandro Martínez
  6. Penalty goal: Cole Palmer (pen)64'
  7. 65'Yellow card: Harry MaguireFoul
  8. 66'Substitution: Mason MountOff: Matheus Cunha
  9. 66'Substitution: Ayden HeavenOff: Andrey Santos
  10. 70'Yellow card: Kobbie MainooFoul
  11. VAR: Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesGoal cancelledVAR71'
  12. Substitution: Marco PalestraOff: Pep Chavarria74'
  13. 77'Substitution: Amad DialloOff: Joshua Zirkzee
  14. 81'Yellow card: Bryan MbeumoNot Retreating
  15. 86'Yellow card: Joshua ZirkzeeFoul
  16. Substitution: Moises CaicedoOff: Danny Welbeck87'
  17. Substitution: Valentin BarcoOff: Pedro Neto87'
  18. Substitution: Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesOff: Malo Gusto87'
  19. Yellow card: Mike PendersTime Wasting90+3'
  20. Substitution: Cole PalmerOff: Geovany Quenda90+7'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Chelsea or draw

Bet365 1.22

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Chelsea53%
Fair odds 1.89
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Manchester United24%
Fair odds 4.17

Match statistics

  • 59%Possession41%
  • 2.65Expected goals (xG)1.19
  • 18Total shots12
  • 9Shots on target5
  • 6Shots off target4
  • 3Blocked shots3
  • 13Shots inside the box7
  • 8Corners7
  • 3Offsides2
  • 8Fouls20
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards1
  • 3Goalkeeper saves7
  • 541Passes379
  • 478Accurate passes293

Line-ups

Chelsea

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 39M. PendersG
  2. 34Joshua Kofi AcheampongD
  3. 3W. FofanaD
  4. 6L. ColwillD
  5. 2M. PalestraD
  6. 45R. LaviaM
  7. 25M. CaicedoM
  8. 41EstêvãoM
  9. 10C. PalmerM
  10. 17M. RogersM
  11. 7Pedro NetoF

Substitutes

  1. 18D. WelbeckF
  2. 22E. EmeghaF
  3. 23Geovany Tcherno QuendaM
  4. 32M. Nicoll-JazuliM
  5. 4V. BarcoM
  6. 29Pep ChavarríaD
  7. 27M. GustoD
  8. 28T. Sharman-LoweG
  9. 37O. SubuloyeD

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Manchester United

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1S. LammensG
  2. 15L. YoroD
  3. 5H. MaguireD
  4. 6Lisandro MartínezD
  5. 2Diogo DalotD
  6. 17Andrey SantosM
  7. 20C. BalebaM
  8. 16A. DialloM
  9. 8Bruno FernandesM
  10. 10Matheus CunhaM
  11. 19B. MbeumoF

Substitutes

  1. 12K. DarlowG
  2. 4M. de LigtD
  3. 26A. HeavenD
  4. 3N. MazraouiD
  5. 37K. MainooM
  6. 7M. MountM
  7. 18Y. TielemansM
  8. 31S. LaceyF
  9. 11J. ZirkzeeF

Coach: M. Carrick

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.92 – 1.24
0.5 goalsOver95.8%Under4.2%
1.5 goalsOver82.4%Under17.6%
2.5 goalsOver61.2%Under38.8%
3.5 goalsOver38.9%Under61.1%
4.5 goalsOver21.2%Under78.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ChelseaManchester United
75%Form25%
67%Attack33%
71%Defence29%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
69%Overall31%

Last matches

Newest first
Chelsea1W 0D 1L · last 2
LChelsea vs Tottenham24 Oct 2026 · Premier League0-2WEverton vs Chelsea17 Oct 2026 · Premier League0-2
Manchester United0W 1D 3L · last 4
LManchester United vs Bournemouth25 Oct 2026 · Premier League0-3LComo vs Manchester United21 Oct 2026 · Champions League4-1DLeeds vs Manchester United18 Oct 2026 · Premier League1-1LAtletico Madrid vs Manchester United13 Oct 2026 · Champions League2-0

Premier League table

Premier League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
11Leeds9+111
12Newcastle8-211
13Ipswich9-411
14Everton8-110
15Fulham9-29
16Coventry9-79
17Manchester United9-57
18Crystal Palace9-127
19Nottingham Forest9-66
20Sunderland9-105
See full table ›

Top scorers

Premier League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. HaalandManchester City99
2A. IsakLiverpool76
3João PedroChelsea65
4M. RogersChelsea95
5M. TavernierBournemouth95

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatChelseaManchester United
Played24
Wins10
Draws01
Losses13
Goals for (avg)10.5
Goals against (avg)12.5
Clean sheets10
Failed to score12
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.52/24/4
Over 2.50/22/4
Over 3.50/21/4
BTTS – yes0/22/4

Match preview

Chelsea host Manchester United in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9) at Stamford Bridge, London, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 13:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Chelsea favourites, giving Chelsea a 53% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 24% for Manchester United. Our tip is: Chelsea or draw.

Chelsea have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Manchester United have taken 1 points from their last 4 games (0W 1D 3L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 61% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England Premier League
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
Venue
Stamford Bridge, London

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Chelsea vs Manchester United kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 13:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Chelsea vs Manchester United in?

The match is in the England Premier League.

Where are Chelsea and Manchester United in the table?

Chelsea are 4th and Manchester United are 17th in the Premier League.

Who will win Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Our prediction is Chelsea or draw. Win probabilities: Chelsea 53%, draw 23%, Manchester United 24%.

Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

We estimate a 61% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chelsea vs Manchester United?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier League on Sat 31 Oct

FTBournemouth 2-0 Leeds1X ✓FTBrentford 2-0 Nottingham ForestOver 1.5 ✓FTCoventry 3-1 SunderlandOver 1.5 ✓FTHull City 2-2 IpswichOver 1.5 ✓FTManchester City 0-1 Brighton12 ✓FTTottenham 2-0 Crystal Palace1 ✓FTAston Villa 1-1 FulhamOver 1.5 ✓

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